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Meralco Bolts vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 102-109
23-29 21-22 32-27 26-31
Position#6
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game109.0
PhilippinesCommissioners Cup
Other2025
Meetings · Meralco Bolts v Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
27 Mar 2026
MERA102
RAIN109
01 Dec 2024
MERA121
RAIN111
08 Nov 2023
MERA107
RAIN102
22 Jan 2023
MERA105
RAIN87
24 Jul 2021
MERA72
RAIN85
05 Nov 2020
MERA85
RAIN78
15 Mar 2019
MERA85
RAIN88
24 Jun 2018
MERA99
RAIN106
29 Jul 2017
MERA89
RAIN73
20 Jan 2017
MERA82
RAIN72
10 Aug 2016
MERA109
RAIN102
17 Feb 2016
MERA98
RAIN95
16 Dec 2015
MERA87
RAIN97
21 Jun 2015
MERA89
RAIN96
05 Apr 2015
MERA82
RAIN92
10 Feb 2015
MERA92
RAIN87
10 Jun 2014
MERA85
RAIN104
26 Apr 2014
MERA96
RAIN97
21 Apr 2014
MERA94
RAIN91
06 Sep 2013
MERA82
RAIN76
21 Nov 2012
MERA98
RAIN102
04 Nov 2012
MERA81
RAIN106
15 Dec 2010
MERA125
RAIN124
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Meralco Bolts winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Meralco BoltsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBolts
Date
Competition
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H30/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
97-108
97
108
-11
no box
H20/06
Philippine Cup
Ryukyu
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 74
A22/10
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
58avg 74
A02/11
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
85-76
85
76
+9
74avg 74
H08/11
EASL
Macau Black Bears
#12
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 74
H15/11
EASL
Macau Black Bears
#12
W
93-91
93
91
+2
92avg 74
A06/12
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
66avg 74
H11/02
EASL
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
109-88
109
88
+21
no box
H18/03
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
W
93-86
93
86
+7
no box
A21/03
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
20-20
24-19
21-17
20-35
24-23
31-23
22-27
18-14
18-23
20-22
16-22
16-21
14-22
17-21
25-18
23-14
20-16
23-20
19-26
25-24
23-14
17-14
27-22
29-27
22-17
20-19
22-28
16-26
20-25
22-23
21-14
22-27
26-18
31-20
30-23
18-23
29-26
26-22
20-15
172.1Avg total
87.4Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)101.087.0188.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)109.088.0197.0+21.0100%
Season away (1)93.086.0179.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.484.7172.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)93.285.4178.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)92.799.8192.5-7.231%
vs Similar ◀ (10)91.794.7186.4-3.040%
vs Weaker (7)101.986.9188.7+15.0100%
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPainters
Date
Competition
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A18/06
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
W
103-92
103
92
+11
no box
H21/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A25/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
105-113 OT
105
113
-8
no box
H27/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
107-86
107
86
+21
no box
A29/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
92-108
92
108
-16
no box
H02/07
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
113-97
113
97
+16
no box
A04/07
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
89-97
89
97
-8
no box
H06/07
Philippine Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
W
116-109
116
109
+7
no box
H14/03
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
W
112-109
112
109
+3
no box
A20/03
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
19-22
22-36
23-16
21-27
31-28
26-22
25-15
23-23
18-18
17-22
33-35
25-21
27-29
18-28
29-21
33-15
18-22
33-20
23-29
28-22
19-19
22-39
23-28
28-24
28-28
37-12
20-33
27-28
23-19
20-22
19-28
24-28
28-30
31-20
33-31
25-34
29-24
26-22
32-29
201.8Avg total
102.0Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)114.0109.0223.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)116.0109.0225.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)112.0109.0221.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)102.099.8201.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)104.4104.0208.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)115.0112.5227.5+2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (23)100.5101.4201.9-0.943%
vs Weaker (5)110.499.0209.4+11.4100%
This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Meralco BoltsRain or Shine Elasto Painters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Meralco BoltsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H30/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H20/06
Philippine Cup
Ryukyu
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A22/10
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A02/11
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H08/11
EASL
Macau Black Bears
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H15/11
EASL
Macau Black Bears
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A06/12
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H11/02
EASL
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/03
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A21/03
Commissioners Cup
85.2Avg total
42.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.947.592.4-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.048.293.2-3.240%-
Last 30 away (15)44.846.791.5-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.285.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.491.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)43.348.391.6-5.031%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.048.492.4-4.420%-
vs Weaker (7)49.144.693.7+4.671%-
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A18/06
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H21/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A25/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H27/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A29/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H02/07
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A04/07
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H06/07
Philippine Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H14/03
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A20/03
Commissioners Cup
97.8Avg total
50.2Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.149.8100.8+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.953.1103.0-3.238%-
Last 30 away (17)51.947.299.2+4.771%-
Last 10 (10)50.247.697.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)51.851.2103.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.556.0108.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)50.349.199.4+1.257%-
vs Weaker (5)54.050.2104.2+3.860%-
This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Meralco Boltstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Meralco Bolts: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.0
50.1%
-42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.14.9
27.1%
-14.7
🏀 Free throws17.711.5
65.0%
-11.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.3
52.2%
-44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.4
32.3%
-34.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.6
68.8%
-17.6
They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Meralco Bolts
WWLWWWLLLW
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
WWLWLWLLWW
#6
League position
#3
+0.9
Net rating
-3.9
102.7
Offensive rating
108.0
101.8
Defensive rating
111.9
47.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
12.2%
Turnover %
12.9%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.1%
3-point %
32.3%
59.5%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Meralco Bolts   ■ Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26APhoenix Fuelmasters93-86
18/03/26HConverge FiberXers109-88
11/02/26HRyukyu79-88
06/12/25AMacau Black Bears93-91
15/11/25HMacau Black Bears92-74
08/11/25HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots85-76
02/11/25ATaoyuan Pauian Pilots72-82
22/10/25ARyukyu72-81
20/06/25HSan Miguel Beermen97-108
30/05/25HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel82-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26ATNT Tropang Giga112-109
14/03/26HMacau Black Bears116-109
06/07/25HTNT Tropang Giga89-97
04/07/25ATNT Tropang Giga113-97
02/07/25HTNT Tropang Giga92-108
29/06/25ATNT Tropang Giga107-86
27/06/25HTNT Tropang Giga105-113 OT
25/06/25ATNT Tropang Giga91-98
21/06/25HNLEX Road Warriors103-92
18/06/25ANLEX Road Warriors92-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Meralco Bolts
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.0109.093.0
Allowed / game87.088.086.0
Point differential+14.0+21.0+7.0
Avg total188.0197.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game114.0116.0112.0
Allowed / game109.0109.0109.0
Point differential+5.0+7.0+3.0
Avg total223.0225.0221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel110100%110.093.0+17.0
2 Meralco Bolts220100%101.087.0+14.0
3 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters220100%114.0109.0+5.0
4 Phoenix Fuelmasters43175%107.293.0+14.2
5 Terrafirma Dyip43175%106.8100.8+6.0
6 NLEX Road Warriors32167%97.796.3+1.3
7 TNT Tropang Giga21150%106.0104.5+1.5
8 San Miguel Beermen21150%107.5109.0-1.5
9 Blackwater Bossing31233%88.791.3-2.7
10 Titan Ultra Giant Risers31233%92.3111.0-18.7
11 Converge FiberXers41325%97.2104.2-7.0
12 Magnolia Hotshots3030%98.0103.3-5.3
13 Macau Black Bears3030%98.7109.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Meralco Bolts23213226102
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters29222731109
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