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Miami (Ohio) vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-86
40-45 44-41
Position#240
Record12-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Buffalo 🏆
USA
Position#109
Record16-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Miami (Ohio) v Buffalo
19 Jan 2027
MIAM v BUFF
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MIAM105
BUFF102
04 Jan 2025
MIAM93
BUFF79
22 Feb 2022
MIAM84
BUFF86
15 Dec 2020
MIAM62
BUFF90
10 Jan 2020
MIAM78
BUFF83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (Ohio) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#320
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A26/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A29/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H02/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A04/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H06/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H09/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
58-45
19-31
45-50
28-55
47-30
24-50
41-28
27-30
28-36
26-28
33-43
24-30
38-27
47-32
47-46
39-39
39-52
37-38
41-37
147.9Avg total
71.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.272.5147.7+2.746%
Season at home (14)77.167.9145.0+9.157%
Season away (12)73.177.8150.9-4.833%
Last 10 (10)71.576.4147.9-4.940%
Last 5 (5)74.274.4148.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.376.2142.6-9.911%
vs Similar (9)75.375.8151.1-0.433%
vs Weaker (11)78.568.6147.1+9.882%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#237
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H22/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A26/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
53-74
53
74
-21
H29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
102-64
102
64
+38
H09/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
112-85
112
85
+27
A16/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
40-38
34-24
30-27
41-41
34-45
20-37
33-37
34-27
40-27
50-35
52-29
38-36
42-38
51-38
61-47
38-30
45-39
33-38
54-35
150.2Avg total
80.4Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.471.8153.2+9.667%
Season at home (11)84.169.6153.7+14.573%
Season away (13)79.273.7152.8+5.562%
Last 10 (10)80.469.8150.2+10.680%
Last 5 (5)92.873.0165.8+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.086.0161.0-11.00%
vs Similar (11)72.172.4144.5-0.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.771.9157.6+13.881%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.2-7.21st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +6.9+6.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.2-7.21st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +6.9+6.9
Miami (Ohio)Buffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#320
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H22/01
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A29/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
24-50
24
50
-26
H02/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A04/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H06/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A19/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
29.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.134.568.6-0.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.531.967.4+3.547%-
Last 30 away (15)32.737.169.8-4.320%-
Last 10 (10)29.837.066.8-7.210%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.468.0+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.039.169.1-9.10%-
vs Similar (9)35.433.168.6+2.356%-
vs Weaker (11)35.433.769.1+1.636%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#237
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H22/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A26/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A05/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H09/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A16/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H19/02
NCAA
70.9Avg total
37.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.833.770.5+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.932.269.2+4.775%-
Last 30 away (14)36.735.472.1+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)37.333.670.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.477.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.041.082.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (11)31.532.564.0-0.955%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.734.674.2+5.175%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Miami (Ohio) wins
5
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
29/12/21Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)81-91
11/03/21Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)74-63
06/02/21Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)88-64
15/12/20Miami (Ohio) v Buffalo62-90
09/03/20Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)79-85
04/03/20Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)75-69
11/01/20Miami (Ohio) v Buffalo78-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/22ANorthern Illinois78-75
16/02/22AOhio78-91
12/02/22HBowling Green94-78
09/02/22HWestern Michigan62-57
06/02/22HAkron59-71
04/02/22AAkron55-66
02/02/22HKent State65-78
29/01/22AEastern Michigan75-85
26/01/22ABall State64-81
22/01/22HNorthern Illinois85-82
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/22HWestern Michigan87-73
17/02/22AEastern Michigan83-69
16/02/22ABowling Green112-85
12/02/22HBall State80-74
09/02/22HEastern Michigan102-64
05/02/22ACentral Michigan74-54
29/01/22HOhio53-74
26/01/22AToledo75-86
22/01/22HKent State64-51
14/01/22ABall State74-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW46%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game75.277.173.1
Allowed / game72.567.977.8
Point differential+2.7+9.1-4.8
Avg total147.7145.0150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Buffalo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %67%73%62%
Points / game81.484.179.2
Allowed / game71.869.673.7
Point differential+9.6+14.5+5.5
Avg total153.2153.7152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%64%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio2722581%74.467.0+7.4
2 Toledo2721678%80.069.0+11.0
3 Buffalo2416867%81.471.8+9.6
4 Akron2617965%70.262.3+7.8
5 Kent State2617965%70.763.5+7.2
6 UMass25121348%75.677.5-1.9
7 Miami (Ohio)26121446%75.272.5+2.7
8 Ball State26121446%75.277.1-1.8
9 Bowling Green27121544%82.180.1+2.0
10 Eastern Michigan2791833%69.776.4-6.7
11 Northern Illinois2581732%64.472.1-7.7
12 Central Michigan2461825%66.178.6-12.5
13 Western Michigan2762122%65.475.8-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (Ohio)404484
Buffalo454186
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