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Tofas vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 94-89
23-24 24-15 18-18 29-32
Position#6
Record7-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game81.4
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#3
Record18-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game77.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 22
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Tofas v Fenerbahce
05 Mar 2027
TOF v FEN
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
TOF80
FEN78
13 Apr 2025
TOF88
FEN89
05 Nov 2023
TOF86
FEN95
31 May 2023
TOF87
FEN98
26 Mar 2023
TOF94
FEN89
16 Apr 2022
TOF78
FEN82
15 Feb 2022
TOF88
FEN93
31 Oct 2020
TOF103
FEN104
17 Nov 2019
TOF76
FEN82
25 Nov 2018
TOF69
FEN74
11 Jun 2018
TOF77
FEN95
09 Jun 2018
TOF91
FEN88
17 Dec 2017
TOF71
FEN88
26 May 2017
TOF73
FEN79
04 Dec 2016
TOF81
FEN72
03 Oct 2014
TOF76
FEN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#11
L
70-73
70
73
-3
62avg 75
A04/01
Champions League
Bursaspor
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 75
H10/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
81-94
81
94
-13
no box
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
H27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
L
85-105
85
105
-20
no box
A11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
17-19
12-17
21-21
21-20
22-22
16-21
23-20
18-9
24-29
10-23
30-24
18-21
21-24
20-16
25-28
20-27
21-20
20-28
20-19
22-18
25-15
9-21
23-22
13-18
19-19
31-21
13-24
21-19
21-29
19-21
20-17
30-24
18-24
16-27
21-30
23-27
22-11
7-30
29-15
165.7Avg total
80.1Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.281.4161.6-1.133%
Season at home (10)83.175.4158.5+7.760%
Season away (11)77.686.8164.5-9.29%
Last 10 (10)80.185.6165.7-5.510%
Last 5 (5)80.486.4166.8-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.883.2159.0-7.525%
vs Similar (17)80.782.8163.5-2.118%
vs Weaker (9)80.474.0154.4+6.467%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
93avg 79
A23/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
104-72
104
72
+32
105avg 79
H03/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
63avg 79
A08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
81-73
81
73
+8
77avg 79
H10/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
no box
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#13
L
80-82
80
82
-2
72avg 79
A16/03
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
W
95-80
95
80
+15
no box
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
75-82
75
82
-7
55avg 79
H21/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
87-79
87
79
+8
84avg 79
H24/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
25-24
21-23
29-25
31-14
27-15
27-23
19-20
26-19
25-24
18-17
23-18
25-17
14-26
17-18
18-17
18-30
19-10
24-16
20-17
21-22
27-24
21-27
29-29
21-22
21-21
18-18
20-21
25-17
21-21
26-26
23-16
18-23
17-14
17-24
23-21
22-16
24-19
19-20
22-24
170.3Avg total
88.3Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.477.8164.2+8.686%
Season at home (10)87.778.0165.7+9.790%
Season away (11)85.377.6162.9+7.682%
Last 10 (10)88.382.0170.3+6.360%
Last 5 (5)87.085.0172.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.093.5163.5-23.50%
vs Similar (10)81.382.5163.8-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.181.0168.1+6.167%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
TofasFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/01
Champions League
Bursaspor
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.7Avg total
41.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.278.8+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.736.979.6+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)38.439.678.0-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.182.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.883.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (17)40.039.779.7+0.347%-
vs Weaker (9)40.833.674.3+7.267%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A23/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
58-29
58
29
+29
H03/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H10/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/03
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H24/03
Euroleague
84.9Avg total
44.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.783.2-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.640.784.3+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)39.142.981.9-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)44.940.084.9+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.883.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.554.585.0-24.00%-
vs Similar (10)39.342.181.4-2.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.940.184.0+3.956%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.9
53.0%
54.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.3
36.4%
35.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.313.1
67.9%
76.0%13.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.6
55.2%
54.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.1
38.0%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.1%
76.0%11.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLLLWLLLLL
Fenerbahce
WLWLLWLWWW
#6
League position
#3
+12.1
Net rating
+3.1
110.1
Offensive rating
119.3
98.0
Defensive rating
116.2
53.6%
Effective FG%
56.0%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
18.6%
Turnover %
14.3%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.4%
3-point %
38.0%
62.3%
Assist %
55.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 119.3Defence98.0 · 116.2Shooting53.6% · 56.0%3-point %36.4% · 38.0%Ball care18.6% · 14.3%Off. rebounds33.1% · 32.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Tofas   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tofas wins
9
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
20/11/22Fenerbahce v Tofas82-68
16/04/22Tofas v Fenerbahce78-82
15/02/22Tofas v Fenerbahce88-93 OT
19/12/21Fenerbahce v Tofas82-72
10/02/21Fenerbahce v Tofas81-84
31/10/20Tofas v Fenerbahce103-104
15/03/20Fenerbahce v Tofas84-75
17/11/19Tofas v Fenerbahce76-82
24/03/19Fenerbahce v Tofas89-56
25/11/18Tofas v Fenerbahce69-74
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23HGalatasaray81-83
11/03/23ABesiktas85-105
05/03/23HKarsiyaka81-86
04/02/23AManisa76-82
27/01/23HKonyaspor79-76
22/01/23ABuyukcekmece81-94
14/01/23ABahcesehir Kol.84-89
10/01/23HAEK Athens82-85
07/01/23HBursaspor82-83
04/01/23AAEK Athens70-73
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas87-79
21/03/23HOlimpia Milano75-82
18/03/23HBesiktas95-80
16/03/23AValencia80-82
13/03/23AKarsiyaka98-102
10/03/23HBarcelona81-73
08/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-78
05/03/23HManisa92-78
03/03/23HVirtus Bologna104-72
23/02/23APartizan97-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWLWLL60%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%60%9%
Points / game80.283.177.6
Allowed / game81.475.486.8
Point differential-1.1+7.7-9.2
Avg total161.6158.5164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %86%90%82%
Points / game86.487.785.3
Allowed / game77.878.077.6
Point differential+8.6+9.7+7.6
Avg total164.2165.7162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%70%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom2219386%86.877.0+9.8
2 Fenerbahce2118386%86.477.8+8.6
3 Anadolu Efes2216673%87.679.2+8.4
4 Karsiyaka2216673%87.884.5+3.3
5 Bursaspor2213959%83.080.7+2.3
6 Darussafaka21101148%81.083.7-2.7
7 Galatasaray22101245%79.679.6+0.0
8 Buyukcekmece22101245%79.081.2-2.1
9 Merkezefendi22101245%80.784.0-3.3
10 Manisa2291341%76.582.7-6.2
11 Bahcesehir Kol.2181338%74.477.6-3.2
12 Petkim Spor2281436%77.282.4-5.1
13 Tofas2171433%80.281.4-1.1
14 Besiktas2271532%80.582.2-1.6
15 Gaziantep2271532%75.077.4-2.4
16 Konyaspor2261627%78.783.1-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2324182994
Fenerbahce2415183289
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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