PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-84
28-23 21-28 16-24 25-9
Position#3
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game77.2
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game80.0
ItalySerie A2Round 6· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pesaro v Mestre
07 Nov 2026
PES v MEST
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
PES90
MEST84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 76
A13/04
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
72avg 76
H19/04
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
74avg 76
A27/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
85-72
85
72
+13
82avg 76
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
75avg 76
A06/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 76
H30/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
86-71
86
71
+15
83avg 76
H05/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 76
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 76
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
101-83
101
83
+18
108avg 76
A15/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
25-21
22-31
15-11
25-16
23-22
17-27
17-19
8-18
25-26
20-18
32-19
23-13
25-20
21-21
16-18
18-32
24-24
22-19
21-19
10-17
20-16
17-20
15-25
23-8
24-19
20-20
19-24
27-21
15-18
25-25
22-16
21-24
23-6
27-27
10-17
26-20
20-26
28-20
27-17
163.6Avg total
83.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.877.2161.0+6.680%
Season at home (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
Season away (3)90.379.0169.3+11.3100%
Last 10 (10)83.480.2163.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)83.877.2161.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar (21)83.280.2163.4+3.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)92.880.2173.0+12.588%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
61-76
61
76
-15
6avg 60
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 60
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 60
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 60
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 60
H12/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-11
15-13
11-26
32-27
22-25
21-13
26-26
14-22
24-19
25-19
15-10
11-14
23-15
24-22
21-20
16-33
17-19
28-24
12-16
158.4Avg total
78.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.480.0158.4-1.660%
Season at home (3)84.084.3168.3-0.367%
Season away (2)70.073.5143.5-3.550%
Last 10 (5)78.480.0158.4-1.660%
Last 5 (5)78.480.0158.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)67.084.0151.0-17.00%
vs Similar (2)89.580.5170.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
PesaroMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A13/04
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H19/04
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A27/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A06/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H30/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H05/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A15/10
Serie A2
81.0Avg total
42.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.784.9+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.337.783.0+7.671%-
Last 30 away (16)43.243.286.5+0.056%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.981.0+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.076.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (21)42.640.483.0+2.252%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.941.689.5+6.288%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H12/10
Serie A2
81.0Avg total
38.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)38.842.281.0-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (3)41.748.390.0-6.733%-
Last 30 away (2)34.533.067.5+1.550%-
Last 10 (5)38.842.281.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.281.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.044.578.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (2)46.046.592.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.4
58.4%
50.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.2
34.1%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.712.9
77.2%
74.4%12.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.4
53.0%
50.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.08.4
44.2%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.811.4
72.2%
74.4%11.4
They take 51.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWWWLLWWLL
Mestre
LWWWL
#3
League position
#15
+3.6
Net rating
+3.8
108.7
Offensive rating
113.8
105.2
Defensive rating
110.0
55.0%
Effective FG%
57.9%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.1%
3-point %
44.2%
59.8%
Assist %
38.0%
60%
Form (last 10/5)
60%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 113.8Defence105.2 · 110.0Shooting55.0% · 57.9%3-point %34.1% · 44.2%Ball care16.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds22.3% · 21.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/5)60% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pesaro wins
0
Mestre wins
No previous meetings.
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo101-83
12/10/25AFortitudo Bologna81-74
08/10/25ARoseto89-80
05/10/25HRuvo Di Puglia86-71
30/09/25HLibertas Livorno62-78
06/05/25AFortitudo Bologna85-94
03/05/25HBasket Torino85-72
27/04/25AVerona85-81
19/04/25HUdine82-84
13/04/25ACantu78-85
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25HRimini73-92
08/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia79-71
03/10/25HCento78-70
27/09/25HRoseto101-91
21/09/25AScafati61-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game83.874.090.3
Allowed / game77.274.579.0
Point differential+6.6-0.5+11.3
Avg total161.0148.5169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game78.484.070.0
Allowed / game80.084.373.5
Point differential-1.6-0.3-3.5
Avg total158.4168.3143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi65183%80.066.0+14.0
2 Sebastiani Rieti54180%76.869.8+7.0
3 Pesaro54180%83.877.2+6.6
4 Verona54180%79.874.8+5.0
5 Libertas Livorno53260%75.069.4+5.6
6 Fortitudo Bologna53260%87.882.4+5.4
7 Rimini53260%82.477.4+5.0
8 Basket Torino53260%77.475.6+1.8
9 Blu Basket Bergamo53260%85.685.0+0.6
10 Pistoia53260%80.882.0-1.2
11 Mestre53260%78.480.0-1.6
12 Avellino Basket52340%75.076.6-1.6
13 Scafati52340%78.880.8-2.0
14 Cento52340%72.675.4-2.8
15 JuVi Cremona52340%73.881.6-7.8
16 Cividale62433%76.777.3-0.7
17 Roseto51420%86.291.2-5.0
18 Forli51420%70.080.6-10.6
19 Urania Milano61517%81.086.8-5.8
20 Ruvo Di Puglia61517%73.384.5-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2821162590
Mestre232824984
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.