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Merkezefendi vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 92-94
21-29 22-27 28-20 21-18
Position#14
Record11-17
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
Position#4
Record17-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game86.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 29· Pamukkale Üniversitesi Spor Salonu
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Merkezefendi v Tofas
16 Nov 2025
MER78
TOF72
11 May 2025
MER92
TOF94
13 Oct 2023
MER93
TOF97
16 Apr 2023
MER88
TOF95
26 Mar 2022
MER66
TOF98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merkezefendi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MerkezefendiTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerkezefendi
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
W
98-96
98
96
+2
94avg 78
H02/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
81avg 78
A09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
99-93
99
93
+6
103avg 78
H16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
L
90-98
90
98
-8
81avg 78
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
W
85-82
85
82
+3
86avg 78
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 78
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
92-78
92
78
+14
94avg 78
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
100-97
100
97
+3
102avg 78
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
79-63
79
63
+16
82avg 78
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
78-64
78
64
+14
74avg 78
A05/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
28-23
25-19
21-24
30-30
23-23
13-12
23-16
35-30
17-18
21-17
26-28
22-27
19-26
17-22
32-23
19-20
23-23
16-19
27-20
14-17
21-17
25-26
18-22
26-22
28-17
14-18
24-21
26-24
26-26
24-21
24-26
26-18
21-19
16-13
16-13
21-21
14-22
16-11
27-10
172.2Avg total
88.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.286.3168.5-4.139%
Season at home (14)81.782.3164.0-0.657%
Season away (14)82.690.3172.9-7.621%
Last 10 (10)88.883.4172.2+5.480%
Last 5 (5)85.476.8162.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.384.4162.7-6.143%
vs Similar (16)85.287.9173.1-2.638%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#9
L
93-98
93
98
-5
90avg 86
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
W
102-93
102
93
+9
105avg 86
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
111-93
111
93
+18
117avg 86
H16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
95-88
95
88
+7
94avg 86
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
98-106
98
106
-8
94avg 86
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
72-97
72
97
-25
67avg 86
A07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 86
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 86
A21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
W
87-65
87
65
+22
71avg 86
H27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
69avg 86
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
20-29
26-23
19-26
30-25
23-21
27-20
22-27
23-22
29-26
31-26
28-19
25-24
27-20
23-21
20-23
26-28
31-27
24-21
17-30
14-28
22-20
17-33
19-16
29-23
24-15
16-19
19-32
17-8
13-28
16-30
26-20
28-9
16-21
19-14
24-21
16-24
23-20
24-18
12-24
179.4Avg total
89.3Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.986.0173.9+1.961%
Season at home (14)93.385.4178.6+7.979%
Season away (14)82.586.6169.1-4.143%
Last 10 (10)89.390.1179.4-0.840%
Last 5 (5)78.884.6163.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.388.3169.6-7.029%
vs Similar (15)86.988.0174.9-1.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)91.183.7174.9+7.471%
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -3.2-3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -3.2-3.2
MerkezefendiTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MerkezefendiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H02/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A05/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
91.6Avg total
46.3Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.785.2-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.941.082.9+0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)41.146.487.5-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)46.345.391.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.685.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.844.484.1-4.621%-
vs Similar (16)43.043.186.1-0.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
90.2Avg total
46.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.287.5+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.141.989.9+6.279%-
Last 30 away (16)41.044.485.4-3.419%-
Last 10 (10)46.443.890.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.279.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.345.486.7-4.129%-
vs Similar (15)45.743.188.8+2.753%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.441.185.6+3.357%-
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Merkezefenditheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Merkezefendi: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.7
54.1%
54.1%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.4
34.0%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.711.3
72.0%
76.0%11.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.325.4
61.5%
54.1%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.2
31.3%
35.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.3
75.5%
76.0%17.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Merkezefendi
WWWWLWLWWW
Tofas
LWLLLLWWWL
#14
League position
#4
-3.6
Net rating
+4.9
109.7
Offensive rating
114.3
113.3
Defensive rating
109.4
52.9%
Effective FG%
56.8%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.4%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.0%
3-point %
31.3%
50.8%
Assist %
67.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 114.3Defence113.3 · 109.4Shooting52.9% · 56.8%3-point %34.0% · 31.3%Ball care17.9% · 18.4%Off. rebounds33.5% · 31.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Merkezefendi   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Merkezefendi wins
7
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Tofas v Merkezefendi91-80
28/01/24Tofas v Merkezefendi98-77
13/10/23Merkezefendi v Tofas93-97
16/04/23Merkezefendi v Tofas88-95 OT
12/12/22Tofas v Merkezefendi90-79
26/03/22Merkezefendi v Tofas66-98
01/12/21Tofas v Merkezefendi97-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/25ATurk Telekom78-64
02/05/25HFenerbahce79-63
18/04/25AAnadolu Efes100-97
13/04/25HManisa92-78
06/04/25APetkim Spor78-82
29/03/25HDarussafaka85-82
23/03/25ABursaspor90-98
16/03/25HYalovaspor99-93
09/03/25ABuyukcekmece89-81
02/03/25HGalatasaray98-96
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HBahcesehir Kol.75-86
27/04/25HMersin SK87-65
21/04/25ATurk Telekom72-86
13/04/25HFenerbahce88-89
07/04/25AAnadolu Efes72-97
29/03/25HManisa98-106
22/03/25APetkim Spor95-88
16/03/25HDarussafaka111-93
12/03/25HBilbao102-93
08/03/25ABursaspor93-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merkezefendi
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW39%
HomeWWWWW57%
AwayWLLWW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%57%21%
Points / game82.281.782.6
Allowed / game86.382.390.3
Point differential-4.1-0.6-7.6
Avg total168.5164.0172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL61%
HomeWLLWL79%
AwayLLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%79%43%
Points / game87.993.382.5
Allowed / game86.085.486.6
Point differential+1.9+7.9-4.1
Avg total173.9178.6169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2926390%88.180.1+8.0
2 Besiktas2823582%90.581.1+9.5
3 Anadolu Efes2619773%90.580.3+10.3
4 Tofas28171161%87.986.0+1.9
5 Bahcesehir Kol.29171259%82.479.6+2.8
6 Mersin SK29151452%82.084.9-2.9
7 Galatasaray28141450%87.686.2+1.4
8 Buyukcekmece29131645%85.885.9-0.1
9 Turk Telekom28121643%82.883.9-1.1
10 Petkim Spor29121741%82.383.8-1.5
11 Bursaspor29121741%85.389.8-4.5
12 Merkezefendi28111739%82.286.3-4.1
13 Karsiyaka27101737%84.487.4-3.0
14 Manisa29101934%87.188.9-1.8
15 Darussafaka2992031%82.287.7-5.5
16 Yalovaspor2972224%80.188.5-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Merkezefendi2122282192
Tofas2927201894
← all games of the day
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