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Miami (FL) vs California Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 85-86
44-45 41-41
Position#38
Record17-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#79
Record15-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H17/12
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
105-67
105
67
+38
H21/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A14/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-43
55-38
51-35
54-32
33-43
43-26
39-38
42-39
47-33
44-48
39-39
42-30
26-35
33-34
37-38
26-27
41-36
44-40
35-40
44-30
154.2Avg total
81.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.769.3154.0+15.381%
Season at home (14)89.468.0157.4+21.486%
Season away (7)75.372.0147.3+3.371%
Last 10 (10)81.872.4154.2+9.480%
Last 5 (5)73.469.8143.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.583.2152.8-13.812%
vs Similar (4)70.076.5146.5-6.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.368.5156.8+19.894%
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#244
W
97-50
97
50
+47
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H15/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A25/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-23
47-27
28-16
46-40
34-48
36-42
27-31
45-40
33-43
27-41
37-37
38-41
30-37
26-34
54-37
30-41
38-34
40-32
23-36
38-27
143.4Avg total
72.7Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.969.9147.8+8.071%
Season at home (16)79.167.4146.5+11.888%
Season away (5)74.078.0152.0-4.020%
Last 10 (10)72.770.7143.4+2.050%
Last 5 (5)70.871.2142.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)64.781.5146.2-16.80%
vs Similar (14)78.873.2152.0+5.657%
vs Weaker (10)84.368.8153.1+15.590%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +8.3+8.32nd half: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +8.3+8.32nd half: +0.8+0.8
Miami (FL)California
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H17/12
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H10/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A14/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H29/01
NCAA
77.1Avg total
39.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.475.3+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.736.678.2+5.156%-
Last 30 away (12)34.836.270.9-1.433%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.077.1+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.673.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.541.072.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (4)35.034.869.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.134.777.8+8.367%-
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#244
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
28-16
28
16
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A10/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H15/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H17/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A29/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
35.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.668.9-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.932.169.0+4.861%-
Last 30 away (12)30.538.368.8-7.88%-
Last 10 (10)35.434.269.6+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.272.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)29.241.570.7-12.30%-
vs Similar (14)34.332.867.1+1.543%-
vs Weaker (10)37.533.070.5+4.560%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami (FL) wins
1
California wins
DateGameScore
26/01/25California v Miami (FL)98-94 OT
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HStanford79-70
24/01/26ASyracuse85-76
21/01/26HFlorida State63-65
17/01/26AClemson59-69
14/01/26ANotre Dame81-69
10/01/26HGeorgia Tech91-81
08/01/26AWake Forest81-77
31/12/25HPittsburgh76-69
21/12/25HNorth Florida105-67
17/12/25HFlorida International98-81
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26AFlorida State61-63
25/01/26AStanford78-66
17/01/26HNorth Carolina84-78
15/01/26HDuke56-71
10/01/26AVirginia Tech75-78
08/01/26AVirginia60-84
03/01/26HNotre Dame72-71
31/12/25HLouisville70-90
21/12/25HColumbia74-56
20/12/25HMorgan State97-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW81%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %81%86%71%
Points / game84.789.475.3
Allowed / game69.368.072.0
Point differential+15.3+21.4+3.3
Avg total154.0157.4147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%71%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
California
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL71%
HomeWLWLW88%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21165
Win %71%88%20%
Points / game77.979.174.0
Allowed / game69.967.478.0
Point differential+8.0+11.8-4.0
Avg total147.8146.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2120195%85.064.3+20.7
2 Clemson2218482%76.564.5+11.9
3 Virginia2218482%82.771.0+11.7
4 Miami (FL)2117481%84.769.3+15.3
5 North Carolina2117481%83.070.3+12.7
6 NC State2216673%85.972.0+14.0
7 Louisville2115671%86.170.5+15.6
8 SMU Mustangs2115671%86.677.5+9.1
9 California2115671%77.969.9+8.0
10 Virginia Tech2316770%80.074.0+6.0
11 Stanford2114767%75.772.8+2.9
12 Syracuse2112957%75.369.9+5.4
13 Notre Dame21111052%74.071.5+2.5
14 Wake Forest22111150%80.077.6+2.5
15 Georgia Tech22111150%74.574.0+0.5
16 Florida State2191243%80.479.6+0.9
17 Boston College2191243%68.168.4-0.3
18 Pittsburgh2291341%72.071.1+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)444185
California454186
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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