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Michigan State vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-64
45-17 43-47
Position#154
Record4-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game64.8
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Baylor
USA
Position#58
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Michigan State v Baylor
16 Dec 2023
MICH88
BAYL64
26 Nov 2021
MICH58
BAYL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#51
L
93-98 OT
93
98
-5
A23/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H07/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H15/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H17/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H19/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-43
44-39
33-37
35-31
37-14
37-37
20-31
45-43
37-25
37-29
44-16
37-33
30-40
38-34
38-11
48-44
23-34
34-36
34-31
36-46
142.5Avg total
74.4Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.364.8137.1+7.644%
Season at home (8)72.663.2135.9+9.450%
Season away (1)70.077.0147.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)74.468.1142.5+6.340%
Last 5 (5)72.465.0137.4+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.969.0134.9-3.122%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.970.5142.4+1.456%
vs Weaker (5)79.055.6134.6+23.4100%
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#83
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H19/03
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H08/11
NCAA
John Brown
#414
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H09/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H12/11
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
99-61
99
61
+38
H15/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A23/11
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
95-91
95
91
+4
A24/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
108-70
108
70
+38
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
91-40
91
40
+51
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-39
47-46
34-43
54-39
47-34
49-36
40-34
37-28
51-33
48-28
44-26
44-46
41-41
54-50
50-25
58-45
40-14
51-26
42-32
36-28
158.9Avg total
89.6Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.167.6158.7+23.6100%
Season at home (7)91.063.6154.6+27.4100%
Season away (2)91.581.5173.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.669.3158.9+20.390%
Last 5 (5)92.066.6158.6+25.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.082.0170.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.375.6152.8+1.756%
vs Weaker (11)84.563.0147.5+21.5100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +9.7+9.72nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +10.6+10.6
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +9.7+9.72nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +10.6+10.6
Michigan StateBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#51
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A23/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
37-14
37
14
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H15/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
44-16
44
16
+28
H19/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
38-11
38
11
+27
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A10/12
NCAA
61.6Avg total
33.4Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.429.061.4+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.626.759.3+5.861%-
Last 30 away (12)32.132.464.5-0.358%-
Last 10 (10)33.428.261.6+5.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.826.460.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.031.760.7-2.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.930.663.4+2.362%-
vs Weaker (5)36.819.256.0+17.680%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#83
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H19/03
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/11
NCAA
John Brown
#414
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H12/11
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H15/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A23/11
NCAA
Florida
#73
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
40-14
40
14
+26
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H06/12
NCAA
73.9Avg total
41.8Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.633.071.6+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.933.172.0+5.870%-
Last 30 away (10)37.932.970.8+5.060%-
Last 10 (10)41.832.173.9+9.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.427.671.0+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.835.171.9+1.756%-
vs Weaker (11)41.928.770.6+13.291%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
1
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
26/11/21Michigan State v Baylor58-75
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23ANebraska70-77
06/12/23HWisconsin57-70
28/11/23HGeorgia Southern86-55
23/11/23HArizona68-74
19/11/23HAlcorn State81-49
17/11/23HButler74-54
15/11/23HDuke65-74
10/11/23HSouthern Indiana74-51
07/11/23HJames Madison76-79 OT
23/03/23AKansas State93-98 OT
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HSeton Hall78-60
02/12/23HNorthwestern St.91-40
29/11/23HNicholls State108-70
24/11/23AFlorida95-91
23/11/23AOregon State88-72
15/11/23HUMKC99-61
12/11/23HGardner Webb77-62
09/11/23HJohn Brown96-70
08/11/23HAuburn88-82
19/03/23HCreighton76-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %44%50%0%
Points / game72.372.670.0
Allowed / game64.863.277.0
Point differential+7.6+9.4-7.0
Avg total137.1135.9147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%12%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.191.091.5
Allowed / game67.663.681.5
Point differential+23.6+27.4+10.0
Avg total158.7154.6173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%86%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue109190%85.669.1+16.5
2 Ohio State108280%80.867.3+13.5
3 Nebraska108280%77.366.8+10.5
4 Illinois97278%80.065.0+15.0
5 Oregon97278%80.269.7+10.6
6 Northwestern97278%75.666.9+8.7
7 Minnesota118373%80.567.0+13.5
8 Wisconsin118373%73.666.0+7.6
9 Rutgers107370%69.160.9+8.2
10 Indiana107370%74.073.3+0.7
11 Washington96367%82.272.7+9.6
12 UCLA85362%69.158.8+10.4
13 Maryland106460%73.464.4+9.0
14 USC95456%78.972.7+6.2
15 Michigan105550%82.176.9+5.2
16 Iowa105550%84.879.7+5.1
17 Penn State115645%76.872.4+4.5
18 Michigan State94544%72.364.8+7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona880100%94.063.9+30.1
2 Houston10100100%76.449.7+26.7
3 Baylor990100%91.167.6+23.6
4 Kansas1110191%79.565.6+13.8
5 Brigham Young109190%89.461.9+27.5
6 Cincinnati98189%86.165.8+20.3
7 TCU87188%88.567.1+21.4
8 Iowa State108280%86.059.2+26.8
9 Colorado108280%85.068.8+16.2
10 Kansas State108280%80.972.5+8.4
11 Texas Tech97278%75.666.8+8.8
12 Utah Utes97278%80.772.0+8.7
13 UCF Knights96367%78.067.7+10.3
14 Arizona State96367%70.169.0+1.1
15 Oklahoma State94544%73.967.2+6.7
16 West Virginia94544%64.265.8-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State454388
Baylor174764
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