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Mestre vs Cividale Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-79
23-24 14-18 25-19 16-18
Position#15
Record3-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#5
Record2-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game77.3
ItalySerie A2Round 7· Palasport Taliercio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mestre v Cividale
11 Nov 2026
MEST79
CIVI81
25 Oct 2025
MEST78
CIVI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cividale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
61-76
61
76
-15
6avg 62
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 62
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 62
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 62
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 62
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
76avg 62
A19/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-11
15-13
11-26
32-27
22-25
21-13
26-26
14-22
24-19
25-19
15-10
11-14
23-15
24-22
21-20
16-33
17-19
28-24
12-16
23-28
28-21
24-16
9-25
161.0Avg total
79.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.381.7161.0-2.350%
Season at home (3)84.084.3168.3-0.367%
Season away (3)74.779.0153.7-4.333%
Last 10 (6)79.381.7161.0-2.350%
Last 5 (5)83.082.8165.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.786.0158.7-13.30%
vs Similar (2)89.580.5170.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Cividale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
76avg 72
H13/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 72
A16/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 72
A18/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
65avg 72
H21/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
74-83
74
83
-9
62avg 72
A21/09
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
74-67
74
67
+7
70avg 72
H26/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 72
A05/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
75-84
75
84
-9
59avg 72
H08/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
79-58
79
58
+21
81avg 72
A12/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
80-91
80
91
-11
70avg 72
H18/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
12-21
19-20
31-21
28-23
14-26
27-19
12-23
19-18
24-24
15-17
14-24
19-19
13-26
27-17
19-19
28-14
15-14
20-30
11-25
16-10
27-24
13-16
18-17
25-29
13-21
26-22
14-9
21-22
16-28
14-14
24-20
22-14
15-22
25-10
17-12
21-30
19-21
25-17
15-23
156.6Avg total
77.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.777.3154.0-0.733%
Season at home (3)76.380.7157.0-4.333%
Season away (3)77.074.0151.0+3.033%
Last 10 (10)77.379.3156.6-2.030%
Last 5 (5)77.276.2153.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
vs Similar (22)78.979.9158.8-1.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.081.4165.4+2.657%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
MestreCividale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A19/10
Serie A2
84.2Avg total
40.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)40.843.384.2-2.550%-
Last 30 at home (3)41.748.390.0-6.733%-
Last 30 away (3)40.038.378.3+1.767%-
Last 10 (6)40.843.384.2-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.686.6-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.746.085.7-6.333%-
vs Similar (2)46.046.592.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H13/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A18/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H21/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A21/09
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H26/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A12/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H18/10
Serie A2
80.5Avg total
38.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.780.5-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.342.181.5-2.833%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.379.6-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.880.5-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.283.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.044.085.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (22)38.640.979.5-2.341%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.143.983.0-4.729%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.7
53.8%
50.8%35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.39.0
44.3%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.010.8
72.2%
74.4%10.8
They take 53.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.6
47.8%
50.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.5
36.7%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.713.0
73.4%
74.4%13.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
LLWWWL
Cividale
LWLLWLLLLW
#15
League position
#5
+1.0
Net rating
-2.2
114.4
Offensive rating
106.7
113.4
Defensive rating
108.9
58.6%
Effective FG%
50.8%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
20.6%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
44.3%
3-point %
36.7%
38.1%
Assist %
53.9%
50%
Form (last 6/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 106.7Defence113.4 · 108.9Shooting58.6% · 50.8%3-point %44.3% · 36.7%Ball care16.3% · 16.4%Off. rebounds20.6% · 28.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 6/10)50% · 30%
■ Mestre   ■ Cividale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
0
Cividale wins
No previous meetings.
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25APesaro84-90
12/10/25HRimini73-92
08/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia79-71
03/10/25HCento78-70
27/09/25HRoseto101-91
21/09/25AScafati61-76
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HRuvo Di Puglia80-91
12/10/25AForli79-58
08/10/25HSebastiani Rieti75-84
05/10/25AFortitudo Bologna78-81
26/09/25HVerona74-67
21/09/25ABasket Torino74-83
21/05/25HForli78-81
18/05/25AForli72-83
16/05/25AForli81-91
13/05/25HForli82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game79.384.074.7
Allowed / game81.784.379.0
Point differential-2.3-0.3-4.3
Avg total161.0168.3153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cividale
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.776.377.0
Allowed / game77.380.774.0
Point differential-0.7-4.3+3.0
Avg total154.0157.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi65183%80.066.0+14.0
2 Pesaro65183%84.878.3+6.5
3 Verona65183%82.576.3+6.2
4 Libertas Livorno64267%75.069.8+5.2
5 Sebastiani Rieti64267%76.272.8+3.3
6 Pistoia64267%82.080.5+1.5
7 Basket Torino74357%73.075.4-2.4
8 Avellino Basket63350%76.372.8+3.5
9 Fortitudo Bologna63350%82.880.0+2.8
10 Rimini63350%82.780.5+2.2
11 Blu Basket Bergamo63350%83.383.3+0.0
12 Cento63350%74.875.3-0.5
13 Scafati63350%80.281.0-0.8
14 Mestre63350%79.381.7-2.3
15 JuVi Cremona63350%72.877.7-4.8
16 Cividale62433%76.777.3-0.7
17 Roseto61517%84.390.3-6.0
18 Forli61517%72.081.7-9.7
19 Ruvo Di Puglia61517%73.384.5-11.2
20 Urania Milano71614%79.084.4-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre2314251678
Cividale2418191879
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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