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Southern Miss vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-70
27-29 36-41
Position#174
Record11-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#119
Record13-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Southern Miss v Appalachian State
29 Jan 2026
SOUT63
APPA70
31 Dec 2022
SOUT76
APPA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H20/12
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
62-90
62
90
-28
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A01/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
80-70 OT
80
70
+10
H09/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
65-91
65
91
-26
A15/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
54-54
30-41
32-49
45-38
42-35
33-27
41-40
29-28
36-37
31-28
39-32
26-42
39-49
28-27
39-47
32-30
30-39
25-39
42-46
149.2Avg total
72.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.073.7147.7+0.350%
Season at home (9)78.166.2144.3+11.989%
Season away (13)71.278.9150.1-7.823%
Last 10 (10)72.077.2149.2-5.240%
Last 5 (5)66.275.8142.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.384.4154.7-14.114%
vs Similar (15)70.975.9146.8-5.127%
vs Weaker (8)77.865.2143.0+12.588%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H20/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A31/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A09/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A10/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H15/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H17/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
39-21
28-31
35-39
37-19
44-54
32-44
49-44
23-25
29-25
32-26
30-41
38-27
42-38
17-36
56-39
31-30
41-28
28-20
31-23
132.8Avg total
69.0Scored
63.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.265.5137.7+6.659%
Season at home (12)76.661.2137.8+15.475%
Season away (10)66.970.8137.7-3.940%
Last 10 (10)69.063.8132.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)69.261.6130.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (6)64.873.5138.3-8.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)70.662.5133.1+8.161%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +4.4+4.4
Southern MissAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H20/12
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A01/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A15/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A24/01
NCAA
65.0Avg total
31.1Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.534.266.7-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.631.864.4+0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)32.536.368.8-3.844%-
Last 10 (10)31.133.965.0-2.860%-
Last 5 (5)28.433.261.6-4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.038.671.6-5.614%-
vs Similar (15)30.333.864.1-3.533%-
vs Weaker (8)36.231.167.4+5.188%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#127
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
37-19
37
19
+18
A31/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A03/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A09/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A10/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H15/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
17-36
17
36
-19
H17/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H23/01
NCAA
58.0Avg total
29.4Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.230.062.3+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.529.363.9+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)29.930.760.7-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)29.428.658.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)29.227.857.0+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.033.067.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (6)28.734.062.7-5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)33.128.962.0+4.257%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southern Miss wins
1
Appalachian State wins
Southern Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ACoastal Carolina67-85
23/01/26AGeorgia State62-69
17/01/26ATexas State67-74
15/01/26ATroy65-91
10/01/26HLouisiana Monroe70-60
09/01/26HTexas State80-70 OT
03/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette74-67
01/01/26ALouisiana Monroe87-73
30/12/25ALSU62-90
20/12/25HArkansas State86-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HLouisiana Monroe59-43
22/01/26HLouisiana Lafayette72-58
17/01/26HOld Dominion73-75
15/01/26HJames Madison80-65
10/01/26ACoastal Carolina62-67
09/01/26AGeorgia State52-50
03/01/26AMarshall81-88
31/12/25AOld Dominion81-73
20/12/25HGeorgia State63-70
18/12/25HCoastal Carolina67-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %50%89%23%
Points / game74.078.171.2
Allowed / game73.766.278.9
Point differential+0.3+11.9-7.8
Avg total147.7144.3150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%56%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %9%11%8%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW59%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayWWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %59%75%40%
Points / game72.276.666.9
Allowed / game65.561.270.8
Point differential+6.6+15.4-3.9
Avg total137.7137.8137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%58%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2215768%85.576.1+9.4
2 Marshall2113862%80.674.7+6.0
3 South Alabama2012860%74.269.3+4.8
4 Appalachian State2213959%72.265.5+6.6
5 Arkansas State2213959%82.579.1+3.3
6 Georgia Southern2213959%82.580.3+2.1
7 Coastal Carolina2213959%73.972.2+1.7
8 Texas State23121152%73.071.4+1.7
9 Southern Miss22111150%74.073.7+0.3
10 James Madison22111150%74.975.9-1.0
11 Georgia State2191243%71.173.7-2.6
12 Old Dominion2271532%74.277.3-3.1
13 Louisiana Lafayette2151624%60.169.2-9.1
14 Louisiana Monroe2131814%70.882.8-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss273663
Appalachian State294170
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