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Michigan State vs Arizona Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 68-74
30-40 38-34
Position#154
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game61.4
Michigan State
USA
vs
Arizona 🏆
USA
Position#31
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.6
Allowed / game63.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H10/03
NCAA
USC
#73
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H17/03
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A19/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
93-98 OT
93
98
-5
A23/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H07/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H15/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H17/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-34
41-44
24-33
34-35
34-34
38-28
33-28
36-32
38-43
44-39
33-37
35-31
37-14
37-37
20-31
45-43
37-25
37-29
44-16
37-33
141.9Avg total
74.6Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.061.4135.4+12.660%
Season at home (5)74.061.4135.4+12.660%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.667.3141.9+7.360%
Last 5 (5)74.061.4135.4+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)65.668.4134.0-2.825%
vs Similar (17)73.468.1141.5+5.471%
vs Weaker (5)75.255.4130.6+19.8100%
This opponent (Arizona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArizonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#12
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H10/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H11/03
NCAA
UCLA
#12
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A12/03
NCAA
Princeton
#52
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H16/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
122-59
122
59
+63
H07/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
97-59
97
59
+38
H14/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
100-68
100
68
+32
H18/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
101-56
101
56
+45
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-40
36-42
47-43
48-41
35-28
43-31
33-34
28-25
31-30
24-29
61-26
61-33
41-33
37-40
35-23
62-36
56-35
44-33
43-37
58-19
151.8Avg total
86.0Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)99.663.0162.6+36.6100%
Season at home (4)105.060.5165.5+44.5100%
Season away (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.065.8151.8+20.280%
Last 5 (5)99.663.0162.6+36.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)69.365.6134.9+3.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.269.1154.3+16.183%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +9.0+9.02nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +11.2+11.2
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +9.0+9.02nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +11.2+11.2
Michigan StateArizona
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H10/03
NCAA
USC
#73
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/03
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A19/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A23/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
37-14
37
14
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H15/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
44-16
44
16
+28
H19/11
NCAA
63.8Avg total
34.3Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.828.761.5+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.226.059.2+7.272%-
Last 30 away (12)32.232.864.9-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)34.329.563.8+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.224.658.8+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)28.930.659.5-1.850%-
vs Similar (17)33.929.863.8+4.165%-
vs Weaker (5)35.021.856.8+13.280%-
This opponent (Arizona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArizonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A05/03
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H10/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/03
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Princeton
#52
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H16/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
61-26
61
26
+35
H07/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A11/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H14/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H18/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H19/11
NCAA
74.8Avg total
41.9Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.933.274.1+7.776%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.332.673.9+8.878%-
Last 30 away (11)40.234.274.4+6.073%-
Last 10 (10)41.932.974.8+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)47.230.878.0+16.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)35.333.168.4+2.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.733.275.9+9.582%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Arizona wins
No previous meetings.
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HAlcorn State81-49
17/11/23HButler74-54
15/11/23HDuke65-74
10/11/23HSouthern Indiana74-51
07/11/23HJames Madison76-79 OT
23/03/23AKansas State93-98 OT
19/03/23AMarquette69-60
17/03/23HUSC72-62
10/03/23HOhio State58-68
04/03/23HOhio State84-78
Arizonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HUT Arlington101-56
18/11/23HBelmont100-68
14/11/23HSouthern Univ.97-59
11/11/23ADuke78-73
07/11/23HMorgan State122-59
16/03/23HPrinceton55-59
12/03/23AUCLA61-59
11/03/23HArizona State78-59
10/03/23HStanford95-84
05/03/23AUCLA73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWLWW60%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %60%60%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game61.461.4-
Point differential+12.6+12.6-
Avg total135.4135.4-
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%20%-
Arizona
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game99.6105.078.0
Allowed / game63.060.573.0
Point differential+36.6+44.5+5.0
Avg total162.6165.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska660100%81.060.2+20.8
2 Purdue660100%81.763.0+18.7
3 Oregon440100%79.063.2+15.8
4 Penn State54180%77.460.6+16.8
5 Illinois54180%76.660.0+16.6
6 Minnesota54180%80.665.2+15.4
7 Rutgers54180%70.458.6+11.8
8 Northwestern54180%67.062.6+4.4
9 Indiana54180%72.270.0+2.2
10 Ohio State43175%73.563.5+10.0
11 USC43175%77.067.0+10.0
12 UCLA64267%71.856.7+15.2
13 Wisconsin64267%74.366.3+8.0
14 Iowa53260%89.476.0+13.4
15 Michigan State53260%74.061.4+12.6
16 Michigan53260%86.674.8+11.8
17 Washington53260%82.675.6+7.0
18 Maryland52340%64.861.6+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State440100%91.245.8+45.5
2 Brigham Young440100%95.556.5+39.0
3 Arizona550100%99.663.0+36.6
4 TCU550100%91.463.2+28.2
5 Houston660100%75.849.8+26.0
6 Cincinnati550100%85.262.4+22.8
7 Baylor550100%89.669.4+20.2
8 Kansas65183%83.065.0+18.0
9 Colorado54180%82.267.0+15.2
10 UCF Knights54180%77.269.0+8.2
11 Texas Tech54180%68.661.4+7.2
12 Kansas State64267%83.273.7+9.5
13 Arizona State32167%63.364.0-0.7
14 Utah Utes53260%81.671.2+10.4
15 Oklahoma State52340%73.666.8+6.8
16 West Virginia52340%62.863.0-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State303868
Arizona403474
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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