Palencia vs Moron Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Apr 2025

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 81-68

22-21 21-6 9-20 29-21

Position#6

Record20-11

FormLWLWL

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game80.6

Palencia 🏆

Moron

Position#18

Record3-28

FormLLLLL

Points / game71.8

Allowed / game83.1

Primera FEBRound 32· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes

Other2024-25

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Moron winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPalencia

Date

Competition

Oviedo

#11

90-78

+12

81avg 79

H01/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

83-92

-9

71avg 79

A08/03

Primera FEB

Cartagena

88-71

+17

80avg 79

H12/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

98-104

104

-6

86avg 79

A16/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

85-77

81avg 79

H21/03

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

77-84

-7

59avg 79

A30/03

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

84-72

+12

72avg 79

H04/04

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

76-77

-1

66avg 79

A12/04

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

102-79

102

+23

93avg 79

H19/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

84-94

-10

72avg 79

A23/04

Primera FEB

23-15

16-18

24-18

27-27

22-26

29-22

19-20

13-24

22-15

23-19

26-19

17-18

22-29

36-30

18-22

22-23

20-16

30-17

13-27

22-17

18-20

22-16

13-17

24-31

15-21

23-11

22-17

24-23

12-18

22-17

18-13

24-29

22-24

31-22

29-16

20-17

17-30

30-20

22-24

15-20

169.5Avg total

86.7Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	86.9	80.6	167.6	+6.3	65%
Season at home (15)	89.5	77.5	166.9	+12.0	87%
Season away (16)	84.6	83.6	168.2	+0.9	44%
Last 10 (10)	86.7	82.8	169.5	+3.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	81.2	165.8	+3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	81.0	87.5	168.5	-6.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	82.1	86.6	168.7	-4.4	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	88.9	77.8	166.7	+11.1	81%

This opponent (Moron) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Moron

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMoron

Date

Competition

Estela

#14

68-87

-19

51avg 59

H02/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

73-97

-24

62avg 59

A07/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

89-59

+30

79avg 59

H11/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

91-78

+13

82avg 59

A15/03

Primera FEB

Cartagena

64-68

-4

52avg 59

H22/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

61-74

-13

45avg 59

A29/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

70-99

-29

55avg 59

H06/04

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

70-87

-17

56avg 59

A13/04

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

64-83

-19

55avg 59

A17/04

Primera FEB

Real Betis

63-76

-13

42avg 59

H22/04

Primera FEB

24-13

13-29

23-23

8-22

21-26

16-27

23-21

13-23

19-12

25-10

30-20

15-17

17-21

29-20

16-17

29-20

16-5

21-19

16-27

11-17

18-13

17-32

15-22

11-7

21-23

20-20

16-24

13-32

20-25

17-27

17-17

16-18

20-17

14-17

15-24

15-25

27-15

12-17

12-23

12-21

152.1Avg total

71.3Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	71.8	83.1	154.9	-11.4	10%
Season at home (16)	74.0	83.6	157.6	-9.6	12%
Season away (15)	69.4	82.7	152.1	-13.3	7%
Last 10 (10)	71.3	80.8	152.1	-9.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	65.6	83.8	149.4	-18.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	71.3	83.4	154.7	-12.1	4%
vs Similar (4)	77.5	82.2	159.8	-4.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalenciaMoron

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.9	42.3	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.4	40.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.6	39.4	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	22.5	41.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.6	22.4	40.0	-4.9	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.4	19.5	41.9	+3.0	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.5	39.0	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.0	37.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.2	20.7	39.8	-1.5	42%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	21.5	39.2	-3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	19.7	42.5	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	18.1	40.8	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	21.3	44.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.2	19.2	45.4	+7.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	17.2	42.8	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.1	22.6	46.7	+1.6	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.5	18.9	41.4	+3.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	23.1	40.7	-5.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.6	38.6	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.2	22.1	40.2	-3.9	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oviedo

#11

39-33

H01/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

51-48

A08/03

Primera FEB

Cartagena

45-34

+11

H12/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

58-59

-1

A16/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

50-33

+17

H21/03

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

40-36

A30/03

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

38-32

H04/04

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

34-35

-1

A12/04

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

53-46

H19/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

47-50

-3

A23/04

Primera FEB

86.1Avg total

45.5Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	40.1	83.9	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.4	36.9	81.3	+7.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	43.3	86.4	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	40.6	86.1	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	39.8	82.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.7	45.0	86.7	-3.3	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.9	38.4	83.3	+6.5	76%	-

This opponent (Moron) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MoronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estela

#14

37-42

-5

H02/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

37-53

-16

A07/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

44-22

+22

H11/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

46-41

A15/03

Primera FEB

Cartagena

37-24

+13

H22/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

35-45

-10

A29/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

41-43

-2

H06/04

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

37-52

-15

A13/04

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

34-34

A17/04

Primera FEB

Real Betis

39-32

H22/04

Primera FEB

77.5Avg total

38.7Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	42.5	79.9	-5.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	39.9	78.6	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	45.1	81.2	-8.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	38.8	77.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	41.2	78.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	37.3	42.7	80.1	-5.4	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.8	41.0	78.8	-3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	19.5	43.1	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.4	38.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	19.9	39.1	-0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.1	18.8	41.9	+4.3	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	21.2	41.3	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	19.9	36.6	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	21.8	40.1	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	22.0	37.0	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.2	20.5	38.7	-2.4	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.9	43.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.0	45.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	25.5	50.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.1	21.7	42.9	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	52%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.0	19.7	35.8	-3.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.5	21.7	37.3	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	17.7	34.3	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.3	20.2	34.5	-5.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	20.6	34.0	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	15.5	19.6	35.0	-4.1	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	20.8	40.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	40.4	83.4	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	40.5	85.6	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.0	40.3	81.3	+0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	42.2	83.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.4	83.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	46.5	88.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.4	41.6	82.0	-1.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.0	39.4	83.4	+4.6	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.4	40.3	74.7	-5.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.6	42.9	78.5	-7.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.3	37.6	70.9	-4.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.6	42.0	74.6	-9.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	42.6	71.0	-14.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	33.6	40.1	73.7	-6.5	23%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.8	41.2	81.0	-1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.1	52.2%	51.8%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	8.4	34.1%	33.7%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.4%	73.6%	13.8

They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Morontheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	17.8	55.6%	51.8%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	11.0	36.4%	33.7%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.8	19.3	84.6%	73.6%	19.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.0	52.5%	51.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.7	34.3%	33.7%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.6	74.4%	73.6%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.7	53.7%	51.8%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.5%	33.7%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.8	78.9%	73.6%	16.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palencia wins

Moron wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/24	Moron v Palencia	86-91

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/04/25	A	Ourense	84-94
19/04/25	H	Tizona Burgos	102-79
12/04/25	A	Obradoiro CAB	76-77
04/04/25	H	Hestia Menorca	84-72
30/03/25	A	Zamora	77-84
21/03/25	H	Estela	85-77
16/03/25	A	Estudiantes	98-104
12/03/25	H	Cartagena	88-71
08/03/25	A	Real Valladolid	83-92
01/03/25	H	Oviedo	90-78

Moronlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/25	H	Real Betis	63-76
17/04/25	A	Castello	64-83
13/04/25	A	Estudiantes	70-87
06/04/25	H	Obradoiro CAB	70-99
29/03/25	A	Oviedo	61-74
22/03/25	H	Cartagena	64-68
15/03/25	A	Real Valladolid	91-78
11/03/25	H	Ourense	89-59
07/03/25	A	Tizona Burgos	73-97
02/03/25	H	Estela	68-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	65%
Home	WWWWW	87%
Away	LLLLL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	65%	87%	44%
Points / game	86.9	89.5	84.6
Allowed / game	80.6	77.5	83.6
Point differential	+6.3	+12.0	+0.9
Avg total	167.6	166.9	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	53%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	67% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Moron

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	10%
Home	LWLLL	12%
Away	LWLLL	7%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	10%	12%	7%
Points / game	71.8	74.0	69.4
Allowed / game	83.1	83.6	82.7
Point differential	-11.4	-9.6	-13.3
Avg total	154.9	157.6	152.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	6%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	25% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	31	29	2	94%	88.5	74.4	+14.0
2	Estudiantes	31	25	6	81%	87.1	78.5	+8.6
3	Fuenlabrada	31	25	6	81%	84.9	76.4	+8.5
4	Real Betis	31	24	7	77%	83.1	74.5	+8.6
5	Obradoiro CAB	31	22	9	71%	82.4	73.5	+8.9
6	Palencia	31	20	11	65%	86.9	80.6	+6.3
7	Tizona Burgos	31	15	16	48%	87.7	89.3	-1.6
8	Cartagena	31	15	16	48%	77.8	83.8	-6.1
9	Gipuzkoa	31	14	17	45%	78.5	79.3	-0.8
10	Ourense	31	13	18	42%	82.1	83.4	-1.3
11	Alicante	31	12	19	39%	79.2	79.5	-0.4
12	Oviedo	31	12	19	39%	79.2	81.2	-2.0
13	Zamora	31	12	19	39%	79.0	82.5	-3.4
14	Hestia Menorca	31	10	21	32%	74.7	78.5	-3.8
15	Real Valladolid	31	10	21	32%	78.2	85.9	-7.7
16	Estela	31	10	21	32%	75.7	83.7	-8.0
17	Castello	31	8	23	26%	79.8	88.4	-8.5
18	Moron	31	3	28	10%	71.8	83.1	-11.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palencia	22	21	9	29	81
Moron	21	6	20	21	68

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Palencia vs Moron Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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