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Mersin SK vs Bahcesehir Kol. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-80 (OT)
16-24 24-12 25-16 10-23 12-5
Position#13
Record5-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#3
Record12-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game79.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 18· Servet Tazegül Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Mersin SK v Bahcesehir Kol.
31 Jan 2026
MES87
BKO80
12 Jan 2025
MES74
BKO73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersin SK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bahcesehir Kol. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 76
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
84-76
84
76
+8
84avg 76
H17/12
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
L
88-99
88
99
-11
84avg 76
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
110-92
110
92
+18
110avg 76
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
79avg 76
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Le Mans
#14
L
65-92
65
92
-27
60avg 76
H06/01
Champions League
Le Mans
#14
L
83-113
83
113
-30
74avg 76
A08/01
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 76
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
59-84
59
84
-25
46avg 76
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
24-16
18-29
20-15
18-16
26-17
23-15
17-28
22-20
23-24
20-23
23-32
33-23
33-18
18-22
26-29
16-23
27-29
24-20
13-21
17-15
17-24
12-29
19-24
16-31
15-19
27-31
25-32
25-30
21-21
16-17
17-14
19-25
24-23
19-13
19-16
16-22
12-19
13-19
18-24
170.8Avg total
81.2Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.486.3168.6-3.929%
Season at home (9)86.187.6173.7-1.444%
Season away (8)78.184.9163.0-6.812%
Last 10 (10)81.289.6170.8-8.430%
Last 5 (5)73.489.6163.0-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.988.9163.8-14.16%
vs Similar (13)90.182.4172.5+7.785%
vs Weaker (1)77.088.0165.0-11.00%
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bahcesehir Kol.TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKol.
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
L
82-92
82
92
-10
78avg 77
A26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hamburg
#20
W
105-68
105
68
+37
108avg 77
H30/12
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#14
W
100-60
100
60
+40
99avg 77
H03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
67-59
67
59
+8
63avg 77
A06/01
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
58-89
58
89
-31
42avg 77
A11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#10
L
92-96
92
96
-4
87avg 77
H13/01
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#7
L
72-82
72
82
-10
no box
A17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
94-82
94
82
+12
87avg 77
A20/01
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#5
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 77
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Aris
#13
W
81-79
81
79
+2
76avg 77
H28/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
22-20
24-25
14-30
32-23
31-15
22-14
20-16
22-12
18-21
27-15
33-12
13-14
12-21
22-10
20-14
16-23
8-31
19-16
15-19
27-28
12-24
16-20
37-24
18-20
21-19
12-35
21-8
19-29
30-20
21-9
24-24
16-33
26-17
15-15
25-8
19-23
20-19
17-22
25-15
161.3Avg total
83.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.979.0160.9+2.971%
Season at home (8)84.576.2160.8+8.275%
Season away (9)79.681.4161.0-1.967%
Last 10 (10)83.378.0161.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)84.282.4166.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.876.8160.5+7.075%
vs Similar (9)80.481.3161.8-0.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.078.6164.6+7.471%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +6.4+6.4
Mersin SKBahcesehir Kol.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/12
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Le Mans
#14
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H06/01
Champions League
Le Mans
#14
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/01
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.8Avg total
42.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.684.3-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.244.888.0-1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)37.942.280.1-4.336%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.386.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.445.882.2-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.646.883.4-10.212%-
vs Similar (13)45.939.485.3+6.577%-
vs Weaker (1)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hamburg
#20
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H30/12
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A06/01
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#10
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H13/01
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A20/01
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Aris
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H28/01
Eurocup
83.3Avg total
40.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.382.6+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.242.184.3+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.440.580.9-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.983.3-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.646.488.0-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.243.885.0-2.525%-
vs Similar (9)37.942.680.4-4.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.140.183.2+3.153%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.1
49.0%
54.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.4
34.2%
35.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.515.1
73.7%
76.0%15.1
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bahcesehir Kol.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahcesehir Kol.: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.4
56.5%
54.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.8
33.5%
35.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.613.7
77.8%
76.0%13.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mersin SK
LWLLLLWLWL
Bahcesehir Kol.
WWWLLLWWWL
#13
League position
#3
-10.1
Net rating
+8.1
104.0
Offensive rating
105.5
114.1
Defensive rating
97.3
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.9%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
37.0%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.2%
3-point %
33.5%
79.3%
Assist %
57.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 105.5Defence114.1 · 97.3Shooting50.1% · 53.9%3-point %34.2% · 33.5%Ball care17.1% · 17.1%Off. rebounds37.0% · 36.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Mersin SK   ■ Bahcesehir Kol.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mersin SK wins
1
Bahcesehir Kol. wins
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ABesiktas59-84
18/01/26HManisa81-77
11/01/26HTrabzonspor79-82
08/01/26ALe Mans83-113
06/01/26HLe Mans65-92
04/01/26AAnadolu Efes80-93
27/12/25HMerkezefendi110-92
21/12/25ABursaspor88-99
17/12/25HOostende84-76
14/12/25HEsenler Erokspor83-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26HAris81-79
24/01/26HTurk Telekom82-73
20/01/26AHapoel Jerusalem94-82
17/01/26AGalatasaray72-82
13/01/26HManresa92-96
11/01/26AFenerbahce58-89
06/01/26ACedevita Olimpija67-59
03/01/26HPetkim Spor100-60
30/12/25HHamburg105-68
26/12/25ATofas82-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersin SK
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeWLWLW44%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%44%12%
Points / game82.486.178.1
Allowed / game86.387.684.9
Point differential-3.9-1.4-6.8
Avg total168.6173.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bahcesehir Kol.
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW71%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWLLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game81.984.579.6
Allowed / game79.076.281.4
Point differential+2.9+8.2-1.9
Avg total160.9160.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1816289%89.478.5+10.9
2 Besiktas1815383%85.276.8+8.4
3 Trabzonspor1712571%87.281.6+5.6
4 Bahcesehir Kol.1712571%81.979.0+2.9
5 Turk Telekom1711665%85.779.2+6.5
6 Anadolu Efes1710759%87.381.4+5.9
7 Esenler Erokspor1710759%82.978.8+4.2
8 Galatasaray1710759%86.584.0+2.5
9 Tofas178947%83.181.8+1.4
10 Merkezefendi1771041%81.586.5-4.9
11 Bursaspor1761135%81.287.6-6.4
12 Mersin SK1751229%82.486.3-3.9
13 Manisa1751229%77.483.9-6.5
14 Petkim Spor1751229%80.087.4-7.4
15 Karsiyaka1841422%79.589.2-9.7
16 Buyukcekmece1821611%79.388.8-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mersin SK162425101287
Bahcesehir Kol.24121623580
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