PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toledo vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-76
40-40 34-36
Position#107
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game76.8
Toledo
USA
vs
Indiana State 🏆
USA
Position#13
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#103
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A03/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H09/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H10/03
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#9
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A14/03
NIT
Detroit
#370
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A15/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-35
0-0
47-46
0-0
48-33
0-0
43-42
0-0
37-31
0-0
45-44
0-0
34-35
0-0
44-58
0-0
42-40
0-0
38-50
0-0
51-35
0-0
43-25
0-0
34-45
0-0
53-33
0-0
41-40
0-0
37-37
0-0
32-42
0-0
52-50
0-0
32-39
0-0
39-38
163.0Avg total
83.2Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.876.8159.6+6.060%
Season at home (3)88.376.7165.0+11.767%
Season away (2)74.577.0151.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)83.279.8163.0+3.460%
Last 5 (5)82.876.8159.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)77.584.5162.0-7.00%
vs Similar (10)81.578.2159.7+3.370%
vs Weaker (16)88.673.3161.9+15.294%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
97-58
97
58
+39
H02/03
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A03/03
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A04/03
NCAA
USC Upstate
#11
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H18/03
CBI
Eastern Kentucky
#2
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
A20/03
CBI
SMWC Pomeroys
#636
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H07/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A11/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
96-57
96
57
+39
H15/11
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
103-88
103
88
+15
A21/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A23/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
46-28
0-0
51-30
0-0
49-44
0-0
45-47
0-0
34-35
0-0
36-36
0-0
35-34
0-0
32-28
0-0
47-43
0-0
33-37
0-0
44-29
0-0
46-31
0-0
37-48
0-0
43-54
0-0
48-21
0-0
48-36
0-0
55-34
0-0
48-54
0-0
46-31
0-0
44-51
163.5Avg total
87.5Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.877.8169.6+14.080%
Season at home (2)93.058.5151.5+34.5100%
Season away (3)91.090.7181.7+0.367%
Last 10 (10)87.576.0163.5+11.570%
Last 5 (5)91.877.8169.6+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)74.682.0156.6-7.40%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)81.668.5150.1+13.071%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +2.2+2.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +2.2+2.2
ToledoIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#103
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A03/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H09/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/03
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/03
NIT
Detroit
#370
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/11
NCAA
76.6Avg total
39.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.133.774.8+7.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.633.075.6+9.675%-
Last 30 away (14)39.434.573.9+4.979%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.576.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.278.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.040.572.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (10)39.333.973.2+5.470%-
vs Weaker (16)42.832.275.1+10.688%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H02/03
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A03/03
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A04/03
NCAA
USC Upstate
#11
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H18/03
CBI
Eastern Kentucky
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A20/03
CBI
SMWC Pomeroys
#636
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A11/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H15/11
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A21/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A23/11
NCAA
78.8Avg total
44.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.132.973.0+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.930.269.1+8.779%-
Last 30 away (16)41.135.276.3+5.962%-
Last 10 (10)44.134.778.8+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)46.032.678.6+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)36.640.877.4-4.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.031.272.2+9.975%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
0
Indiana State wins
No previous meetings.
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23AUC Irvine71-77
22/11/23HNew Mexico84-92
15/11/23AWright State78-77
12/11/23HLouisiana Lafayette87-78
07/11/23HDetroit94-60
14/03/23AMichigan80-90
12/03/23HKent State78-93
10/03/23HOhio82-75
09/03/23HMiami (FL)91-75
03/03/23ABall State87-81
Indiana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23APepperdine90-82
21/11/23ARice103-88
15/11/23HIUPUI96-57
11/11/23AAlabama80-102
07/11/23HSMWC Pomeroys90-60
20/03/23AEastern Kentucky88-89 OT
18/03/23HUSC Upstate67-62
04/03/23ABradley70-71
03/03/23ABelmont94-91
02/03/23HEvansville97-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game82.888.374.5
Allowed / game76.876.777.0
Point differential+6.0+11.7-2.5
Avg total159.6165.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game91.893.091.0
Allowed / game77.858.590.7
Point differential+14.0+34.5+0.3
Avg total169.6151.5181.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State54180%78.258.2+20.0
2 Northern Illinois54180%87.276.4+10.8
3 UMass43175%89.572.5+17.0
4 Kent State64267%82.871.7+11.2
5 Ohio32167%79.068.0+11.0
6 Akron64267%77.566.7+10.8
7 Miami (Ohio)32167%72.362.3+10.0
8 Toledo53260%82.876.8+6.0
9 Eastern Michigan53260%65.477.6-12.2
10 Bowling Green42250%70.070.5-0.5
11 Central Michigan62433%64.874.5-9.7
12 Buffalo61517%70.584.0-13.5
13 Western Michigan4040%65.273.2-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville440100%84.554.2+30.2
2 Bradley550100%74.867.2+7.6
3 Southern Illinois54180%81.463.2+18.2
4 Indiana State54180%91.877.8+14.0
5 Drake54180%80.873.0+7.8
6 Illinois (Chi.)43175%78.863.8+15.0
7 Valparaiso53260%71.467.8+3.6
8 Illinois State63350%66.266.2+0.0
9 Belmont42250%81.586.2-4.8
10 Murray State52340%77.673.2+4.4
11 Northern Iowa51420%74.274.0+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo403474
Indiana State403676
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.