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Michigan State vs Nebraska Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-56
39-17 35-39
Position#108
Record9-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game66.5
vs
Position#213
Record8-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Michigan State v Nebraska
07 Dec 2024
MICH89
NEBR52
03 Jan 2023
MICH74
NEBR56
05 Jan 2022
MICH79
NEBR67
06 Feb 2021
MICH66
NEBR56
03 Feb 2021
MICH v NEBR
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nebraska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#196
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H26/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A01/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H05/12
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Brown
#188
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H10/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-24
39-47
37-42
33-39
33-30
41-40
34-42
44-35
24-42
28-28
37-38
26-32
35-35
32-23
32-18
36-32
29-24
38-30
41-30
48-38
137.0Avg total
70.1Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.066.5137.5+4.569%
Season at home (10)74.167.3141.4+6.880%
Season away (3)60.764.0124.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)70.166.9137.0+3.270%
Last 5 (5)70.860.0130.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.775.6144.3-6.929%
vs Similar (21)72.069.1141.1+3.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)59.562.0121.5-2.550%
This opponent (Nebraska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#229
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H24/11
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A25/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H28/11
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H01/12
NCAA
Creighton
#83
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A04/12
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A08/12
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
62-65 OT
62
65
-3
H10/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A18/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-41
22-28
30-33
31-40
33-26
42-32
37-34
51-33
25-23
38-30
26-39
39-42
24-34
32-22
26-39
30-32
43-26
32-39
38-26
28-24
131.9Avg total
66.7Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.164.8132.9+3.357%
Season at home (9)73.162.1135.2+11.078%
Season away (5)59.069.6128.6-10.620%
Last 10 (10)66.765.2131.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)64.866.4131.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)69.575.2144.7-5.727%
vs Similar (6)72.265.8138.0+6.367%
vs Weaker (2)75.059.5134.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +2.3+2.3
Michigan StateNebraska
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#196
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H26/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/12
NCAA
Penn State
#105
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A07/12
NCAA
Brown
#188
W
32-18
32
18
+14
H10/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H21/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H30/12
NCAA
66.1Avg total
33.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.465.4+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.730.865.4+3.972%-
Last 30 away (12)30.534.865.3-4.325%-
Last 10 (10)33.632.566.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.829.063.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.735.668.3-2.943%-
vs Similar (21)33.731.365.0+2.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)26.533.059.5-6.550%-
This opponent (Nebraska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#229
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H24/11
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A25/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H01/12
NCAA
Creighton
#83
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A04/12
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A08/12
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H10/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A18/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H30/12
NCAA
63.7Avg total
31.6Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.569.0-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.033.968.9+1.153%-
Last 30 away (13)33.735.469.1-1.754%-
Last 10 (10)31.632.163.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.864.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.236.270.4-2.045%-
vs Similar (6)34.330.564.8+3.867%-
vs Weaker (2)37.028.565.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Michigan State wins
0
Nebraska wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22HBuffalo89-68
21/12/22HOakland67-54
10/12/22HBrown68-50
07/12/22APenn State67-58
05/12/22HNorthwestern63-70
01/12/22ANotre Dame52-70
27/11/22HPortland78-77
26/11/22HOregon74-70
25/11/22HAlabama70-81
19/11/22HVillanova73-71
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22HIowa66-50
21/12/22HQueens Royals75-65
18/12/22AKansas State56-71
10/12/22HPurdue62-65 OT
08/12/22AIndiana65-81
04/12/22ACreighton63-53
01/12/22HBoston College88-67
28/11/22HFlorida State75-58
25/11/22AMemphis61-73
24/11/22HOklahoma56-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %69%80%33%
Points / game71.074.160.7
Allowed / game66.567.364.0
Point differential+4.5+6.8-3.3
Avg total137.5141.4124.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%10%0%
Nebraska
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %57%78%20%
Points / game68.173.159.0
Allowed / game64.862.169.6
Point differential+3.3+11.0-10.6
Avg total132.9135.2128.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%78%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1413193%76.360.9+15.4
2 UCLA1513287%79.061.0+18.0
3 Wisconsin1210283%68.961.2+7.7
4 Penn State1411379%76.066.0+10.0
5 Ohio State1310377%81.064.5+16.5
6 Indiana1310377%80.165.3+14.8
7 Northwestern1310377%67.357.0+10.3
8 USC1511473%72.366.7+5.7
9 Rutgers1410471%72.555.2+17.3
10 Maryland1410471%72.863.2+9.6
11 Illinois139469%78.163.7+14.4
12 Michigan State139469%71.066.5+4.5
13 Michigan138562%76.369.4+6.9
14 Washington159660%68.867.5+1.3
15 Iowa148657%81.171.4+9.7
16 Oregon148657%70.165.1+5.1
17 Nebraska148657%68.164.8+3.3
18 Minnesota126650%63.466.8-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State393574
Nebraska173956
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