PythiaBasketballBETA
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes host Osceola Magic on 16 November 2026 in the NBA-G League, with the Magic the model favourite as they trail the Capitanes 42% to 58% in win probability. The Capitanes have a 3-2 record, averaging 95.6 points and allowing 94.2, while the Magic are undefeated 3-0, scoring 102.3 and conceding 93.7; the Capitanes are 13th in the league, the Magic 2nd. At home the Capitanes are 2-0, posting 102.0 points and 92.0 allowed, whereas the Magic have a 1-0 road record with 101.0 points and 98.0 allowed. In the last five games the Capitanes went 3-2, losing 86-99 to Birmingham Squadron, 94-109 to Osceola Magic and winning 97-93 over Texas Legends, while the Magic went 4-1, beating Mexico City Capitanes 109-94, Memphis Hustle 101-98, Oklahoma City Blue 97-89 and a fourth win not listed. Historically the Magic lead the series 6-4, most recently defeating the Capitanes 109-94 on 12 November. Pythia projects a 103-106 finish for a 209-point total, with a 4% chance of overtime and a modest probability that the Magic will cover the home spread; the projected score reflects the Magic's slight edge in recent form.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 95.6 | 94.2 | 189.8 | +1.4 | 60% |
| Season at home (2) | 102.0 | 92.0 | 194.0 | +10.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 91.3 | 95.7 | 187.0 | -4.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 99.4 | 102.0 | 201.4 | -2.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 95.6 | 94.2 | 189.8 | +1.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 104.0 | 115.7 | 219.7 | -11.7 | 33% |
| vs Similar (18) | 109.2 | 112.2 | 221.4 | -2.9 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 107.8 | 102.9 | 210.7 | +4.9 | 78% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 102.3 | 93.7 | 196.0 | +8.7 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 103.0 | 91.5 | 194.5 | +11.5 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 101.0 | 98.0 | 199.0 | +3.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 116.6 | 112.6 | 229.2 | +4.0 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 110.2 | 106.2 | 216.4 | +4.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (10) | 120.9 | 121.9 | 242.8 | -1.0 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (20) | 116.3 | 108.0 | 224.3 | +8.2 | 80% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 52.5 | 56.8 | 109.3 | -4.2 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 56.9 | 58.1 | 115.0 | -1.2 | 38% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 49.2 | 55.8 | 104.9 | -6.6 | 35% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 49.1 | 52.7 | 101.8 | -3.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.2 | 49.0 | 98.2 | +0.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 46.3 | 60.0 | 106.3 | -13.7 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (18) | 53.9 | 59.2 | 113.2 | -5.3 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker (9) | 51.8 | 50.8 | 102.6 | +1.0 | 44% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 60.0 | 57.3 | 117.3 | +2.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (22) | 59.6 | 57.5 | 117.1 | +2.1 | 45% | - |
| Last 30 away (8) | 61.0 | 56.8 | 117.8 | +4.2 | 62% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 57.7 | 54.8 | 112.5 | +2.9 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 56.2 | 51.6 | 107.8 | +4.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (10) | 62.1 | 62.1 | 124.2 | +0.0 | 40% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (20) | 59.0 | 54.9 | 113.8 | +4.1 | 55% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes | 109-94 |
| 22/12/25 | Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes | 119-112 |
| 13/11/25 | Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes | 117-111 |
| 01/12/24 | Mexico City Capitanes v Osceola Magic | 108-94 |
| 16/11/24 | Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes | 98-107 |
| 14/11/24 | Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes | 128-105 |
| 17/12/23 | Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes | 130-108 |
| 11/11/23 | Mexico City Capitanes v Osceola Magic | 108-97 |
| 05/02/23 | Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes | 121-122 |
| 27/11/22 | Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes | 128-103 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Birmingham Squadron | 86-99 |
| 13/11/26 | A | Osceola Magic | 94-109 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Texas Legends | 97-93 |
| 09/11/26 | H | Texas Legends | 107-91 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Oklahoma City Blue | 94-79 |
| 02/04/26 | H | Rip City Remix | 108-113 |
| 29/03/26 | A | Austin Toros Spurs | 86-118 |
| 26/03/26 | A | Valley Suns | 94-114 |
| 25/03/26 | A | Valley Suns | 112-99 |
| 22/03/26 | A | Sioux Falls Skyforce | 116-105 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Mexico City Capitanes | 109-94 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Memphis Hustle | 101-98 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Oklahoma City Blue | 97-89 |
| 05/04/26 | H | Greensboro Swarm | 121-134 |
| 03/04/26 | H | Motor City Cruise | 123-116 |
| 01/04/26 | H | Long Island Nets | 119-117 |
| 28/03/26 | A | Motor City Cruise | 125-119 |
| 27/03/26 | A | Motor City Cruise | 118-132 |
| 25/03/26 | A | College Park Skyhawks | 129-120 |
| 21/03/26 | H | Delaware Blue Coats | 124-107 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 60% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 95.6 | 102.0 | 91.3 |
| Allowed / game | 94.2 | 92.0 | 95.7 |
| Point differential | +1.4 | +10.0 | -4.3 |
| Avg total | 189.8 | 194.0 | 187.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 102.3 | 103.0 | 101.0 |
| Allowed / game | 93.7 | 91.5 | 98.0 |
| Point differential | +8.7 | +11.5 | +3.0 |
| Avg total | 196.0 | 194.5 | 199.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Wisconsin Herd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 142.0 | 127.0 | +15.0 |
| 2 | Osceola Magic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.3 | 93.7 | +8.7 |
| 3 |  Sioux Falls Skyforce | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 132.7 | 124.0 | +8.7 |
| 4 |  Austin Toros Spurs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 118.5 | 113.0 | +5.5 |
| 5 |  San Diego Clippers | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 122.0 | 119.6 | +2.4 |
| 6 |  Maine Celtics | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 120.0 | 108.2 | +11.8 |
| 7 |  Long Island Nets | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 117.0 | 109.5 | +7.5 |
| 8 |  Windy City Bulls | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 119.8 | 112.8 | +7.0 |
| 9 |  South Bay Lakers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 115.8 | 109.2 | +6.5 |
| 10 |  Delaware Blue Coats | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 131.0 | 127.7 | +3.3 |
| 11 |  Stockton Kings | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 125.3 | 125.3 | +0.0 |
| 12 |  Greensboro Swarm | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 113.2 | 106.0 | +7.2 |
| 13 | Mexico City Capitanes | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 95.6 | 94.2 | +1.4 |
| 14 |  Birmingham Squadron | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 104.5 | 101.5 | +3.0 |
| 15 |  Motor City Cruise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 129.5 | 128.0 | +1.5 |
| 16 |  College Park Skyhawks | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 118.8 | 125.0 | -6.2 |
| 17 |  Noblesville Boom | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 119.0 | 120.0 | -1.0 |
| 18 |  Raptors 905 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 117.8 | 123.4 | -5.6 |
| 19 |  Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 102.7 | 99.3 | +3.3 |
| 20 |  Memphis Hustle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 109.7 | 108.0 | +1.7 |
| 21 |  Salt Lake City Stars | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 104.7 | 104.7 | +0.0 |
| 22 |  Santa Cruz Warriors | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 116.0 | 117.0 | -1.0 |
| 23 | Rip City Remix | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 113.0 | 116.3 | -3.3 |
| 24 |  Texas Legends | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 95.3 | 101.0 | -5.7 |
| 25 |  Grand Rapids Gold | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 112.8 | 116.8 | -4.0 |
| 26 |  Iowa Wolves | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 118.8 | 128.8 | -10.0 |
| 27 |  Oklahoma City Blue | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 93.4 | 103.0 | -9.6 |
| 28 | Valley Suns | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 115.0 | 123.3 | -8.3 |
| 29 |  Cleveland Charge | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 132.0 | 145.0 | -13.0 |
| 30 |  Westchester | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 94.0 | 107.7 | -13.7 |
| 31 |  Capital City Go-Go | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 120.0 | 134.5 | -14.5 |
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