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Indiana State vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 83-72
40-29 43-43
Position#13
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game70.9
Indiana State 🏆
USA
vs
Ball State
USA
Position#226
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Indiana State v Ball State
22 Nov 2025
INDI70
BALL52
16 Dec 2023
INDI83
BALL72
12 Nov 2022
INDI83
BALL71
19 Dec 2020
INDI67
BALL57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMWC Pomeroys
#636
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H07/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A11/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
96-57
96
57
+39
H15/11
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
103-88
103
88
+15
A21/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A23/11
NCAA
Toledo
#107
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
77-48
77
48
+29
H29/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
90-67
90
67
+23
A06/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
98-54
98
54
+44
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-29
46-31
37-48
43-54
48-21
48-36
55-34
48-54
46-31
44-51
40-40
36-34
38-20
39-28
49-30
36-47
40-39
50-28
52-25
46-29
159.4Avg total
88.5Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.570.9159.4+17.690%
Season at home (4)90.254.8145.0+35.5100%
Season away (6)87.381.7169.0+5.783%
Last 10 (10)88.570.9159.4+17.690%
Last 5 (5)85.264.0149.2+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)74.682.0156.6-7.40%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)83.667.8151.3+15.879%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goshen
#671
W
101-40
101
40
+61
H08/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
92-51
92
51
+41
H15/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
50-74
50
74
-24
A18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H24/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A29/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-14
53-26
38-36
35-32
41-20
51-31
27-30
23-44
32-25
43-33
40-46
52-28
32-52
32-38
40-28
27-30
27-35
41-30
42-38
41-33
141.4Avg total
76.5Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.564.9141.4+11.680%
Season at home (7)83.360.0143.3+23.3100%
Season away (3)60.776.3137.0-15.733%
Last 10 (10)76.564.9141.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)74.871.6146.4+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.579.3157.8-0.850%
vs Similar (5)72.677.6150.2-5.040%
vs Weaker (19)76.467.6144.0+8.879%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.2+13.21st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +7.3+7.3
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.2+13.21st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +7.3+7.3
Indiana StateBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMWC Pomeroys
#636
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A11/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H15/11
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A21/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A23/11
NCAA
Toledo
#107
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A24/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H29/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H09/12
NCAA
76.6Avg total
44.9Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.233.174.3+8.173%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.529.469.9+11.186%-
Last 30 away (16)41.836.478.1+5.462%-
Last 10 (10)44.931.776.6+13.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.830.874.6+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)36.640.877.4-4.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.431.573.8+10.979%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goshen
#671
W
48-14
48
14
+34
H08/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H15/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H24/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A29/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A07/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
36.7Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.333.970.2+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.433.570.9+3.961%-
Last 30 away (12)34.734.569.2+0.258%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.469.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.876.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.337.071.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (5)36.440.076.4-3.660%-
vs Weaker (19)36.931.368.2+5.668%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Indiana State wins
1
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
12/11/22Indiana State v Ball State83-71
27/11/21Ball State v Indiana State97-75
19/12/20Indiana State v Ball State67-57
Indiana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HSouthern Indiana98-54
06/12/23ANorthern Illinois90-67
02/12/23ABradley85-77
29/11/23HSouthern Illinois77-48
24/11/23AToledo76-74
23/11/23APepperdine90-82
21/11/23ARice103-88
15/11/23HIUPUI96-57
11/11/23AAlabama80-102
07/11/23HSMWC Pomeroys90-60
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HSiu Edwardsville83-71
07/12/23ADetroit68-65
02/12/23HBellarmine67-58
29/11/23AUALR64-90
24/11/23HArkansas-Pine Bluff92-74
22/11/23HUSC Upstate75-58
18/11/23AEvansville50-74
15/11/23HOakland City92-51
11/11/23HOld Dominion73-68
08/11/23HGoshen101-40

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %90%100%83%
Points / game88.590.287.3
Allowed / game70.954.881.7
Point differential+17.6+35.5+5.7
Avg total159.4145.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %80%100%33%
Points / game76.583.360.7
Allowed / game64.960.076.3
Point differential+11.6+23.3-15.7
Avg total141.4143.3137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1110191%77.566.9+10.6
2 Indiana State109190%88.570.9+17.6
3 Evansville97278%82.271.4+10.8
4 Belmont118373%80.678.2+2.5
5 Southern Illinois96367%77.165.9+11.2
6 Illinois (Chi.)106460%71.862.0+9.8
7 Bradley106460%72.371.3+1.0
8 Illinois State106460%66.265.6+0.6
9 Valparaiso104640%67.870.0-2.2
10 Northern Iowa114736%75.974.0+1.9
11 Murray State93633%74.372.4+1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State108280%76.564.9+11.6
2 UMass75271%83.772.0+11.7
3 Kent State107370%84.372.5+11.8
4 Akron96367%75.466.7+8.8
5 Bowling Green96367%72.865.4+7.3
6 Toledo106460%80.678.1+2.5
7 Ohio95456%78.774.8+3.9
8 Northern Illinois95456%81.179.3+1.8
9 Eastern Michigan95456%66.973.4-6.6
10 Miami (Ohio)84450%70.469.6+0.8
11 Central Michigan93633%65.079.0-14.0
12 Western Michigan92722%65.072.1-7.1
13 Buffalo101910%67.881.9-14.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State404383
Ball State294372
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