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Miami (Ohio) vs Northern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 85-61
40-38 45-23
Position#5
Record21-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.1
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#342
Record7-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Miami (Ohio) v Northern Illinois
31 Jan 2026
MIAM85
NORT61
25 Feb 2025
MIAM87
NORT58
06 Feb 2024
MIAM59
NORT62
22 Jan 2022
MIAM85
NORT82
09 Jan 2021
MIAM70
NORT58
15 Feb 2020
MIAM65
NORT60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (Ohio) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#288
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A20/12
NCAA
Milligan
#639
W
135-81
135
81
+54
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A09/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
A21/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
46-41
68-35
67-46
54-28
39-55
33-36
43-37
39-35
48-41
56-36
31-37
49-35
51-26
46-48
42-40
48-34
44-58
43-47
43-37
177.3Avg total
96.2Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)94.175.1169.2+19.0100%
Season at home (13)98.273.1171.2+25.1100%
Season away (8)87.678.4166.0+9.2100%
Last 10 (10)96.281.1177.3+15.1100%
Last 5 (5)97.084.2181.2+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)79.576.2155.8+3.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.974.0164.9+17.092%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
EWU Phantoms
#673
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H20/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A13/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
59-25
53-39
27-44
47-29
29-43
38-38
26-47
47-30
25-37
36-38
26-28
33-49
40-33
30-35
30-32
47-48
22-29
31-29
35-30
50-35
144.9Avg total
73.1Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.576.0149.6-2.535%
Season at home (9)83.674.3157.9+9.267%
Season away (11)65.477.5142.8-12.19%
Last 10 (10)73.171.8144.9+1.340%
Last 5 (5)68.869.6138.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)66.779.7146.4-13.014%
vs Similar (7)77.171.1148.3+6.043%
vs Weaker (2)114.563.0177.5+51.5100%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.6+10.61st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +4.2+4.2
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.6+10.61st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +4.2+4.2
Miami (Ohio)Northern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#288
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/12
NCAA
Milligan
#639
W
68-35
68
35
+33
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A31/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A09/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H17/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A21/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H28/01
NCAA
84.6Avg total
47.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.433.977.3+9.670%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.134.378.4+9.861%-
Last 30 away (12)42.433.275.6+9.283%-
Last 10 (10)47.637.084.6+10.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.440.088.4+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)38.836.074.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.233.577.7+10.673%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
EWU Phantoms
#673
W
59-25
59
25
+34
H17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H20/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A03/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H07/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A13/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H28/01
NCAA
66.7Avg total
31.9Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.836.570.3-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.535.673.1+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)30.637.267.8-6.725%-
Last 10 (10)31.934.866.7-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)30.630.461.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)30.038.368.3-8.219%-
vs Similar (7)37.735.172.9+2.671%-
vs Weaker (2)59.522.582.0+37.0100%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26HUMass86-84
21/01/26AKent State107-101 OT
17/01/26HBuffalo105-102 OT
14/01/26HCentral Michigan100-61
09/01/26AToledo87-73
07/01/26HWestern Michigan87-76
03/01/26HAkron76-73
31/12/25ABowling Green93-83
22/12/25HMilligan135-81
20/12/25ABall State86-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26HWestern Michigan85-65
24/01/26ABall State53-58
21/01/26AOhio77-80
17/01/26HUMass70-68
13/01/26AEastern Michigan59-77
07/01/26HToledo61-75
03/01/26AKent State73-77
31/12/25HBuffalo67-81
20/12/25HCentral Michigan74-73
17/12/25HEWU Phantoms112-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.198.287.6
Allowed / game75.173.178.4
Point differential+19.0+25.1+9.2
Avg total169.2171.2166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%69%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %14%8%25%
Northern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW35%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %35%67%9%
Points / game73.583.665.4
Allowed / game76.074.377.5
Point differential-2.5+9.2-12.1
Avg total149.6157.9142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%44%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)21210100%94.175.1+19.0
2 Akron2218482%91.574.5+17.0
3 Kent State2215768%87.281.4+5.8
4 Buffalo2214864%80.175.6+4.5
5 Bowling Green2113862%85.971.3+14.5
6 UMass2213959%79.974.7+5.2
7 Toledo22121055%81.877.8+4.0
8 Ohio23121152%77.477.6-0.2
9 Eastern Michigan2191243%71.773.1-1.4
10 Western Michigan2181338%75.479.2-3.8
11 Northern Illinois2071335%73.576.0-2.5
12 Ball State2171433%67.369.9-2.6
13 Central Michigan2161529%72.978.5-5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (Ohio)404585
Northern Illinois382361
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