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Mestre vs Cento Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-70
14-22 24-19 25-19 15-10
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game83.5
Mestre 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#18
Record1-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game75.0
ItalySerie A2Round 3· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mestre v Cento
27 Mar 2027
MEST v CENT
upcoming
03 Oct 2025
MEST78
CENT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
61-76
61
76
-15
6avg 49
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 49
H27/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-11
15-13
11-26
32-27
22-25
21-13
26-26
164.5Avg total
81.0Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.083.5164.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)101.091.0192.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)61.076.0137.0-15.00%
Last 10 (2)81.083.5164.5-2.550%
Last 5 (2)81.083.5164.5-2.550%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.076.0137.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (1)101.091.0192.0+10.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
L
65-71
65
71
-6
57avg 64
H09/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
65avg 64
A15/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
76-73
76
73
+3
69avg 64
A23/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
71-76
71
76
-5
60avg 64
A30/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
69-72
69
72
-3
61avg 64
H06/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
99-72
99
72
+27
95avg 64
A13/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
65avg 64
A19/04
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
86-67
86
67
+19
77avg 64
H27/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
70avg 64
A21/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
66-82
66
82
-16
54avg 64
H28/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
12-13
18-16
19-26
15-25
27-17
24-16
13-20
11-15
22-18
20-17
23-23
10-18
23-18
19-24
19-16
20-13
11-23
17-16
21-20
24-11
29-13
28-20
18-28
21-18
27-14
14-27
13-24
25-21
29-9
18-23
14-14
19-20
17-18
22-9
19-21
15-22
19-19
14-16
18-25
150.5Avg total
76.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.575.0146.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)66.082.0148.0-16.00%
Season away (1)77.068.0145.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.374.2150.5+2.150%
Last 5 (5)80.674.4155.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.577.7149.2-6.229%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.677.1154.6+0.556%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -7.5-7.5Q4: -4.0-4.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -7.5-7.5Q4: -4.0-4.0
MestreCento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H27/09
Serie A2
89.0Avg total
44.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)44.544.589.0+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (1)54.052.0106.0+2.0100%-
Last 30 away (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
Last 10 (2)44.544.589.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (2)44.544.589.0+0.050%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)54.052.0106.0+2.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H09/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A15/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A23/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A30/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H06/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A13/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A19/04
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H27/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A21/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H28/09
Serie A2
73.3Avg total
39.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.075.0-1.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.639.576.1-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)37.336.573.8+0.927%-
Last 10 (10)39.234.173.3+5.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.033.078.0+12.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.439.475.8-2.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.436.874.2+0.631%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 64.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers21.013.0
61.9%
50.8%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.09.5
52.8%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws13.010.0
76.9%
74.4%10.0
They take 39.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.1
46.7%
50.8%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.0
39.1%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.013.9
73.2%
74.4%13.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
WL
Cento
LWWLWLLWWL
#15
League position
#18
+14.4
Net rating
+2.4
143.0
Offensive rating
106.1
128.6
Defensive rating
103.7
69.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
69.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
11.9%
Turnover %
15.3%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
52.8%
3-point %
39.1%
42.2%
Assist %
40.2%
50%
Form (last 2/10)
50%

Profile

Offence143.0 · 106.1Defence128.6 · 103.7Shooting69.9% · 51.3%3-point %52.8% · 39.1%Ball care11.9% · 15.3%Off. rebounds24.2% · 24.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 2/10)50% · 50%
■ Mestre   ■ Cento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
0
Cento wins
No previous meetings.
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25HRoseto101-91
21/09/25AScafati61-76
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HBasket Torino66-82
21/09/25ALibertas Livorno77-68
27/04/25HForli86-67
19/04/25ACividale75-83
13/04/25ANardo99-72
06/04/25HUdine69-72
30/03/25AOrzinuovi71-76
23/03/25ALibertas Livorno76-73
15/03/25AAvellino Basket79-78
09/03/25HUrania Milano65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.0101.061.0
Allowed / game83.591.076.0
Point differential-2.5+10.0-15.0
Avg total164.5192.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cento
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game71.566.077.0
Allowed / game75.082.068.0
Point differential-3.5-16.0+9.0
Avg total146.5148.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi220100%89.559.0+30.5
2 Basket Torino220100%82.570.0+12.5
3 Fortitudo Bologna21150%88.075.0+13.0
4 Avellino Basket21150%73.067.5+5.5
5 Libertas Livorno21150%73.069.5+3.5
6 Rimini21150%78.575.0+3.5
7 Forli21150%78.075.5+2.5
8 Pistoia21150%81.078.5+2.5
9 Cividale21150%74.075.0-1.0
10 Verona21150%70.571.5-1.0
11 Mestre21150%81.083.5-2.5
12 Roseto21150%88.591.5-3.0
13 Cento21150%71.575.0-3.5
14 Urania Milano21150%74.078.0-4.0
15 Sebastiani Rieti21150%68.573.5-5.0
16 Scafati21150%70.077.5-7.5
17 JuVi Cremona21150%69.077.5-8.5
18 Blu Basket Bergamo1010%83.093.0-10.0
19 Pesaro1010%62.078.0-16.0
20 Ruvo Di Puglia2020%65.590.0-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre1424251578
Cento2219191070
← all games of the day
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