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Mestre vs Basket Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-69
15-15 26-16 15-23 18-15
Position#15
Record8-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game80.7
Mestre 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record10-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game73.4
ItalySerie A2Round 19· Prealpi SanBiagio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mestre v Basket Torino
30 Jan 2027
MEST v BASK
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
MEST74
BASK69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 68
A29/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
94-102
94
102
-8
87avg 68
H01/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
89-74
89
74
+15
80avg 68
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
58-81
58
81
-23
42avg 68
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
73avg 68
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 68
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
85-86
85
86
-1
73avg 68
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
72avg 68
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 68
A19/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
27-26
19-19
15-15
21-19
28-26
27-33
18-24
21-23
22-23
19-15
27-13
13-20
13-22
22-18
10-21
22-26
22-13
19-15
16-21
15-19
22-14
18-14
20-23
24-21
10-18
23-21
15-23
23-22
14-22
24-18
24-24
21-20
15-26
16-16
22-10
20-13
19-21
15-19
25-22
158.8Avg total
78.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.880.7159.5-1.947%
Season at home (8)78.982.1161.0-3.250%
Season away (9)78.779.4158.1-0.844%
Last 10 (10)78.580.3158.8-1.850%
Last 5 (5)77.077.2154.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.282.5157.7-7.330%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.779.3164.0+5.367%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Basket Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
L
62-73
62
73
-11
47avg 68
H02/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
72-75
72
75
-3
55avg 68
A09/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
67-75
67
75
-8
58avg 68
A12/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
66-72
66
72
-6
53avg 68
H16/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
79-65
79
65
+14
66avg 68
A23/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
88-60
88
60
+28
85avg 68
H26/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
90-81
90
81
+9
78avg 68
A30/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
77avg 68
H07/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
73-69
73
69
+4
65avg 68
A14/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
99-66
99
66
+33
103avg 68
H21/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
11-23
14-12
19-17
20-22
18-17
18-22
16-14
18-24
14-15
15-20
20-16
10-17
12-22
16-16
28-17
18-16
17-20
25-10
19-19
20-12
26-17
21-15
21-16
29-17
22-26
22-19
17-19
19-17
20-23
18-22
25-10
20-18
12-19
17-20
24-12
23-12
36-13
23-22
17-19
148.6Avg total
77.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.973.4148.3+1.656%
Season at home (9)79.371.9151.2+7.467%
Season away (9)70.674.9145.4-4.344%
Last 10 (10)77.870.8148.6+7.060%
Last 5 (5)86.469.6156.0+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.479.2154.6-3.938%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.973.4151.3+4.676%
vs Weaker (5)81.874.4156.2+7.460%
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
MestreBasket Torino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H01/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A19/12
Serie A2
81.0Avg total
39.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)39.642.482.0-2.841%-
Last 30 at home (8)38.844.182.9-5.438%-
Last 30 away (9)40.340.981.2-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.981.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.275.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.442.580.9-4.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.544.587.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Basket Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H02/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A09/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A12/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
22-39
22
39
-17
H16/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A23/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H26/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A30/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H07/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A14/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
59-25
59
25
+34
H21/12
Serie A2
75.4Avg total
38.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.376.6+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.737.376.9+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)36.939.376.3-2.447%-
Last 10 (10)38.337.175.4+1.230%-
Last 5 (5)45.434.880.2+10.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.940.278.1-2.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.937.975.8+0.053%-
vs Weaker (5)40.436.677.0+3.840%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.3
46.7%
50.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.3
38.4%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.914.0
78.2%
74.4%14.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Torino: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.9
47.5%
50.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.7%
34.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.914.4
72.4%
74.4%14.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
WWLLWWLWLL
Basket Torino
WWWWWWLLLL
#15
League position
#13
-0.6
Net rating
+9.8
108.9
Offensive rating
107.2
109.5
Defensive rating
97.5
50.9%
Effective FG%
49.7%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.4%
3-point %
35.7%
51.4%
Assist %
46.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 107.2Defence109.5 · 97.5Shooting50.9% · 49.7%3-point %38.4% · 35.7%Ball care13.7% · 14.7%Off. rebounds24.6% · 28.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Mestre   ■ Basket Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
0
Basket Torino wins
No previous meetings.
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25ALibertas Livorno79-75
13/12/25HVerona74-72
06/12/25AUrania Milano85-86
03/12/25ABrindisi72-83
22/11/25HJuVi Cremona75-70
16/11/25AAvellino Basket79-75
12/11/25HFortitudo Bologna58-81
09/11/25APistoia89-74
01/11/25HSebastiani Rieti94-102
29/10/25AForli80-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HBlu Basket Bergamo99-66
14/12/25AJuVi Cremona73-69
07/12/25HSebastiani Rieti82-72
30/11/25APesaro90-81
26/11/25HRoseto88-60
23/11/25ARuvo Di Puglia79-65
16/11/25HBrindisi66-72
12/11/25AScafati67-75
09/11/25ARimini72-75
02/11/25HForli62-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW47%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game78.878.978.7
Allowed / game80.782.179.4
Point differential-1.9-3.2-0.8
Avg total159.5161.0158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Torino
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game74.979.370.6
Allowed / game73.471.974.9
Point differential+1.6+7.4-4.3
Avg total148.3151.2145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1813572%82.476.7+5.7
2 Rimini1812667%82.176.4+5.7
3 Brindisi1812667%78.172.8+5.2
4 Verona1812667%77.873.7+4.2
5 Libertas Livorno1811761%77.672.3+5.3
6 Fortitudo Bologna1811761%75.971.7+4.3
7 Avellino Basket1811761%81.077.0+4.0
8 Cividale1811761%77.675.6+2.0
9 Scafati1810856%82.378.9+3.3
10 Basket Torino1810856%74.973.4+1.6
11 Sebastiani Rieti1810856%79.978.3+1.6
12 Blu Basket Bergamo178947%81.482.1-0.7
13 Mestre178947%78.880.7-1.9
14 Cento1881044%78.179.2-1.1
15 Pistoia1861233%78.281.6-3.4
16 Forli1861233%76.181.1-5.0
17 JuVi Cremona1861233%73.279.7-6.5
18 Urania Milano1861233%77.083.5-6.5
19 Roseto1841422%79.885.8-5.9
20 Ruvo Di Puglia1841422%73.585.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre1526151874
Basket Torino1516231569
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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