PythiaBasketballBETA
Super League· Romazan Sport Palace
Metallurg will host Rusichi Kursk in the Super League on 13 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Metallurg the clear favourite, assigning them a 78% chance to win largely because their 3-5 record and 73.8 points per game contrast with Rusichi Kursk's 1-7 record and 70.5 points per game. Metallurg have scored 73.8 points per game while allowing 78.2, and at home they average 76.2 points and concede 78.8, a 2-2 record over four games; their last five games include a 69-65 win over Desna Bryansk and three losses. Rusichi Kursk have struggled on the road, going 0-4 with 70.0 points per game and 92.0 points allowed, and their last five games were all defeats, the most recent being a 68-93 loss to Chelyabinsk. The teams have met once before, with Metallurg winning that encounter. Pythia projects a 82-73 score, a total of 155.3 points, and a 43% chance that Metallurg will cover the home line of -10.5; the over on the 152.5 total has a 56% probability, and the game has a 4% chance of overtime. Metallurg's recent 69-65 home victory suggests they will likely keep the margin wide enough to hit the spread.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 73.8 | 78.2 | 152.0 | -4.5 | 38% |
| Season at home (4) | 76.2 | 78.8 | 155.0 | -2.5 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 71.2 | 77.8 | 149.0 | -6.5 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.5 | 79.9 | 155.4 | -4.4 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.2 | 74.8 | 148.0 | -1.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 75.5 | 86.2 | 161.6 | -10.7 | 9% |
| vs Similar (11) | 69.8 | 75.3 | 145.1 | -5.5 | 36% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 79.2 | 73.6 | 152.9 | +5.6 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 70.5 | 85.9 | 156.4 | -15.4 | 12% |
| Season at home (4) | 71.0 | 79.8 | 150.8 | -8.8 | 25% |
| Season away (4) | 70.0 | 92.0 | 162.0 | -22.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.8 | 82.5 | 155.3 | -9.7 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.4 | 89.4 | 161.8 | -17.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (27) | 74.0 | 86.7 | 160.7 | -12.6 | 22% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker (2) | 82.0 | 69.0 | 151.0 | +13.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.6 | 40.2 | 77.8 | -2.6 | 33% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 36.2 | 38.5 | 74.7 | -2.3 | 29% | 57% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 38.8 | 41.7 | 80.5 | -2.9 | 38% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.7 | 39.2 | 78.9 | +0.5 | 60% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.4 | 38.6 | 79.0 | +1.8 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 37.5 | 43.8 | 81.3 | -6.4 | 18% | 73% |
| vs Similar (11) | 36.9 | 37.4 | 74.3 | -0.5 | 36% | 45% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 38.8 | 39.1 | 77.9 | -0.4 | 50% | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.2 | 43.4 | 80.5 | -6.2 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 36.9 | 42.5 | 79.4 | -5.6 | 35% | 59% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 37.5 | 44.5 | 82.0 | -6.9 | 31% | 77% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.3 | 41.2 | 77.5 | -4.9 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 44.4 | 80.2 | -8.6 | 20% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (27) | 36.9 | 43.8 | 80.6 | -6.9 | 30% | 67% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker (2) | 40.5 | 38.0 | 78.5 | +2.5 | 100% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metallurg (regulation) | 75.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Metallurg win | 77.5% | 1.15 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.12 | 1.11 | - | -3.9pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | H | Desna Bryansk | 69-65 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Khimki M. | 64-74 |
| 02/11/26 | A | University-Ugra | 76-78 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Novosibirsk | 83-79 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Barnaul | 74-78 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Izhevsk | 89-86 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Tambov | 56-73 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 79-93 |
| 16/04/26 | H | Izhevsk | 81-83 |
| 15/04/26 | A | Tambov | 84-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | Chelyabinsk | 68-93 |
| 05/11/26 | H | CSKA Moscow 2 | 68-74 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Dynamo Grozny | 76-94 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Ufa | 73-96 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Temp Sumz Revda | 77-90 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Desna Bryansk | 62-89 |
| 05/10/26 | H | University-Ugra | 81-68 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Khimki M. | 59-83 |
| 19/09/25 | H | Khimki-Podmoskovie | 66-53 |
| 18/09/25 | A | Desna Bryansk | 98-85 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLW | 38% |
| Home | LLWW | 50% |
| Away | LWLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Points / game | 73.8 | 76.2 | 71.2 |
| Allowed / game | 78.2 | 78.8 | 77.8 |
| Point differential | -4.5 | -2.5 | -6.5 |
| Avg total | 152.0 | 155.0 | 149.0 |
| Over 152.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 60% (5) | 67% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 12% |
| Home | LWLL | 25% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Points / game | 70.5 | 71.0 | 70.0 |
| Allowed / game | 85.9 | 79.8 | 92.0 |
| Point differential | -15.4 | -8.8 | -22.0 |
| Avg total | 156.4 | 150.8 | 162.0 |
| Over 152.5 | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ufa | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 88.8 | 70.4 | +18.4 |
| 2 |  Temp Sumz Revda | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 91.2 | 79.0 | +12.2 |
| 3 |  Chelyabinsk | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 92.1 | 86.8 | +5.4 |
| 4 |  Dynamo Grozny | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 84.0 | 74.9 | +9.1 |
| 5 |  Khimki M. | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 82.9 | 74.9 | +8.0 |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 72.1 | 69.0 | +3.1 |
| 7 |  Tambov | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 75.5 | 76.4 | -0.9 |
| 8 |  Barnaul | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.0 | 82.6 | -2.6 |
| 9 | Metallurg | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 73.8 | 78.2 | -4.5 |
| 10 |  Novosibirsk | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 82.0 | 89.0 | -7.0 |
| 11 |  University-Ugra | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 73.9 | 82.6 | -8.7 |
| 12 |  Desna Bryansk | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 68.9 | 78.0 | -9.1 |
| 13 |  Izhevsk | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 77.5 | 87.0 | -9.5 |
| 14 | Rusichi Kursk | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 70.5 | 85.9 | -15.4 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metallurg | 16 | 18 | 18 | 32 | 84 |
| Rusichi Kursk | 21 | 14 | 14 | 26 | 75 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
