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Tofas vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 81-86
21-19 21-29 19-21 20-17
Position#6
Record7-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#4
Record13-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game84.3
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 19
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Tofas v Karsiyaka
23 Apr 2027
TOF v KAR
upcoming
03 May 2026
TOF87
KAR78
17 May 2025
TOF90
KAR76
21 Apr 2024
TOF111
KAR91
05 Mar 2023
TOF81
KAR86
12 Dec 2021
TOF69
KAR71
30 Mar 2021
TOF90
KAR79
17 Oct 2020
TOF78
KAR88
07 Dec 2019
TOF94
KAR88
26 Jan 2019
TOF93
KAR91
15 Apr 2018
TOF94
KAR75
21 Jan 2017
TOF80
KAR86
06 Nov 2012
TOF63
KAR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
L
77-87
77
87
-10
71avg 76
H21/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
L
70-73
70
73
-3
62avg 76
A04/01
Champions League
Bursaspor
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 76
H10/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
81-94
81
94
-13
no box
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
H27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
21-18
19-25
23-22
15-20
16-17
18-18
29-10
19-25
16-28
15-17
32-18
20-16
17-19
12-17
21-21
21-20
22-22
16-21
23-20
18-9
24-29
10-23
30-24
18-21
21-24
20-16
25-28
20-27
21-20
20-28
20-19
22-18
25-15
9-21
23-22
13-18
19-19
31-21
13-24
161.3Avg total
79.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.979.7159.6+0.239%
Season at home (8)83.673.1156.8+10.575%
Season away (10)76.985.0161.9-8.110%
Last 10 (10)79.182.2161.3-3.120%
Last 5 (5)80.485.2165.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.883.2159.0-7.525%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.180.1160.2+0.125%
vs Weaker (10)83.972.3156.2+11.670%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#5
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#15
W
96-91
96
91
+5
no box
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
92-97
92
97
-5
74avg 70
A03/01
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
104-102
104
102
+2
no box
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
89-96
89
96
-7
76avg 70
H11/01
Champions League
Konyaspor
#16
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
A21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
103-91
103
91
+12
no box
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
20-20
18-15
22-14
26-32
27-16
20-25
23-18
15-18
32-21
15-14
11-25
13-26
31-25
25-27
23-19
33-22
19-27
24-31
28-22
22-22
28-25
22-16
17-33
17-20
27-12
15-18
23-21
24-18
17-25
20-19
15-18
28-19
27-24
21-25
27-23
23-25
29-20
18-23
24-22
176.6Avg total
89.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.984.3172.2+3.672%
Season at home (9)90.884.9175.7+5.989%
Season away (9)85.083.8168.8+1.256%
Last 10 (10)89.087.6176.6+1.460%
Last 5 (5)88.885.6174.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.891.4174.2-8.620%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.181.2164.3+1.973%
vs Weaker (9)87.280.0167.2+7.278%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
TofasKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H21/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/01
Champions League
Bursaspor
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.9Avg total
38.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.736.577.2+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.935.177.1+6.879%-
Last 30 away (16)39.737.777.4+2.044%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.778.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.080.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.637.476.0+1.256%-
vs Weaker (10)43.432.776.1+10.770%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#15
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A03/01
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H11/01
Champions League
Konyaspor
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
92.7Avg total
47.9Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.784.9+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.143.089.1+3.171%-
Last 30 away (16)42.638.781.2+3.950%-
Last 10 (10)47.944.892.7+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.442.090.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.744.787.4-2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.538.581.0+4.155%-
vs Weaker (9)47.939.086.9+8.989%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.9
53.0%
54.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.3
36.4%
35.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.313.1
67.9%
76.0%13.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.2
50.4%
54.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.9
33.2%
35.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.413.7
70.6%
76.0%13.7
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWLLLLLLWL
Karsiyaka
WWLWLWLLWW
#6
League position
#4
+12.1
Net rating
-11.2
110.1
Offensive rating
106.9
98.0
Defensive rating
118.1
53.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.0%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.4%
3-point %
33.2%
62.3%
Assist %
57.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 106.9Defence98.0 · 118.1Shooting53.6% · 50.2%3-point %36.4% · 33.2%Ball care18.6% · 15.0%Off. rebounds33.1% · 28.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Tofas   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tofas wins
5
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
21/10/22Karsiyaka v Tofas72-83
09/04/22Karsiyaka v Tofas79-78
12/12/21Tofas v Karsiyaka69-71
30/03/21Tofas v Karsiyaka90-79
03/03/21Karsiyaka v Tofas78-70
31/01/21Karsiyaka v Tofas90-71
17/10/20Tofas v Karsiyaka78-88
07/12/19Tofas v Karsiyaka94-88
26/01/19Tofas v Karsiyaka93-91 OT
06/10/18Karsiyaka v Tofas55-82
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23AManisa76-82
27/01/23HKonyaspor79-76
22/01/23ABuyukcekmece81-94
14/01/23ABahcesehir Kol.84-89
10/01/23HAEK Athens82-85
07/01/23HBursaspor82-83
04/01/23AAEK Athens70-73
31/12/22ADarussafaka82-88
25/12/22HPetkim Spor78-65
21/12/22HMurcia77-87
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HBesiktas94-90
28/01/23HGalatasaray103-91
21/01/23AManisa76-80
14/01/23AKonyaspor82-71
11/01/23HMurcia89-96
08/01/23HBuyukcekmece104-102
03/01/23AMurcia92-97
31/12/22ABahcesehir Kol.73-78
27/12/22HGaziantep96-91
24/12/22HBursaspor81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%75%10%
Points / game79.983.676.9
Allowed / game79.773.185.0
Point differential+0.2+10.5-8.1
Avg total159.6156.8161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%89%56%
Points / game87.990.885.0
Allowed / game84.384.983.8
Point differential+3.6+5.9+1.2
Avg total172.2175.7168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1816289%85.076.3+8.7
2 Turk Telekom1916384%86.476.7+9.7
3 Anadolu Efes1813572%87.679.8+7.7
4 Karsiyaka1813572%87.984.3+3.6
5 Bursaspor1812667%83.378.8+4.4
6 Darussafaka1991047%81.083.9-2.9
7 Merkezefendi1991047%80.483.4-2.9
8 Bahcesehir Kol.1981142%75.477.9-2.5
9 Tofas1871139%79.979.7+0.2
10 Manisa1871139%75.682.7-7.1
11 Gaziantep1971237%75.575.9-0.5
12 Galatasaray1971237%79.380.3-1.0
13 Buyukcekmece1971237%77.080.8-3.8
14 Petkim Spor1971237%77.182.2-5.2
15 Konyaspor1961332%78.481.8-3.5
16 Besiktas1951426%77.981.8-3.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2121192081
Karsiyaka1929211786
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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