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Penn State vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 62-58
24-24 38-34
Position#234
Record9-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game65.9
vs
Position#104
Record18-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game66.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Penn State v Michigan State
13 Dec 2025
PENN72
MICH76
14 Feb 2024
PENN72
MICH80
07 Dec 2022
PENN58
MICH67
15 Feb 2022
PENN62
MICH58
03 Mar 2020
PENN71
MICH79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#208
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A27/01
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H09/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-34
45-36
30-35
37-39
27-19
39-30
22-27
34-34
25-30
26-38
17-46
40-28
32-34
34-32
13-18
36-33
34-34
23-24
36-36
34-40
130.4Avg total
63.7Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)65.365.9131.2-0.643%
Season at home (11)70.164.5134.6+5.564%
Season away (10)60.067.4127.4-7.420%
Last 10 (10)63.766.7130.4-3.030%
Last 5 (5)64.669.0133.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.270.5136.7-4.327%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.866.6135.4+2.257%
vs Weaker (1)60.045.0105.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#314
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H06/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H15/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A22/01
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H29/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A05/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H09/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
41-33
34-31
37-38
33-38
29-26
42-26
44-48
20-34
35-22
39-35
44-32
35-25
30-38
38-40
25-44
23-29
39-41
37-30
39-31
137.7Avg total
70.2Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.366.3139.6+7.075%
Season at home (16)73.865.6139.4+8.175%
Season away (8)72.567.6140.1+4.975%
Last 10 (10)70.267.5137.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)69.869.0138.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.271.1136.3-5.940%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.367.2139.5+5.169%
vs Weaker (7)77.760.6138.3+17.1100%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +1.0+1.0
Penn StateMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#208
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
27-19
27
19
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
17-46
17
46
-29
A27/01
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
13-18
13
18
-5
A05/02
NCAA
Michigan
#159
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H09/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A13/02
NCAA
57.8Avg total
26.5Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.732.863.5-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.832.865.5+0.044%-
Last 30 away (14)28.332.961.2-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)26.531.357.8-4.810%-
Last 5 (5)26.433.660.0-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.334.263.5-4.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.332.564.8-0.236%-
vs Weaker (1)29.017.046.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#314
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H13/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H15/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A22/01
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A26/01
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/02
NCAA
66.1Avg total
33.9Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.431.065.4+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.630.666.3+5.063%-
Last 30 away (11)32.431.664.0+0.745%-
Last 10 (10)33.932.266.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.431.866.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.331.964.2+0.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.831.965.7+1.846%-
vs Weaker (7)38.728.066.7+10.7100%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penn State wins
3
Michigan State wins
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/22AMinnesota70-76
09/02/22HMichigan57-58
05/02/22AWisconsin49-51
01/02/22HIowa90-86 OT
27/01/22AIndiana57-74
22/01/22AIowa51-68
16/01/22AOhio State56-61
11/01/22HRutgers66-49
08/01/22HPurdue67-74
06/01/22ANorthwestern74-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/22HIndiana76-61
09/02/22HWisconsin62-70
05/02/22ARutgers63-84
02/02/22AMaryland65-63
29/01/22HMichigan83-67
26/01/22AIllinois55-56
22/01/22AWisconsin86-74
15/01/22HNorthwestern62-64
13/01/22HMinnesota71-69
06/01/22HNebraska79-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%64%20%
Points / game65.370.160.0
Allowed / game65.964.567.4
Point differential-0.6+5.5-7.4
Avg total131.2134.6127.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %10%9%10%
Michigan State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayWWLWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game73.373.872.5
Allowed / game66.365.667.6
Point differential+7.0+8.1+4.9
Avg total139.6139.4140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2622485%82.668.9+13.7
2 USC2521484%73.163.6+9.5
3 Wisconsin2419579%70.966.4+4.5
4 UCLA2217577%77.166.0+11.2
5 Illinois2418675%76.666.2+10.3
6 Michigan State2418675%73.366.3+7.0
7 Ohio State2115671%74.767.3+7.4
8 Iowa2417771%84.071.3+12.7
9 Oregon2517868%72.766.8+5.9
10 Indiana2416867%71.563.8+7.7
11 Rutgers2415962%68.464.8+3.6
12 Michigan23131057%72.167.8+4.3
13 Washington23131057%70.872.3-1.5
14 Minnesota22121055%68.668.5+0.1
15 Northwestern23121152%74.768.0+6.7
16 Maryland25111444%70.070.7-0.7
17 Penn State2191243%65.365.9-0.6
18 Nebraska2571828%72.679.0-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State243862
Michigan State243458
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