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Michigan State vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-75
44-34 43-41
Position#154
Record7-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game63.7
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Indiana State
USA
Position#13
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#32
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H15/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H17/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H19/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H19/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
W
99-55
99
55
+44
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
20-31
45-43
37-25
37-29
44-16
37-33
30-40
38-34
38-11
48-44
23-34
34-36
34-31
36-46
45-17
43-47
30-22
49-40
48-12
51-43
140.1Avg total
76.7Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.463.7140.1+12.858%
Season at home (11)77.062.5139.5+14.564%
Season away (1)70.077.0147.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)76.763.4140.1+13.360%
Last 5 (5)78.665.6144.2+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)65.969.0134.9-3.122%
vs Similar (16)74.471.0145.4+3.456%
vs Weaker (5)84.055.4139.4+28.6100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IUPUI
#360
W
96-57
96
57
+39
H15/11
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
103-88
103
88
+15
A21/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A23/11
NCAA
Toledo
#107
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
77-48
77
48
+29
H29/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
90-67
90
67
+23
A06/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
98-54
98
54
+44
H09/12
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H16/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-21
48-36
55-34
48-54
46-31
44-51
40-40
36-34
38-20
39-28
49-30
36-47
40-39
50-28
52-25
46-29
40-29
43-43
42-38
48-31
157.6Avg total
88.8Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.270.8159.0+17.392%
Season at home (6)89.060.0149.0+29.0100%
Season away (6)87.381.7169.0+5.783%
Last 10 (10)88.868.8157.6+20.0100%
Last 5 (5)89.267.8157.0+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)74.682.0156.6-7.40%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.968.2153.2+16.783%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +11.0+11.01st half: +14.3+14.32nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +5.7+5.7
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +11.0+11.01st half: +14.3+14.32nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +5.7+5.7
Michigan StateIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#32
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H15/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
44-16
44
16
+28
H19/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
38-11
38
11
+27
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
45-17
45
17
+28
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
W
48-12
48
12
+36
H21/12
NCAA
58.8Avg total
34.9Scored
23.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.228.561.7+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.826.260.0+7.763%-
Last 30 away (11)32.032.564.5-0.555%-
Last 10 (10)34.923.958.8+11.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.023.259.2+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)29.031.760.7-2.744%-
vs Similar (16)33.829.963.8+3.962%-
vs Weaker (5)38.618.256.8+20.480%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IUPUI
#360
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H15/11
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A21/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A23/11
NCAA
Toledo
#107
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A24/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H29/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H09/12
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H16/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H20/12
NCAA
75.7Avg total
45.0Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.333.574.8+7.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.830.371.1+10.586%-
Last 30 away (16)41.836.478.1+5.462%-
Last 10 (10)45.030.775.7+14.390%-
Last 5 (5)44.632.276.8+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)36.640.877.4-4.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.532.074.5+10.579%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Indiana State wins
No previous meetings.
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23HStony Brook99-55
19/12/23HOakland79-62
16/12/23HBaylor88-64
10/12/23ANebraska70-77
06/12/23HWisconsin57-70
28/11/23HGeorgia Southern86-55
23/11/23HArizona68-74
19/11/23HAlcorn State81-49
17/11/23HButler74-54
15/11/23HDuke65-74
Indiana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HTennessee State90-69
16/12/23HBall State83-72
09/12/23HSouthern Indiana98-54
06/12/23ANorthern Illinois90-67
02/12/23ABradley85-77
29/11/23HSouthern Illinois77-48
24/11/23AToledo76-74
23/11/23APepperdine90-82
21/11/23ARice103-88
15/11/23HIUPUI96-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12111
Win %58%64%0%
Points / game76.477.070.0
Allowed / game63.762.577.0
Point differential+12.8+14.5-7.0
Avg total140.1139.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%64%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%9%0%
Indiana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game88.289.087.3
Allowed / game70.860.081.7
Point differential+17.3+29.0+5.7
Avg total159.0149.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1312192%86.868.1+18.7
2 Nebraska1311285%77.665.5+12.2
3 Illinois1210283%82.965.5+17.4
4 Ohio State1210283%79.464.1+15.3
5 Northwestern1210283%72.963.1+9.8
6 Minnesota1310377%80.566.3+14.2
7 Indiana1310377%76.373.4+2.9
8 Wisconsin129375%74.264.9+9.2
9 Oregon129375%79.271.2+8.1
10 Maryland139469%73.263.4+9.8
11 Washington128467%81.874.3+7.5
12 Rutgers128467%67.561.4+6.1
13 Iowa138562%87.877.4+10.5
14 Michigan State127558%76.463.7+12.8
15 Penn State137654%77.570.3+7.2
16 UCLA126650%67.862.0+5.8
17 USC126650%78.273.8+4.3
18 Michigan136746%83.279.1+4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1211192%88.270.8+17.3
2 Drake1311285%78.766.9+11.8
3 Evansville1310377%80.670.9+9.7
4 Belmont139469%81.179.2+1.9
5 Southern Illinois128467%76.664.6+12.0
6 Bradley138562%71.868.7+3.2
7 Illinois State138562%68.667.8+0.8
8 Illinois (Chi.)127558%72.862.9+9.8
9 Northern Iowa136746%77.873.8+4.0
10 Valparaiso134931%67.671.1-3.5
11 Murray State123925%71.273.8-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State444387
Indiana State344175
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