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Mestre vs Blu Basket Bergamo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-90
15-18 23-19 26-18 21-35
Position#15
Record9-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#11
Record9-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game81.5
ItalySerie A2Round 15
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Blu Basket Bergamo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
58-81
58
81
-23
42avg 65
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
73avg 65
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 65
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
85-86
85
86
-1
73avg 65
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
72avg 65
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 65
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 65
H27/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
51avg 65
A03/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
55-83
55
83
-28
42avg 65
H10/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
13-22
22-18
10-21
22-26
22-13
19-15
16-21
15-19
22-14
18-14
20-23
24-21
10-18
23-21
15-23
23-22
14-22
24-18
24-24
21-20
15-26
16-16
22-10
20-13
19-21
15-19
25-22
15-15
26-16
15-23
18-15
16-20
14-22
21-18
12-17
22-18
9-21
13-30
11-14
148.5Avg total
71.4Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.580.0156.6-3.545%
Season at home (10)76.080.9156.9-4.950%
Season away (10)77.179.2156.3-2.140%
Last 10 (10)71.477.1148.5-5.750%
Last 5 (5)69.075.2144.2-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.182.0156.1-7.927%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.678.5158.1+1.162%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Blu Basket Bergamo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Blu Basket BergamoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBergamo
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
88-68
88
68
+20
83avg 75
A12/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
91avg 75
H16/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
58avg 75
A21/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
81avg 75
A05/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
65-56
65
56
+9
59avg 75
H10/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
95-80
95
80
+15
92avg 75
H14/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
66-99
66
99
-33
54avg 75
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
93-79
93
79
+14
90avg 75
H28/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
59-78
59
78
-19
44avg 75
A04/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
68-76
68
76
-8
67avg 75
H10/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
24-13
23-15
18-20
20-23
24-13
19-25
23-25
16-19
19-26
22-20
9-13
25-17
19-25
23-21
16-22
14-12
15-15
15-15
21-14
28-26
19-21
22-19
26-14
12-23
13-36
22-23
19-17
26-22
24-22
27-17
16-18
12-18
16-23
24-17
7-20
12-18
18-15
23-21
15-22
157.0Avg total
77.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.281.5161.7-1.245%
Season at home (10)82.878.9161.7+3.970%
Season away (10)77.684.0161.6-6.420%
Last 10 (10)77.879.2157.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)76.282.4158.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.876.0146.8-5.233%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.782.7165.4+0.050%
vs Weaker (4)88.086.5174.5+1.550%
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
MestreBlu Basket Bergamo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H27/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H10/01
Serie A2
74.4Avg total
35.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)38.841.680.4-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.242.380.5-4.140%-
Last 30 away (10)39.341.080.3-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)35.538.974.4-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.473.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.642.580.1-4.836%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.942.183.0-1.238%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Blu Basket Bergamo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Blu Basket BergamoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A12/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H16/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A21/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H10/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H14/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
25-59
25
59
-34
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H28/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A04/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H10/01
Serie A2
78.6Avg total
37.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)39.640.980.5-1.245%-
Last 30 at home (10)40.239.379.5+0.950%-
Last 30 away (10)39.042.481.4-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.778.6-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.044.880.8-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.735.870.5-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.542.783.2-2.240%-
vs Weaker (4)44.843.888.5+1.050%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.317.4
44.3%
50.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.7
34.7%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws14.511.4
78.6%
74.4%11.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Blu Basket Bergamotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Blu Basket Bergamo: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.1
54.0%
50.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.1
31.5%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.713.3
71.1%
74.4%13.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
LLWWWLLWWL
Blu Basket Bergamo
LLWLWWLLWW
#15
League position
#11
-4.3
Net rating
-2.2
100.7
Offensive rating
103.4
105.0
Defensive rating
105.6
47.3%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.6%
Turnover %
19.1%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.7%
3-point %
31.5%
55.9%
Assist %
64.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 103.4Defence105.0 · 105.6Shooting47.3% · 50.9%3-point %34.7% · 31.5%Ball care14.6% · 19.1%Off. rebounds27.5% · 32.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mestre   ■ Blu Basket Bergamo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
0
Blu Basket Bergamo wins
No previous meetings.
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HForli55-83
03/01/26ACividale63-77
27/12/25HBasket Torino74-69
19/12/25ALibertas Livorno79-75
13/12/25HVerona74-72
06/12/25AUrania Milano85-86
03/12/25ABrindisi72-83
22/11/25HJuVi Cremona75-70
16/11/25AAvellino Basket79-75
12/11/25HFortitudo Bologna58-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HLibertas Livorno68-76
04/01/26AScafati59-78
28/12/25HForli93-79
21/12/25ABasket Torino66-99
14/12/25HBrindisi95-80
10/12/25HFortitudo Bologna65-56
05/12/25ACividale83-85
21/11/25AVerona66-78
16/11/25HScafati95-93 OT
12/11/25ASebastiani Rieti88-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game76.576.077.1
Allowed / game80.080.979.2
Point differential-3.5-4.9-2.1
Avg total156.6156.9156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Blu Basket Bergamo
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%70%20%
Points / game80.282.877.6
Allowed / game81.578.984.0
Point differential-1.2+3.9-6.4
Avg total161.7161.7161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini2115671%82.375.0+7.3
2 Pesaro2115671%82.477.5+4.9
3 Brindisi2114767%76.571.6+4.9
4 Verona2114767%77.273.3+4.0
5 Libertas Livorno2113862%78.073.1+4.9
6 Scafati2113862%81.877.3+4.5
7 Cividale2113862%77.175.8+1.3
8 Avellino Basket2112957%81.278.2+3.0
9 Fortitudo Bologna2112957%75.172.4+2.7
10 Sebastiani Rieti2112957%79.576.9+2.6
11 Basket Torino21111052%74.072.9+1.1
12 Blu Basket Bergamo2091145%80.281.5-1.2
13 Mestre2091145%76.580.0-3.5
14 Cento2191243%78.480.6-2.2
15 JuVi Cremona2181338%74.078.9-4.8
16 Forli2171433%76.280.3-4.1
17 Urania Milano2171433%77.382.9-5.6
18 Pistoia2161529%78.583.0-4.5
19 Ruvo Di Puglia2161529%75.485.4-10.0
20 Roseto2141719%78.984.4-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre1523262185
Blu Basket Bergamo1819183590
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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