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Michigan State vs Davidson Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 01:40
Final 74-73
32-31 42-42
Position#104
Record22-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game68.4
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Davidson
USA
Position#17
Record27-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Davidson winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#234
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A23/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H06/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-24
34-38
22-34
52-45
32-46
28-40
35-33
33-32
28-44
42-43
33-43
36-37
46-26
31-41
43-34
33-38
24-22
45-41
20-27
50-48
142.7Avg total
69.1Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)72.168.4140.5+3.665%
Season at home (20)73.866.7140.4+7.175%
Season away (14)69.771.0140.7-1.350%
Last 10 (10)69.173.6142.7-4.540%
Last 5 (5)72.271.4143.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.370.0136.3-3.757%
vs Similar (19)72.169.8141.8+2.358%
vs Weaker (4)74.566.8141.2+7.8100%
This opponent (Davidson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DavidsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhode Island
#209
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A12/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#348
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H15/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H19/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#348
W
74-50
74
50
+24
A24/02
NCAA
Fordham
#199
W
66-45
66
45
+21
H26/02
NCAA
George Mason
#221
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H03/03
NCAA
Dayton
#63
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A05/03
NCAA
Fordham
#199
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H11/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H12/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-40
30-32
39-28
33-33
41-28
38-30
36-33
38-17
28-23
38-22
32-28
41-34
35-34
41-48
40-24
34-32
44-24
40-45
26-25
36-39
134.4Avg total
72.5Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)75.665.8141.4+9.882%
Season at home (17)76.962.4139.4+14.588%
Season away (16)74.169.4143.5+4.875%
Last 10 (10)72.561.9134.4+10.670%
Last 5 (5)73.866.6140.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)79.769.7149.3+10.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)75.564.8140.3+10.789%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +3.7+3.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +3.7+3.7
Michigan StateDavidson
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#234
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A23/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A02/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H06/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
20-27
20
27
-7
A12/03
NCAA
64.0Avg total
30.7Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.331.765.0+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.131.166.2+3.965%-
Last 30 away (13)31.032.563.5-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)30.733.364.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.463.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.631.362.9+0.343%-
vs Similar (19)33.332.465.7+0.947%-
vs Weaker (4)36.229.265.5+7.0100%-
This opponent (Davidson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DavidsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhode Island
#209
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#348
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H15/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H19/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#348
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A24/02
NCAA
Fordham
#199
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H26/02
NCAA
George Mason
#221
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Dayton
#63
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/03
NCAA
Fordham
#199
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H11/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H13/03
NCAA
64.3Avg total
35.6Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.731.066.7+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.628.564.1+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)35.833.869.6+2.071%-
Last 10 (10)35.628.764.3+6.990%-
Last 5 (5)35.427.062.4+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)40.028.768.7+11.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)35.231.266.4+4.070%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Davidson wins
No previous meetings.
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/22APurdue70-75
11/03/22AWisconsin69-63
10/03/22HMaryland76-72
06/03/22HMaryland77-67
04/03/22AOhio State69-80
02/03/22AMichigan70-87
26/02/22HPurdue68-65
23/02/22AIowa60-86
19/02/22HIllinois74-79
15/02/22APenn State58-62
Davidsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/22HRichmond Spiders62-64
12/03/22HSt. Louis Billikens84-69
11/03/22HFordham74-56
05/03/22ADayton76-82
03/03/22HGeorge Mason73-62
26/02/22HFordham66-45
24/02/22ADuquesne74-50
19/02/22HSt. Louis Billikens79-58
15/02/22HDuquesne72-61
12/02/22ARhode Island65-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL65%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342014
Win %65%75%50%
Points / game72.173.869.7
Allowed / game68.466.771.0
Point differential+3.6+7.1-1.3
Avg total140.5140.4140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)71% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Davidson
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL82%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWLWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %82%88%75%
Points / game75.676.974.1
Allowed / game65.862.469.4
Point differential+9.8+14.5+4.8
Avg total141.4139.4143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%71%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)33% (3)86% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3528780%79.768.4+11.3
2 UCLA3326779%75.864.5+11.3
3 Wisconsin3124777%70.766.5+4.2
4 USC3426876%72.466.0+6.4
5 Iowa36261072%83.271.2+12.0
6 Illinois3223972%75.167.2+7.9
7 Michigan State34221265%72.168.4+3.6
8 Ohio State31201165%73.267.6+5.6
9 Indiana35211460%70.866.2+4.6
10 Oregon33191458%72.469.5+2.9
11 Michigan32181456%73.169.7+3.4
12 Rutgers32181456%68.566.5+2.0
13 Washington32171553%70.672.2-1.6
14 Northwestern31151648%73.069.9+3.0
15 Maryland32151747%70.970.7+0.2
16 Penn State31141745%64.665.0-0.4
17 Minnesota30131743%67.069.2-2.2
18 Nebraska32102231%73.378.5-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Davidson3327682%75.665.8+9.8
2 Loyola Chicago3325876%72.861.5+11.3
3 VCU Rams3021970%66.161.3+4.8
4 Dayton33231070%69.161.2+8.0
5 St. Bonaventure2920969%70.166.3+3.8
6 St. Louis Billikens34231168%76.467.5+8.9
7 Richmond Spiders36241267%71.668.1+3.4
8 Fordham32161650%66.166.8-0.7
9 Rhode Island31151648%67.165.0+2.1
10 George Mason30141647%70.768.5+2.2
11 George Washington30121840%68.472.8-4.5
12 Saint Josephs Hawks30111937%67.669.1-1.5
13 La Salle30111937%67.571.5-4.0
14 Duquesne3062420%65.273.4-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State324274
Davidson314273
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