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Mestre vs Cento Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#13
Record4-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game82.2
ItalySerie A2Round 32· Palasport Taliercio
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mestre v Cento
27 Mar 2027
MEST v CENT
upcoming
03 Oct 2025
MEST78
CENT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 65
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 65
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
49-88
49
88
-39
15avg 65
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 65
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
66avg 65
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
93-71
93
71
+22
98avg 65
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
70-77
70
77
-7
62avg 65
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H31/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
26-29
20-16
12-17
23-15
19-26
21-11
16-5
9-19
11-22
12-26
17-21
27-25
21-25
15-19
11-18
16-20
23-26
17-29
20-16
24-12
21-26
26-8
22-25
17-26
18-15
22-16
13-20
18-24
18-15
13-16
21-8
22-22
30-18
12-19
21-14
26-15
18-23
22-23
13-20
152.8Avg total
75.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.076.4151.4-1.444%
Season at home (5)73.078.0151.0-5.040%
Season away (4)77.574.5152.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)75.777.1152.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)79.473.0152.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.683.3157.9-8.629%
vs Similar (14)78.477.9156.3+0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)83.574.5158.0+9.050%
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
83-63
83
63
+20
80avg 65
A08/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
81-96
81
96
-15
69avg 65
H27/09
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
44avg 65
A03/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
98-88
98
88
+10
94avg 65
H11/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 65
A17/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
52-96
52
96
-44
22avg 65
H21/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
77-71
77
71
+6
61avg 65
A25/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
64-74
64
74
-10
55avg 65
H30/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
no box
A04/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
23-10
22-12
17-15
14-31
25-25
19-20
23-20
18-31
19-16
19-18
17-15
24-27
21-21
29-21
24-19
20-24
12-23
22-13
16-20
10-24
13-25
20-23
9-24
14-25
12-17
26-13
25-16
18-16
13-21
21-23
12-14
11-23
21-23
14-15
17-15
17-16
19-17
23-27
18-19
154.1Avg total
73.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.882.2155.0-9.422%
Season at home (5)74.486.6161.0-12.220%
Season away (4)70.876.8147.5-6.025%
Last 10 (10)73.880.3154.1-6.530%
Last 5 (5)66.679.2145.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.982.2155.1-9.37%
vs Similar (9)78.883.6162.3-4.822%
vs Weaker (6)80.073.5153.5+6.567%
This opponent (Mestre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -7.6-7.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -7.6-7.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
MestreCento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H31/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H11/11
Serie A2
83.5Avg total
41.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.581.6-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.982.1+0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.181.0-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.483.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.281.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.442.880.2-5.429%-
vs Similar (14)41.740.482.1+1.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A08/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H27/09
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A03/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H11/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
23-49
23
49
-26
H21/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A25/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A04/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H11/11
Serie A2
78.6Avg total
34.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.241.879.0-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.340.677.9-3.231%-
Last 30 away (14)37.043.380.3-6.329%-
Last 10 (10)34.544.178.6-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)29.641.471.0-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.342.477.7-7.120%-
vs Similar (9)39.243.983.1-4.722%-
vs Weaker (6)38.737.376.0+1.367%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.315.8
44.8%
51.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.2
31.1%
34.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
71.0%14.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.2
52.3%
51.2%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.2
28.2%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.9
76.4%
71.0%14.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
LWWLWLLLWL
Cento
LLLWLLWLLW
#13
League position
#18
-7.9
Net rating
-2.3
90.1
Offensive rating
92.8
98.0
Defensive rating
95.1
45.6%
Effective FG%
47.6%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
9.7%
Turnover %
12.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.1%
3-point %
28.2%
43.6%
Assist %
55.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 92.8Defence98.0 · 95.1Shooting45.6% · 47.6%3-point %31.1% · 28.2%Ball care9.7% · 12.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Mestre   ■ Cento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mestre wins
0
Cento wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Cento v Mestre61-82
03/10/25Mestre v Cento78-70
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HCividale79-81
07/11/26APesaro85-73
31/10/26HBrindisi70-63
25/10/26ACaserta70-77
21/10/26HRuvo Di Puglia93-71
18/10/26ARimini76-91
10/10/26HSassari74-87
03/10/26HLibertas Livorno49-88
27/09/26ABasket Torino79-57
26/04/26AJuVi Cremona82-83
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HJuVi Cremona77-79
04/11/26ALibertas Livorno63-76
30/10/26HCividale64-74
25/10/26AMontecatini77-71
21/10/26HPistoia52-96
17/10/26ASassari70-80
11/10/26HVigevano98-88
03/10/26AForli73-80
27/09/26HPesaro81-96
08/05/26ARoseto83-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL44%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game75.073.077.5
Allowed / game76.478.074.5
Point differential-1.4-5.0+3.0
Avg total151.4151.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cento
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game72.874.470.8
Allowed / game82.286.676.8
Point differential-9.4-12.2-6.0
Avg total155.0161.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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