Mestre faces Cividale in a Serie A2 clash on 11 November 2026, with the Pythia model designating Mestre as the favourite and projecting a 61% chance of victory over a 39% chance for Cividale, a 76-73 scoreline and a total of 148.6 points; the home team's line is -2.0 with a 56% probability of covering, while the over on a 150.5 line carries a 45% chance, and a 5% overtime probability is noted. Both sides sit at 4-4 for the season, each having played eight games, with Mestre averaging 74.5 points scored and 75.9 points allowed, and Cividale averaging 70.6 points scored and 73.5 points allowed, placing them 12th and 13th respectively. At home, Mestre is 2-2, scoring 71.5 and allowing 77.2, and has won three of its last five, including an 85-73 away win over Pesaro and a 70-63 home win over Brindisi, though it fell 70-77 to Caserta. On the road, Cividale is 2-2, scoring 71.8 and allowing 74.8, with three wins in five outings, highlighted by a 78-60 home win over Urania Milano, a 74-64 away win over Cento, and a 70-67 home win over Sassari. Their head-to-head record stands 0-2 in favour of Cividale, the last meeting ending 77-63 for Cividale on 3 January 2026.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 74.5 | 75.9 | 150.4 | -1.4 | 50% |
| Season at home (4) | 71.5 | 77.2 | 148.8 | -5.8 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 77.5 | 74.5 | 152.0 | +3.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.0 | 78.0 | 154.0 | -2.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.8 | 75.0 | 153.8 | +3.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 74.6 | 82.5 | 157.1 | -7.9 | 33% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 78.3 | 77.7 | 156.0 | +0.6 | 46% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 83.5 | 74.5 | 158.0 | +9.0 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 70.6 | 73.5 | 144.1 | -2.9 | 50% |
| Season at home (4) | 69.5 | 72.2 | 141.8 | -2.8 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 71.8 | 74.8 | 146.5 | -3.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 70.7 | 75.8 | 146.5 | -5.1 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 70.4 | 68.8 | 139.2 | +1.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 65.0 | 81.0 | 146.0 | -16.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (18) | 75.8 | 76.1 | 151.9 | -0.3 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 81.8 | 67.7 | 149.5 | +14.1 | 80% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.8 | 41.8 | 81.6 | -2.0 | 43% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 40.6 | 41.4 | 82.1 | -0.8 | 50% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 38.9 | 42.1 | 81.0 | -3.3 | 36% | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.6 | 43.1 | 83.7 | -2.5 | 30% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.4 | 40.8 | 82.2 | +0.6 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 37.3 | 43.0 | 80.3 | -5.7 | 27% | 67% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 41.5 | 40.5 | 82.1 | +1.0 | 54% | 62% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 47.0 | 40.5 | 87.5 | +6.5 | 100% | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.0 | 38.2 | 76.2 | -0.2 | 47% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 36.9 | 36.1 | 73.0 | +0.8 | 56% | 44% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 39.3 | 40.5 | 79.8 | -1.2 | 36% | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.9 | 41.5 | 77.4 | -5.6 | 30% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 38.6 | 74.4 | -2.8 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 26.0 | 49.5 | 75.5 | -23.5 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (18) | 38.0 | 39.1 | 77.1 | -1.1 | 39% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 40.4 | 34.2 | 74.6 | +6.2 | 70% | 40% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mestre +7.5 | 81.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Mestre +6.5 | 79.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Cividale under 80.5 | 77.5% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Lost |
| Mestre +5.5 | 76.6% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| Cividale under 79.5 | 74.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Lost |
| Mestre +3.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | 1.47 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Cividale under 78.5 | 71.4% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Lost |
| Mestre +4.5 | 73.6% | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Under 157.5 | 71.0% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Lost |
| Mestre over 69.5 | 73.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.03 | - | - | - | +3.9pp | - |
| Mestre under 81.5 | 71.1% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.3 | 15.8 | 51.4% | 31.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.6 | 9.2 | 34.6% | 27.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.7 | 14.6 | 70.8% | 14.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 27.3 | 14.3 | 51.4% | 28.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.8 | 6.1 | 34.6% | 18.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.1 | 11.0 | 70.8% | 11.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03/01/26 | Cividale v Mestre | 77-63 |
| 25/10/25 | Mestre v Cividale | 78-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Pesaro | 85-73 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Brindisi | 70-63 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Caserta | 70-77 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Ruvo Di Puglia | 93-71 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Rimini | 76-91 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Sassari | 74-87 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Libertas Livorno | 49-88 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Basket Torino | 79-57 |
| 26/04/26 | A | JuVi Cremona | 82-83 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Libertas Livorno | 82-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Sassari | 70-67 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Cento | 74-64 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Urania Milano | 78-60 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Pesaro | 68-76 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Avellino Basket | 62-77 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Basket Torino | 59-76 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Ruvo Di Puglia | 86-83 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Forli | 68-85 |
| 28/05/26 | A | Rimini | 76-87 |
| 26/05/26 | A | Rimini | 66-83 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWW | 50% |
| Home | LLWW | 50% |
| Away | WLLW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 74.5 | 71.5 | 77.5 |
| Allowed / game | 75.9 | 77.2 | 74.5 |
| Point differential | -1.4 | -5.8 | +3.0 |
| Avg total | 150.4 | 148.8 | 152.0 |
| Over 149.75 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 50% |
| Home | LLWW | 50% |
| Away | WLLW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 70.6 | 69.5 | 71.8 |
| Allowed / game | 73.5 | 72.2 | 74.8 |
| Point differential | -2.9 | -2.8 | -3.0 |
| Avg total | 144.1 | 141.8 | 146.5 |
| Over 149.75 | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 81.6 | 68.2 | +13.4 |
| 2 | Avellino Basket | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 80.9 | 73.4 | +7.5 |
| 3 | Rimini | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 81.8 | 70.6 | +11.1 |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 79.6 | 74.2 | +5.4 | |
| 5 | Sebastiani Rieti | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 74.1 | 73.4 | +0.8 |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 72.4 | 71.4 | +1.0 | |
| 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 77.0 | 73.4 | +3.6 | |
| 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 80.2 | 77.9 | +2.4 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 77.4 | 69.5 | +7.9 | |
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 82.5 | 78.5 | +4.0 | |
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 74.9 | 75.1 | -0.2 | |
| 12 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 74.5 | 75.9 | -1.4 | |
| 13 | Cividale | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 70.6 | 73.5 | -2.9 |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 79.3 | 83.3 | -4.0 | |
| 15 | Ruvo Di Puglia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 76.1 | 82.5 | -6.4 |
| 16 | Vigevano | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 76.5 | 84.4 | -7.9 |
| 17 | Cento | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 72.2 | 82.6 | -10.4 |
| 18 | JuVi Cremona | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 74.9 | 78.0 | -3.1 |
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 74.5 | 81.9 | -7.4 | |
| 20 | Montecatini | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 68.9 | 82.6 | -13.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 18 | 22 | 13 | 79 | |
| Cividale | 15 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 81 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.