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Miami (Ohio) vs UMass Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 86-84
43-47 43-37
Position#5
Record20-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game74.7
Miami (Ohio) 🏆
USA
vs
UMass
USA
Position#189
Record13-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Miami (Ohio) v UMass
12 Mar 2026
MIAM83
UMAS87
27 Jan 2026
MIAM86
UMAS84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (Ohio) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#94
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A17/12
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A20/12
NCAA
Milligan
#639
W
135-81
135
81
+54
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A09/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-34
37-42
40-36
46-41
68-35
67-46
54-28
39-55
33-36
43-37
39-35
48-41
56-36
31-37
49-35
51-26
46-48
42-40
48-34
44-58
176.2Avg total
95.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)94.574.7169.2+19.9100%
Season at home (12)99.272.2171.3+27.0100%
Season away (8)87.678.4166.0+9.2100%
Last 10 (10)95.980.3176.2+15.6100%
Last 5 (5)97.282.6179.8+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)79.576.2155.8+3.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.373.7164.0+16.688%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#52
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H20/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#631
W
91-40
91
40
+51
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A06/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-35
35-34
41-21
50-19
41-38
33-42
34-34
52-52
41-48
42-38
28-25
51-46
36-35
49-47
33-40
35-30
35-34
49-48
38-29
30-38
153.9Avg total
79.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.774.2153.9+5.562%
Season at home (12)81.672.5154.1+9.167%
Season away (9)77.276.4153.7+0.856%
Last 10 (10)79.174.8153.9+4.350%
Last 5 (5)76.874.4151.2+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.080.4148.4-12.414%
vs Similar (15)77.775.0152.7+2.753%
vs Weaker (7)76.471.7148.1+4.771%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +12.2+12.21st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +3.2+3.2
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +12.2+12.21st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +3.2+3.2
Miami (Ohio)UMass
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#94
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/12
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/12
NCAA
Milligan
#639
W
68-35
68
35
+33
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A31/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A09/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H17/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A21/01
NCAA
83.6Avg total
47.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.133.376.4+9.873%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.233.677.8+10.665%-
Last 30 away (13)41.632.974.5+8.785%-
Last 10 (10)47.935.783.6+12.280%-
Last 5 (5)47.637.685.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)38.836.074.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.732.976.6+10.877%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#52
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H20/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#631
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A24/01
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.1Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.735.169.9-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.833.968.7+0.947%-
Last 30 away (13)34.636.871.4-2.254%-
Last 10 (10)35.133.969.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.666.6+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.640.070.6-9.414%-
vs Similar (15)35.934.670.5+1.347%-
vs Weaker (7)35.633.469.0+2.186%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami (Ohio) wins
0
UMass wins
No previous meetings.
Miami (Ohio)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AKent State107-101 OT
17/01/26HBuffalo105-102 OT
14/01/26HCentral Michigan100-61
09/01/26AToledo87-73
07/01/26HWestern Michigan87-76
03/01/26HAkron76-73
31/12/25ABowling Green93-83
22/12/25HMilligan135-81
20/12/25ABall State86-77
17/12/25AWright State83-76
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ABuffalo68-67
20/01/26HToledo84-82
17/01/26ANorthern Illinois68-70
14/01/26AWestern Michigan85-82
10/01/26HBall State79-71
06/01/26AOhio83-86
03/01/26HBowling Green100-101 OT
31/12/25AEastern Michigan74-80
22/12/25HMassachusetts-Boston91-40
20/12/25HKent State59-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.599.287.6
Allowed / game74.772.278.4
Point differential+19.9+27.0+9.2
Avg total169.2171.3166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %15%8%25%
UMass
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %62%67%56%
Points / game79.781.677.2
Allowed / game74.272.576.4
Point differential+5.5+9.1+0.8
Avg total153.9154.1153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)20200100%94.574.7+19.9
2 Akron2117481%92.675.5+17.0
3 Kent State2115671%88.982.0+6.9
4 Buffalo2114767%80.074.7+5.3
5 Bowling Green2113862%85.971.3+14.5
6 UMass2113862%79.774.2+5.5
7 Toledo21111052%82.278.9+3.3
8 Ohio22111150%76.677.3-0.7
9 Eastern Michigan2191243%71.773.1-1.4
10 Western Michigan2181338%75.479.2-3.8
11 Ball State2071335%67.969.8-1.9
12 Northern Illinois2071335%73.576.0-2.5
13 Central Michigan2161529%72.978.5-5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (Ohio)434386
UMass473784
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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