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Cividale vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-63
20-16 22-14 18-21 17-12
Position#5
Record12-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#15
Record9-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game80.1
ItalySerie A2Round 20· PalaGesteco
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cividale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
89-86
89
86
+3
81avg 72
A09/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
74-68
74
68
+6
67avg 72
H12/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 72
H16/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
81avg 72
A23/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
85-83
85
83
+2
78avg 72
H05/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
78-65
78
65
+13
72avg 72
H10/12
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 72
A14/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
67-74
67
74
-7
60avg 72
A17/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
66avg 72
H20/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
85avg 72
A28/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
26-28
21-15
21-20
12-19
15-21
20-11
27-17
23-14
21-14
27-23
12-14
23-19
18-12
19-20
19-17
17-25
25-19
21-23
22-16
21-12
16-17
19-16
22-20
25-23
18-25
20-14
18-16
18-17
19-20
17-18
13-19
12-21
21-25
19-18
23-18
15-19
25-19
13-21
21-15
155.9Avg total
80.3Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.376.2154.5+2.263%
Season at home (9)77.875.0152.8+2.867%
Season away (10)78.877.2156.0+1.660%
Last 10 (10)80.375.6155.9+4.780%
Last 5 (5)78.677.2155.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)77.776.7154.4+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.976.9157.8+4.080%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
94-102
94
102
-8
87avg 68
H01/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
89-74
89
74
+15
80avg 68
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
58-81
58
81
-23
42avg 68
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
73avg 68
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 68
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
85-86
85
86
-1
73avg 68
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
72avg 68
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 68
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 68
H27/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
28-26
27-33
18-24
21-23
22-23
19-15
27-13
13-20
13-22
22-18
10-21
22-26
22-13
19-15
16-21
15-19
22-14
18-14
20-23
24-21
10-18
23-21
15-23
23-22
14-22
24-18
24-24
21-20
15-26
16-16
22-10
20-13
19-21
15-19
25-22
15-15
26-16
15-23
18-15
156.6Avg total
77.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.580.1158.6-1.650%
Season at home (9)78.380.7159.0-2.356%
Season away (9)78.779.4158.1-0.844%
Last 10 (10)77.978.7156.6-0.860%
Last 5 (5)76.877.0153.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.282.5157.7-7.330%
vs Similar (7)83.177.9161.0+5.371%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Cividale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
CividaleMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H12/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H16/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A23/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H05/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H10/12
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A14/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H20/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A28/12
Serie A2
78.3Avg total
39.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.279.2-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.940.577.3-3.627%-
Last 30 away (15)41.140.081.1+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.278.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.677.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)39.040.079.1-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.840.679.4-1.850%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H01/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H27/12
Serie A2
78.5Avg total
38.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)39.741.881.4-2.144%-
Last 30 at home (9)39.042.781.7-3.744%-
Last 30 away (9)40.340.981.2-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.978.5-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.876.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.442.580.9-4.140%-
vs Similar (7)42.342.684.9-0.343%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.9
53.7%
50.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.2
34.1%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.315.9
71.3%
74.4%15.9
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.1
47.9%
50.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.1
37.1%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.012.4
77.5%
74.4%12.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cividale
WLLWWWWWWW
Mestre
WWWLLWWLWL
#5
League position
#15
+6.1
Net rating
+0.0
108.1
Offensive rating
108.3
101.9
Defensive rating
108.3
52.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
13.8%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.1%
3-point %
37.1%
55.5%
Assist %
53.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 108.3Defence101.9 · 108.3Shooting52.8% · 50.9%3-point %34.1% · 37.1%Ball care16.4% · 13.8%Off. rebounds25.1% · 25.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Cividale   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cividale wins
0
Mestre wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Mestre v Cividale78-79
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25AJuVi Cremona92-87 OT
20/12/25HAvellino Basket75-82
17/12/25ARimini67-74
14/12/25APistoia81-78
10/12/25HUrania Milano78-65
05/12/25HBlu Basket Bergamo85-83
23/11/25APesaro79-68
16/11/25HLibertas Livorno83-65
12/11/25HCento74-68
09/11/25ARoseto89-86
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HBasket Torino74-69
19/12/25ALibertas Livorno79-75
13/12/25HVerona74-72
06/12/25AUrania Milano85-86
03/12/25ABrindisi72-83
22/11/25HJuVi Cremona75-70
16/11/25AAvellino Basket79-75
12/11/25HFortitudo Bologna58-81
09/11/25APistoia89-74
01/11/25HSebastiani Rieti94-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cividale
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW63%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%67%60%
Points / game78.377.878.8
Allowed / game76.275.077.2
Point differential+2.2+2.8+1.6
Avg total154.5152.8156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game78.578.378.7
Allowed / game80.180.779.4
Point differential-1.6-2.3-0.8
Avg total158.6159.0158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1913668%82.876.1+6.7
2 Brindisi1913668%77.572.5+5.0
3 Pesaro1913668%82.277.3+4.9
4 Verona1913668%78.473.9+4.4
5 Cividale1912763%78.376.2+2.2
6 Libertas Livorno1911858%77.973.2+4.7
7 Fortitudo Bologna1911858%75.271.5+3.7
8 Scafati1911858%82.278.6+3.6
9 Avellino Basket1911858%80.577.2+3.4
10 Sebastiani Rieti1911858%79.377.5+1.8
11 Basket Torino1910953%74.673.4+1.2
12 Blu Basket Bergamo189950%82.181.9+0.1
13 Mestre189950%78.580.1-1.6
14 Cento1981142%78.580.1-1.6
15 Urania Milano1971237%78.183.6-5.5
16 Pistoia1961332%77.782.3-4.6
17 Forli1961332%76.381.7-5.5
18 JuVi Cremona1961332%73.980.3-6.4
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1951426%74.385.2-10.9
20 Roseto1941521%79.184.8-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cividale2022181777
Mestre1614211263
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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