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Mestre vs Verona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-72
21-20 15-26 16-16 22-10
Position#15
Record6-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game81.7
Mestre 🏆
Italy
vs
Verona
Italy
Position#2
Record11-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game73.9
ItalySerie A2Round 17· Palasport Taliercio
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Verona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
76avg 67
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 67
H25/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 67
A29/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
94-102
94
102
-8
87avg 67
H01/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
89-74
89
74
+15
80avg 67
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
58-81
58
81
-23
42avg 67
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
73avg 67
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 67
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
85-86
85
86
-1
73avg 67
A06/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
28-21
24-16
9-25
23-24
14-18
25-19
16-18
19-25
27-26
19-19
15-15
21-19
28-26
27-33
18-24
21-23
22-23
19-15
27-13
13-20
13-22
22-18
10-21
22-26
22-13
19-15
16-21
15-19
22-14
18-14
20-23
24-21
10-18
23-21
15-23
23-22
14-22
24-18
24-24
161.9Avg total
79.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.181.7160.7-2.640%
Season at home (7)79.683.6163.1-4.043%
Season away (8)78.680.0158.6-1.438%
Last 10 (10)79.482.5161.9-3.130%
Last 5 (5)73.879.0152.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.984.8159.6-9.912%
vs Similar (6)84.779.3164.0+5.367%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
47-55
47
55
-8
34avg 70
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
85-71
85
71
+14
84avg 70
H28/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 70
A01/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
61-86
61
86
-25
49avg 70
H09/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
75-53
75
53
+22
68avg 70
A12/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
85-74
85
74
+11
84avg 70
A16/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
78-66
78
66
+12
70avg 70
H21/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
97-78
97
78
+19
94avg 70
H26/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 70
A30/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-87
89
87
+2
81avg 70
H07/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-17
13-12
18-12
8-14
23-18
24-16
16-19
22-18
9-14
22-23
16-23
26-19
15-19
19-30
16-23
11-14
24-16
20-12
17-21
14-4
21-17
22-22
24-17
18-18
19-16
26-19
20-22
13-9
19-14
32-25
34-20
12-19
16-11
22-25
10-29
20-11
29-15
18-24
17-23
25-25
148.3Avg total
75.8Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.373.9152.2+4.469%
Season at home (9)83.776.8160.4+6.989%
Season away (7)71.470.3141.7+1.143%
Last 10 (10)75.872.5148.3+3.360%
Last 5 (5)83.476.2159.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)76.275.2151.4+1.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.175.1157.1+7.079%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
MestreVerona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H01/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/12
Serie A2
83.4Avg total
40.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)39.942.782.6-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (7)39.143.983.0-4.743%-
Last 30 away (8)40.541.882.2-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.083.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.475.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.643.181.8-4.538%-
vs Similar (6)42.544.587.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H28/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A01/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H09/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A12/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H21/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H26/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A30/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H07/12
Serie A2
76.6Avg total
40.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.976.5+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.437.579.9+4.975%-
Last 30 away (14)36.436.272.6+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.576.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.682.4+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)36.235.972.2+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.438.081.4+5.479%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.0
48.3%
50.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.4
38.7%
34.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.912.7
75.1%
74.4%12.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.515.7
51.5%
50.8%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.6
35.0%
34.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.211.9
73.5%
74.4%11.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
LLWWLWLLLL
Verona
WLWWWWLLWL
#15
League position
#2
-4.8
Net rating
+4.7
108.4
Offensive rating
110.8
113.2
Defensive rating
106.1
52.0%
Effective FG%
52.0%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.7%
3-point %
35.0%
48.2%
Assist %
60.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 110.8Defence113.2 · 106.1Shooting52.0% · 52.0%3-point %38.7% · 35.0%Ball care13.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds22.9% · 32.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Mestre   ■ Verona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
0
Verona wins
No previous meetings.
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AUrania Milano85-86
03/12/25ABrindisi72-83
22/11/25HJuVi Cremona75-70
16/11/25AAvellino Basket79-75
12/11/25HFortitudo Bologna58-81
09/11/25APistoia89-74
01/11/25HSebastiani Rieti94-102
29/10/25AForli80-85
25/10/25HCividale78-79
19/10/25APesaro84-90
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HRoseto89-87
30/11/25ALibertas Livorno68-76
26/11/25HRuvo Di Puglia97-78
21/11/25HBlu Basket Bergamo78-66
16/11/25AForli85-74
12/11/25AJuVi Cremona75-53
09/11/25HSebastiani Rieti61-86
01/11/25AUrania Milano73-79
28/10/25HBrindisi85-71
25/10/25AFortitudo Bologna47-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game79.179.678.6
Allowed / game81.783.680.0
Point differential-2.6-4.0-1.4
Avg total160.7163.1158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Verona
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%89%43%
Points / game78.383.771.4
Allowed / game73.976.870.3
Point differential+4.4+6.9+1.1
Avg total152.2160.4141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi1511473%78.270.7+7.5
2 Pesaro1611569%82.077.6+4.4
3 Verona1611569%78.373.9+4.4
4 Cividale1510567%78.275.1+3.1
5 Libertas Livorno1610662%77.972.4+5.5
6 Fortitudo Bologna1610662%75.572.1+3.4
7 Rimini159660%82.377.6+4.7
8 Sebastiani Rieti159660%80.977.9+3.1
9 Avellino Basket169756%80.477.0+3.4
10 Scafati168850%82.180.1+2.0
11 Cento168850%79.479.3+0.1
12 Basket Torino168850%73.674.1-0.6
13 Blu Basket Bergamo157847%81.581.1+0.4
14 Mestre156940%79.181.7-2.6
15 Pistoia1661038%78.881.9-3.1
16 Forli1661038%75.980.2-4.4
17 JuVi Cremona1661038%73.580.0-6.5
18 Urania Milano1651131%77.384.2-6.9
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1641225%74.685.3-10.7
20 Roseto1631319%80.586.8-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre2115162274
Verona2026161072
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