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Mersin SK vs Galatasaray Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 114-76
31-17 29-22 30-24 24-13
Position#13
Record8-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Position#7
Record12-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game82.5
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 22· Servet Tazegül Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Mersin SK v Galatasaray
15 Mar 2026
MES114
GAL76
22 Mar 2025
MES89
GAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersin SK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galatasaray winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
79avg 76
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Le Mans
#14
L
65-92
65
92
-27
60avg 76
H06/01
Champions League
Le Mans
#14
L
83-113
83
113
-30
74avg 76
A08/01
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 76
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
59-84
59
84
-25
46avg 76
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
87avg 76
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
88-83
88
83
+5
91avg 76
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
104-103 OT
104
103
+1
96avg 76
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
78-91
78
91
-13
70avg 76
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
27-29
24-20
13-21
17-15
17-24
12-29
19-24
16-31
15-19
27-31
25-32
25-30
21-21
16-17
17-14
19-25
24-23
19-13
19-16
16-22
12-19
13-19
18-24
16-24
24-12
25-16
10-23
32-20
21-24
14-20
21-19
27-19
23-24
12-30
20-9
17-21
15-25
19-22
27-23
170.2Avg total
80.4Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.786.9170.5-3.238%
Season at home (11)87.888.3176.1-0.555%
Season away (10)79.185.3164.4-6.220%
Last 10 (10)80.489.8170.2-9.440%
Last 5 (5)83.288.2171.4-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.090.2167.2-13.26%
vs Similar (13)89.983.5173.5+6.485%
vs Weaker (1)77.088.0165.0-11.00%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#14
L
83-90
83
90
-7
74avg 79
H21/01
Champions League
Tofas
#9
W
91-78
91
78
+13
89avg 79
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Rytas
#4
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
73avg 79
A27/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#14
W
90-61
90
61
+29
72avg 79
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
86-81
86
81
+5
76avg 79
H04/02
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
68avg 79
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Le Mans
#14
W
94-81
94
81
+13
88avg 79
A11/02
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#15
W
82-72
82
72
+10
75avg 79
A15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
90-93
90
93
-3
84avg 79
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
87-74
87
74
+13
86avg 79
A10/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
24-26
23-19
17-14
31-16
20-14
23-27
17-21
16-20
23-13
16-24
21-19
20-12
26-17
20-15
24-17
19-25
21-18
22-25
24-13
20-13
13-19
24-20
20-27
18-22
32-26
18-21
26-12
22-11
18-28
22-9
20-24
21-22
21-27
22-26
26-18
22-14
15-19
27-20
23-21
166.3Avg total
86.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.282.5168.7+3.757%
Season at home (11)89.482.1171.5+7.373%
Season away (10)82.783.0165.7-0.340%
Last 10 (10)86.979.4166.3+7.570%
Last 5 (5)86.079.8165.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.881.0163.8+1.850%
vs Similar (9)89.384.3173.7+5.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.979.3166.1+7.680%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
Mersin SKGalatasaray
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Le Mans
#14
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H06/01
Champions League
Le Mans
#14
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/01
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.0Avg total
40.0Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.984.9-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.544.687.1-2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)39.343.182.4-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.045.085.0-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.082.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.947.184.1-10.212%-
vs Similar (13)46.039.885.8+6.277%-
vs Weaker (1)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#14
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H21/01
Champions League
Tofas
#9
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Rytas
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A27/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#36
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H04/02
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Le Mans
#14
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A11/02
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/03
Champions League
81.4Avg total
42.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.883.6+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.941.985.8+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.939.681.5+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.381.4+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.039.578.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (9)45.643.088.6+2.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.839.982.7+2.953%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.0
53.4%
54.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.7
33.4%
35.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.0
73.5%
76.0%15.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.8
53.1%
54.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.9
38.1%
35.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.213.3
73.1%
76.0%13.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mersin SK
LWWWLWLLLL
Galatasaray
WLWWLWWWWL
#13
League position
#7
-9.1
Net rating
+8.7
99.2
Offensive rating
102.4
108.3
Defensive rating
93.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
54.9%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
16.0%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.4%
3-point %
38.1%
77.0%
Assist %
61.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 102.4Defence108.3 · 93.6Shooting51.8% · 54.9%3-point %33.4% · 38.1%Ball care16.0% · 13.3%Off. rebounds33.3% · -Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Mersin SK   ■ Galatasaray
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mersin SK wins
2
Galatasaray wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Galatasaray v Mersin SK85-79
22/03/25Mersin SK v Galatasaray89-73
16/11/24Galatasaray v Mersin SK101-82
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AFenerbahce78-91
15/02/26HPetkim Spor104-103 OT
07/02/26ATofas88-83
31/01/26HBahcesehir Kol.87-80 OT
24/01/26ABesiktas59-84
18/01/26HManisa81-77
11/01/26HTrabzonspor79-82
08/01/26ALe Mans83-113
06/01/26HLe Mans65-92
04/01/26AAnadolu Efes80-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26AHapoel Holon87-74
07/03/26HTurk Telekom90-93
15/02/26AKarsiyaka82-72
11/02/26ALe Mans94-81
08/02/26AFenerbahce77-79
04/02/26HHapoel Holon86-81
01/02/26HPetkim Spor90-61
27/01/26ARytas89-85 OT
24/01/26ATofas91-78
21/01/26HLe Mans83-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersin SK
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL38%
HomeWLWWW55%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%55%20%
Points / game83.787.879.1
Allowed / game86.988.385.3
Point differential-3.2-0.5-6.2
Avg total170.5176.1164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %10%18%0%
Galatasaray
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%73%40%
Points / game86.289.482.7
Allowed / game82.582.183.0
Point differential+3.7+7.3-0.3
Avg total168.7171.5165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2220291%89.078.6+10.5
2 Besiktas2118386%86.175.5+10.7
3 Bahcesehir Kol.2216673%82.076.1+5.9
4 Trabzonspor2216673%87.682.2+5.5
5 Turk Telekom2214864%85.680.2+5.4
6 Anadolu Efes2113862%87.981.6+6.3
7 Esenler Erokspor2213959%81.478.0+3.4
8 Galatasaray2112957%86.282.5+3.7
9 Tofas2191243%83.183.1+0.0
10 Mersin SK2181338%83.786.9-3.2
11 Merkezefendi2281436%80.286.9-6.7
12 Manisa2271532%79.584.0-4.4
13 Bursaspor2161529%78.788.3-9.6
14 Petkim Spor2261627%80.188.0-7.9
15 Karsiyaka2241818%79.089.0-10.0
16 Buyukcekmece2231914%79.888.9-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mersin SK31293024114
Galatasaray1722241376
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