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Merrimack Warriors vs Quinnipiac Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#240
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#274
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Quinnipiac
03 Jan 2027
MERR v QUIN
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MERR83
QUIN71
02 Mar 2025
MERR73
QUIN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Quinnipiac win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H06/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#208
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H02/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#109
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H06/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#181
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A08/11
NCAA
Florida
#48
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
32-35
32-29
30-38
30-28
43-38
39-25
31-23
30-28
28-29
30-33
24-31
43-21
20-28
26-38
35-33
30-26
43-34
26-43
28-40
130.7Avg total
65.6Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)62.865.8128.5-3.050%
Season at home (2)62.060.0122.0+2.050%
Season away (2)63.571.5135.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)65.665.1130.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)61.065.4126.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.367.7127.0-8.333%
vs Similar ◀ (18)69.562.9132.4+6.678%
vs Weaker (9)70.762.6133.2+8.189%
This opponent (Quinnipiac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuinnipiacUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H07/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#25
L
59-96
59
96
-37
A03/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#341
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H06/11
NCAA
Vermont
#196
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#328
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H13/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#183
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
21-21
28-35
36-39
43-46
32-31
36-37
29-30
38-33
32-42
43-35
24-52
35-44
33-29
33-27
37-40
42-36
37-36
33-38
–
–
142.0Avg total
68.7Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.274.8143.0-6.640%
Season at home (2)68.065.0133.0+3.050%
Season away (3)68.381.3149.7-13.033%
Last 10 (10)68.773.3142.0-4.630%
Last 5 (5)68.274.8143.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.082.0150.0-14.033%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.670.5142.1+1.142%
vs Weaker (15)75.269.2144.4+6.073%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +0.0+0.0
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +0.0+0.0
Merrimack WarriorsQuinnipiac
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H06/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H11/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#208
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H02/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#109
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H06/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#181
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Florida
#48
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A14/11
NCAA
62.6Avg total
32.2Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.829.763.5+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.829.565.3+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)31.730.061.7+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)32.230.462.6+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.263.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.734.065.7-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.328.962.2+4.472%-
vs Weaker (9)35.330.065.3+5.389%-
This opponent (Quinnipiac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuinnipiacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A27/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A01/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H07/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#25
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A03/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#341
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H06/11
NCAA
Vermont
#196
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#328
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/11
NCAA
66.8Avg total
31.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.734.669.2+0.152%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.332.968.3+2.460%-
Last 30 away (14)34.036.370.3-2.343%-
Last 10 (9)31.235.666.8-4.333%-
Last 5 (5)32.639.872.4-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.741.071.7-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.035.868.8-2.836%-
vs Weaker (15)36.732.369.1+4.473%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Merrimack Warriors wins
1
Quinnipiac wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AFlorida54-83
08/11/26AAlbany Great Danes73-60
06/11/26HUMass Lowell61-71
02/11/26HAppalachian State63-49
11/03/26HSiena54-64
08/03/26HMarist58-57
06/03/26HSacred Heart70-48
01/03/26ANiagara73-66
28/02/26ACanisius62-67
22/02/26HIona88-86 OT
Quinnipiaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ACentral Connecticut State67-72
13/11/26HMonmouth70-74
08/11/26AVermont79-76
06/11/26HBryant University66-56
03/11/26AMichigan State59-96
07/03/26HMarist75-77
01/03/26ACanisius67-63
27/02/26ANiagara76-78 OT
22/02/26HFairfield79-85
15/02/26HMerrimack Warriors49-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game62.862.063.5
Allowed / game65.860.071.5
Point differential-3.0+2.0-8.0
Avg total128.5122.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Quinnipiac
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game68.268.068.3
Allowed / game74.865.081.3
Point differential-6.6+3.0-13.0
Avg total143.0133.0149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
6 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
7 Quinnipiac52340%68.274.8-6.6
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara4040%58.579.5-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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