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Michigan State vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-65
35-33 33-32
Position#104
Record18-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game67.3
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Purdue
USA
Position#23
Record24-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Michigan State v Purdue
30 Jan 2027
MICH v PURD
upcoming
18 Feb 2025
MICH75
PURD66
16 Jan 2023
MICH63
PURD64
26 Feb 2022
MICH68
PURD65
08 Jan 2021
MICH54
PURD55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#38
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A22/01
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H29/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A05/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H09/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H12/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-26
44-48
20-34
35-22
39-35
44-32
35-25
30-38
38-40
25-44
23-29
39-41
37-30
39-31
24-24
34-38
22-34
52-45
32-46
28-40
138.4Avg total
68.2Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.367.3139.6+5.067%
Season at home (17)73.866.4140.2+7.471%
Season away (10)69.868.9138.7+0.960%
Last 10 (10)68.270.2138.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)66.071.6137.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)67.472.8140.2-5.344%
vs Similar (14)72.068.4140.4+3.657%
vs Weaker (7)77.760.6138.3+17.1100%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#208
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H23/01
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A03/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H05/02
NCAA
Illinois
#66
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H09/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A11/02
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H13/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A17/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-28
40-32
48-33
35-40
39-30
42-48
51-36
37-37
39-33
43-43
36-38
48-30
29-38
29-44
26-23
36-38
32-28
38-36
45-36
39-36
147.9Avg total
77.2Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.268.8151.0+13.486%
Season at home (18)84.765.9150.6+18.894%
Season away (10)77.774.1151.8+3.670%
Last 10 (10)77.270.7147.9+6.590%
Last 5 (5)71.669.4141.0+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)83.978.5162.4+5.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)80.866.5147.4+14.382%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +0.3+0.3
Michigan StatePurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#38
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A22/01
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A26/01
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Penn State
#234
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A23/02
NCAA
63.5Avg total
31.2Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.431.165.5+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.431.166.5+4.463%-
Last 30 away (11)32.631.363.9+1.445%-
Last 10 (10)31.232.363.5-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)27.632.660.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.632.365.9+1.244%-
vs Similar (14)32.831.964.7+0.943%-
vs Weaker (7)38.728.066.7+10.7100%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#208
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H23/01
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A03/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H05/02
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H09/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A11/02
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H13/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A17/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H20/02
NCAA
70.8Avg total
38.5Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.231.270.4+8.070%-
Last 30 at home (20)40.630.471.0+10.375%-
Last 30 away (10)36.333.069.3+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)38.532.370.8+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)33.632.666.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.634.171.8+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.830.270.0+9.677%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
3
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
17/02/21Purdue v Michigan State75-65
09/01/21Michigan State v Purdue54-55
12/01/20Purdue v Michigan State71-42
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/22AIowa60-86
19/02/22HIllinois74-79
15/02/22APenn State58-62
12/02/22HIndiana76-61
09/02/22HWisconsin62-70
05/02/22ARutgers63-84
02/02/22AMaryland65-63
29/01/22HMichigan83-67
26/01/22AIllinois55-56
22/01/22AWisconsin86-74
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/22HRutgers84-72
17/02/22ANorthwestern70-64
13/02/22HMaryland62-61
11/02/22AMichigan58-82
09/02/22HIllinois84-68
05/02/22HMichigan82-76
03/02/22AMinnesota88-73
30/01/22HOhio State81-78
28/01/22AIowa83-73
23/01/22HNorthwestern80-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL67%
HomeLWLWL71%
AwayLWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %67%71%60%
Points / game72.373.869.8
Allowed / game67.366.468.9
Point differential+5.0+7.4+0.9
Avg total139.6140.2138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Purdue
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %86%94%70%
Points / game82.284.777.7
Allowed / game68.865.974.1
Point differential+13.4+18.8+3.6
Avg total151.0150.6151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2824486%82.268.8+13.4
2 USC2824486%73.664.6+9.0
3 Wisconsin2722581%71.166.4+4.7
4 UCLA2620677%76.164.5+11.6
5 Ohio State2518772%74.767.4+7.2
6 Iowa2820871%83.871.3+12.5
7 Illinois2719870%76.367.4+8.9
8 Michigan State2718967%72.367.3+5.0
9 Oregon28181064%72.367.8+4.5
10 Indiana27171063%71.464.8+6.6
11 Rutgers27161159%68.365.5+2.8
12 Michigan26151158%72.268.4+3.8
13 Minnesota26131350%67.168.2-1.1
14 Washington26131350%69.972.9-3.0
15 Northwestern27131448%73.368.3+5.0
16 Penn State25121348%65.164.6+0.5
17 Maryland28131546%70.470.6-0.2
18 Nebraska2872125%72.579.6-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State353368
Purdue333265
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