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Memphis Grizzlies vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 19 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game119.7
Allowed / game107.9
vs
Position#2
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game123.4
Allowed / game110.0
USANBA· FedExForum
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Memphis Grizzlies v Boston Celtics
18 Feb 2027
MEM v BOS
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
MEM112
BOS117
08 Oct 2025
MEM103
BOS121
31 Mar 2025
MEM103
BOS117
19 Nov 2023
MEM100
BOS102
07 Nov 2022
MEM106
BOS109
10 Apr 2022
MEM110
BOS139
22 Mar 2021
MEM132
BOS126
11 Aug 2020
MEM107
BOS122
29 Dec 2018
MEM103
BOS112
16 Dec 2017
MEM93
BOS102
20 Dec 2016
MEM109
BOS112
10 Jan 2016
MEM101
BOS98
21 Nov 2014
MEM117
BOS100
04 Nov 2013
MEM95
BOS88
23 Mar 2013
MEM110
BOS106
13 Nov 2010
MEM110
BOS116
14 Dec 2009
MEM105
BOS110
21 Mar 2009
MEM87
BOS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Memphis Grizzlies win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Memphis GrizzliesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrizzlies
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
132-123
132
123
+9
110avg 96
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
118-122
118
122
-4
88avg 96
H08/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
104-100
104
100
+4
89avg 96
A10/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
W
116-98
116
98
+18
98avg 96
H17/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
123-103
123
103
+20
117avg 96
H22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
W
111-108
111
108
+3
107avg 96
A24/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
123-112
123
112
+11
116avg 96
A26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
110-105
110
105
+5
104avg 96
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
124-103
124
103
+21
121avg 96
A30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
136-105
136
105
+31
no box
H01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-35
49-26
29-37
22-25
26-36
35-28
26-30
31-28
30-27
30-23
25-32
19-18
23-20
27-18
29-24
37-36
29-31
35-20
34-28
25-24
33-34
27-22
24-34
27-18
25-28
42-31
29-31
27-22
30-21
28-31
31-24
21-29
25-25
33-33
33-25
33-20
27-21
39-34
42-23
28-27
227.6Avg total
119.7Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)119.7107.9227.6+11.890%
Season at home (4)123.2107.0230.2+16.275%
Season away (6)117.3108.5225.8+8.8100%
Last 10 (10)119.7107.9227.6+11.890%
Last 5 (5)120.8106.6227.4+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)111.2129.4240.6-18.17%
vs Similar ◀ (7)114.1126.1240.3-12.029%
vs Weaker (9)119.2108.4227.7+10.889%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
100-109
100
109
-9
84avg 108
H02/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
W
124-113
124
113
+11
90avg 108
A08/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
W
144-106
144
106
+38
136avg 108
H11/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
W
114-93
114
93
+21
102avg 108
H14/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
W
125-120 OT
125
120
+5
77avg 108
A16/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
113-121
113
121
-8
104avg 108
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
107-103
107
103
+4
96avg 108
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 108
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 108
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
31-23
25-33
25-21
32-29
39-33
28-34
25-17
24-20
39-22
41-27
40-37
28-20
26-24
31-33
29-16
34-28
24-32
26-34
31-21
28-27
30-18
30-37
25-39
26-27
24-22
33-24
24-30
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
231.0Avg total
121.1Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)123.4110.0233.4+13.489%
Season at home (6)124.8106.0230.8+18.8100%
Season away (3)120.7118.0238.7+2.767%
Last 10 (10)121.1109.9231.0+11.280%
Last 5 (5)120.8111.6232.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)113.0105.5218.5+7.575%
vs Weaker (26)117.3107.7225.0+9.673%
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
Memphis GrizzliesBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Memphis GrizzliesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H08/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A10/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H17/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A24/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H01/11
NBA
116.9Avg total
62.5Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.860.9118.7-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.159.3115.4-3.121%-
Last 30 away (16)59.262.4121.6-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)62.554.4116.9+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)61.856.0117.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)55.564.2119.7-8.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)55.763.3119.0-7.60%-
vs Weaker (9)63.054.0117.0+9.089%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A08/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H11/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H14/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A16/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
112.5Avg total
60.4Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.152.5111.5+6.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.152.3110.4+5.856%-
Last 30 away (12)60.552.8113.2+7.867%-
Last 10 (10)60.452.1112.5+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)61.651.6113.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)55.054.2109.2+0.825%-
vs Weaker (26)59.752.2111.9+7.565%-
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Memphis Grizzliestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Memphis Grizzlies: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.825.1
51.4%
54.0%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.114.4
37.8%
34.9%43.2
🏀 Free throws23.619.7
83.5%
76.3%19.7
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.126.4
53.8%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.415.6
35.1%
34.9%46.8
🏀 Free throws25.018.3
73.2%
76.3%18.3
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Memphis Grizzlies
WWWWWWWWLW
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWL
#1
League position
#2
+2.3
Net rating
+7.6
105.0
Offensive rating
105.3
102.6
Defensive rating
97.7
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
14.4%
Turnover %
13.0%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.8%
3-point %
35.1%
68.1%
Assist %
65.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 105.3Defence102.6 · 97.7Shooting53.7% · 53.3%3-point %37.8% · 35.1%Ball care14.4% · 13.0%Off. rebounds28.6% · 21.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Memphis Grizzlies   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HSacramento Kings136-105
30/10/26APortland Trail Blazers124-103
27/10/26AUtah Jazz110-105
26/10/26ASacramento Kings123-112
24/10/26AGolden State Warriors111-108
22/10/26HUtah Jazz123-103
17/10/26HCharlotte Hornets116-98
10/10/26AChicago Bulls104-100
08/10/26HOrlando Magic118-122
05/10/26AAtlanta Hawks132-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
23/10/26HNew York Knicks107-103
20/10/26ADetroit Pistons113-121
16/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers125-120 OT
14/10/26HCharlotte Hornets114-93
11/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers144-106
08/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers124-113
02/05/26HPhiladelphia 76ers100-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %90%75%100%
Points / game119.7123.2117.3
Allowed / game107.9107.0108.5
Point differential+11.8+16.2+8.8
Avg total227.6230.2225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game123.4124.8120.7
Allowed / game110.0106.0118.0
Point differential+13.4+18.8+2.7
Avg total233.4230.8238.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %22%17%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
2 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
17 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
18 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
22 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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