Ourense vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Apr 2025

Tip-off: 18:45

Final 94-84

30-17 20-30 24-22 20-15

Position#10

Record12-18

FormLLLWL

Points / game81.7

Allowed / game83.4

Ourense 🏆

Palencia

Position#6

Record20-10

FormWLWLW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game80.2

Primera FEBRound 31

Other2024-25

Meetings · Ourense v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOurense

Date

Competition

Cartagena

80-92

-12

75avg 72

A16/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

84-83

78avg 72

A02/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

73-79

-6

65avg 72

H08/03

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

59-89

-30

52avg 72

A11/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

77-85

-8

67avg 72

H15/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

89-94 OT

-5

81avg 72

A21/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

60-74

-14

46avg 72

H29/03

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

74-81

-7

72avg 72

A06/04

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

96-77

+19

89avg 72

H12/04

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

71-90

-19

63avg 72

A18/04

Primera FEB

19-24

25-22

22-22

14-24

30-22

19-20

19-14

16-27

21-23

17-13

20-24

15-19

12-19

10-25

20-30

17-15

19-17

10-19

27-24

21-25

24-22

22-21

19-18

12-16

18-19

12-14

14-23

16-18

18-13

14-19

16-23

26-26

25-17

24-21

26-24

21-15

15-31

24-30

18-20

14-9

160.7Avg total

76.3Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	81.7	83.4	165.1	-1.7	40%
Season at home (15)	84.2	79.6	163.8	+4.6	47%
Season away (15)	79.3	87.2	166.5	-7.9	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.3	84.4	160.7	-8.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	83.2	161.2	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	79.1	87.7	166.8	-8.6	18%
vs Similar (11)	79.7	81.2	160.9	-1.5	45%
vs Weaker (8)	88.1	80.5	168.6	+7.6	62%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPalencia

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

87-85

79avg 79

A16/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

90-78

+12

81avg 79

H01/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

83-92

-9

71avg 79

A08/03

Primera FEB

Cartagena

88-71

+17

80avg 79

H12/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

98-104

104

-6

86avg 79

A16/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

85-77

81avg 79

H21/03

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

77-84

-7

59avg 79

A30/03

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

84-72

+12

72avg 79

H04/04

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

76-77

-1

66avg 79

A12/04

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

102-79

102

+23

93avg 79

H19/04

Primera FEB

21-21

27-21

22-23

17-20

23-15

16-18

24-18

27-27

22-26

29-22

19-20

13-24

22-15

23-19

26-19

17-18

22-29

36-30

18-22

22-23

20-16

30-17

13-27

22-17

18-20

22-16

13-17

24-31

15-21

23-11

22-17

24-23

12-18

22-17

18-13

24-29

22-24

31-22

29-16

20-17

168.9Avg total

87.0Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	87.0	80.2	167.2	+6.8	67%
Season at home (15)	89.5	77.5	166.9	+12.0	87%
Season away (15)	84.6	82.9	167.5	+1.7	47%
Last 10 (10)	87.0	81.9	168.9	+5.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	77.8	162.6	+7.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	81.0	87.5	168.5	-6.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	82.1	86.6	168.7	-4.4	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	89.2	77.4	166.6	+11.9	86%

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OurensePalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.8	42.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	20.3	43.2	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	21.3	41.7	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	64%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.0	19.5	42.5	+3.5	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.0	41.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	22.5	41.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.6	22.4	40.0	-4.9	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.6	18.9	41.5	+3.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.6	38.6	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	18.3	35.6	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	22.9	41.7	-4.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.2	19.7	36.9	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.1	21.4	38.5	-4.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.8	42.3	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	18.1	40.8	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	19.3	45.2	+6.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	16.6	42.2	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.1	22.6	46.7	+1.6	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.0	19.0	41.1	+3.0	57%	-

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cartagena

44-46

-2

A16/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

49-42

A02/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

38-36

H08/03

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

22-44

-22

A11/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

29-36

-7

H15/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

46-43

A21/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

30-33

-3

H29/03

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

32-32

A06/04

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

49-38

+11

H12/04

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

39-61

-22

A18/04

Primera FEB

78.9Avg total

37.8Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	41.3	81.1	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	38.5	78.8	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.2	44.1	83.3	-4.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	41.1	78.9	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.4	80.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	38.2	41.2	79.4	-3.0	45%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.5	42.4	80.8	-3.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.6	40.1	83.8	+3.5	62%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

48-42

A16/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

39-33

H01/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

51-48

A08/03

Primera FEB

Cartagena

45-34

+11

H12/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

58-59

-1

A16/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

50-33

+17

H21/03

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

40-36

A30/03

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

38-32

H04/04

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

34-35

-1

A12/04

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

53-46

H19/04

Primera FEB

85.4Avg total

45.6Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	39.8	83.4	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.4	36.9	81.3	+7.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.8	42.7	85.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	39.8	85.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	36.4	79.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.7	45.0	86.7	-3.3	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.7	38.0	82.6	+6.7	81%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.8	22.0	44.8	+0.8	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	19.5	43.1	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.1	39.5	+1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	19.9	39.1	-0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.3	19.0	42.3	+4.4	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	18.5	40.9	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.3	38.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.8	34.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.7	20.9	39.6	-2.2	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.5	73%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.8	18.4	40.1	+3.4	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.9	43.9	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.4	46.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	25.5	50.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.1	21.7	42.9	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.8	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	40.5	81.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	39.9	82.5	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	41.0	79.8	-2.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	41.6	78.9	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	38.4	74.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	38.5	42.9	81.4	-4.5	18%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.2	38.1	78.3	+2.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.5	40.4	84.9	+4.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	40.4	83.8	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	40.5	85.6	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.8	40.3	82.1	+1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	42.1	83.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	41.4	83.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	46.5	88.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.4	41.6	82.0	-1.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.6	39.4	84.0	+5.1	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.1	52.2%	51.8%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	8.4	34.1%	33.7%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.4%	73.6%	13.8

They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	17.8	55.6%	51.8%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	11.0	36.4%	33.7%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.8	19.3	84.6%	73.6%	19.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.0	52.5%	51.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.7	34.3%	33.7%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.6	74.4%	73.6%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.7	53.7%	51.8%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.5%	33.7%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.8	78.9%	73.6%	16.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ourense wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
14/12/24	Palencia v Ourense	114-81
09/04/23	Palencia v Ourense	86-80
11/12/22	Ourense v Palencia	66-82
03/01/21	Palencia v Ourense	87-69
24/10/20	Ourense v Palencia	75-68
07/02/20	Palencia v Ourense	87-80
20/10/19	Ourense v Palencia	72-81
21/04/19	Ourense v Palencia	52-55
30/12/18	Palencia v Ourense	76-88
01/04/18	Palencia v Ourense	74-72

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/04/25	A	Alicante	71-90
12/04/25	H	Castello	96-77
06/04/25	A	Fuenlabrada	74-81
29/03/25	H	San Pablo Burgos	60-74
21/03/25	A	Real Betis	89-94 OT
15/03/25	H	Obradoiro CAB	77-85
11/03/25	A	Moron	59-89
08/03/25	H	Estudiantes	73-79
02/03/25	A	Tizona Burgos	84-83
16/02/25	A	Cartagena	80-92

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/04/25	H	Tizona Burgos	102-79
12/04/25	A	Obradoiro CAB	76-77
04/04/25	H	Hestia Menorca	84-72
30/03/25	A	Zamora	77-84
21/03/25	H	Estela	85-77
16/03/25	A	Estudiantes	98-104
12/03/25	H	Cartagena	88-71
08/03/25	A	Real Valladolid	83-92
01/03/25	H	Oviedo	90-78
16/02/25	A	Gipuzkoa	87-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	40%
Home	LLLLW	47%
Away	WLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	40%	47%	33%
Points / game	81.7	84.2	79.3
Allowed / game	83.4	79.6	87.2
Point differential	-1.7	+4.6	-7.9
Avg total	165.1	163.8	166.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	27%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	25% (4)	75% (4)
Overtime %	13%	13%	13%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	67%
Home	WWWWW	87%
Away	WLLLL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	67%	87%	47%
Points / game	87.0	89.5	84.6
Allowed / game	80.2	77.5	82.9
Point differential	+6.8	+12.0	+1.7
Avg total	167.2	166.9	167.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	53%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	67% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	31	29	2	94%	88.5	74.4	+14.0
2	Estudiantes	31	25	6	81%	87.1	78.5	+8.6
3	Fuenlabrada	31	25	6	81%	84.9	76.4	+8.5
4	Real Betis	31	24	7	77%	83.1	74.5	+8.6
5	Obradoiro CAB	31	22	9	71%	82.4	73.5	+8.9
6	Palencia	30	20	10	67%	87.0	80.2	+6.8
7	Tizona Burgos	30	15	15	50%	88.4	89.5	-1.1
8	Cartagena	30	14	16	47%	77.6	84.5	-6.9
9	Gipuzkoa	31	14	17	45%	78.5	79.3	-0.8
10	Ourense	30	12	18	40%	81.7	83.4	-1.7
11	Alicante	31	12	19	39%	79.2	79.5	-0.4
12	Zamora	31	12	19	39%	79.0	82.5	-3.4
13	Oviedo	30	11	19	37%	78.3	81.6	-3.3
14	Real Valladolid	30	10	20	33%	78.5	85.2	-6.8
15	Hestia Menorca	31	10	21	32%	74.7	78.5	-3.8
16	Estela	31	10	21	32%	75.7	83.7	-8.0
17	Castello	31	8	23	26%	79.8	88.4	-8.5
18	Moron	31	3	28	10%	71.8	83.1	-11.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ourense	30	20	24	20	94
Palencia	17	30	22	15	84

← all games of the day

Ourense vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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