PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Michigan State vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 79-50
33-22 46-28
Position#49
Record12-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game64.3
vs
Position#323
Record5-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game67.7
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Michigan State v Northwestern
08 Jan 2026
MICH76
NORT66
06 Mar 2024
MICH53
NORT49
04 Dec 2022
MICH63
NORT70
15 Jan 2022
MICH62
NORT64
29 Jan 2020
MICH79
NORT50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#323
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A19/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#246
W
101-48
101
48
+53
H22/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#292
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois
#79
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H03/01
NCAA
Michigan
#131
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H05/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H10/01
NCAA
Purdue
#181
L
42-71
42
71
-29
A12/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#71
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H18/01
NCAA
Indiana
#149
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
40-45
41-20
60-28
48-24
47-38
36-30
40-26
44-34
43-35
36-32
38-26
20-37
22-34
35-20
32-35
30-37
33-30
30-22
40-30
136.2Avg total
75.2Scored
61.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.664.3139.9+11.375%
Season at home (10)81.165.6146.7+15.580%
Season away (6)66.562.2128.7+4.367%
Last 10 (10)75.261.0136.2+14.280%
Last 5 (5)63.260.6123.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)78.869.2148.0+9.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)74.662.7137.2+11.975%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#49
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H19/12
NCAA
DePaul
#259
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A22/12
NCAA
Hartford
#189
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H29/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A06/01
NCAA
Indiana
#149
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Iowa
#90
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H15/01
NCAA
Illinois
#79
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Maryland
#37
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H22/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#94
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
45-40
38-34
40-49
31-37
35-30
25-34
43-43
34-31
28-35
42-27
20-30
35-41
27-34
34-38
37-37
40-26
26-51
35-38
24-33
139.1Avg total
66.6Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)66.967.7134.6-0.831%
Season at home (10)66.666.0132.6+0.640%
Season away (6)67.570.5138.0-3.017%
Last 10 (10)66.672.5139.1-5.910%
Last 5 (5)64.071.0135.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)64.069.3133.3-5.315%
vs Similar (4)73.564.5138.0+9.075%
vs Weaker (2)75.568.0143.5+7.550%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -5.7-5.7
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -5.7-5.7
Michigan StateNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#323
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A19/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#246
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#292
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois
#79
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Michigan
#131
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H05/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/01
NCAA
Purdue
#181
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A12/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#71
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H18/01
NCAA
Indiana
#149
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A26/01
NCAA
64.0Avg total
35.7Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)34.928.863.8+6.175%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.229.667.8+8.680%-
Last 30 away (6)29.527.557.0+2.067%-
Last 10 (10)35.728.364.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)30.229.659.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)35.534.269.8+1.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)34.827.061.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#49
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H19/12
NCAA
DePaul
#259
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A22/12
NCAA
Hartford
#189
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H29/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A06/01
NCAA
Indiana
#149
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A09/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H11/01
NCAA
Iowa
#90
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/01
NCAA
Illinois
#79
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Maryland
#37
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#94
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/01
NCAA
68.4Avg total
34.1Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)33.631.264.8+2.352%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.030.265.2+4.858%-
Last 30 away (9)31.732.764.3-1.044%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.368.4-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.071.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.431.863.2-0.531%-
vs Similar (4)37.028.265.2+8.8100%-
vs Weaker (2)34.534.569.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Michigan State wins
0
Northwestern wins
DateGameScore
19/12/19Northwestern v Michigan State72-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/20AMinnesota70-52
24/01/20AIndiana63-67
18/01/20HWisconsin67-55
12/01/20APurdue42-71
10/01/20HMinnesota74-58
05/01/20HMichigan87-69
03/01/20HIllinois76-56
30/12/19HWestern Michigan95-62
22/12/19HEastern Michigan101-48
19/12/19ANorthwestern77-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/20HOhio State59-71
22/01/20HMaryland66-77
18/01/20AIllinois71-75
15/01/20HIowa62-75
11/01/20HNebraska62-57
09/01/20AIndiana62-66
06/01/20AMinnesota68-77
29/12/19HHartford66-67
22/12/19ADePaul78-83
19/12/19HMichigan State72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game75.681.166.5
Allowed / game64.365.662.2
Point differential+11.3+15.5+4.3
Avg total139.9146.7128.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%70%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL31%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %31%40%17%
Points / game66.966.667.5
Allowed / game67.766.070.5
Point differential-0.8+0.6-3.0
Avg total134.6132.6138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa1713476%78.868.8+9.9
2 Oregon1713476%76.768.4+8.3
3 Michigan State1612475%75.664.3+11.3
4 Rutgers1612475%71.260.8+10.4
5 Maryland1612475%69.662.8+6.9
6 Illinois1511473%75.163.3+11.9
7 USC1511473%71.567.9+3.6
8 Indiana1510567%69.467.5+1.9
9 Minnesota1610662%71.966.9+5.0
10 Penn State1610662%73.670.6+3.0
11 Ohio State169756%72.463.4+9.0
12 Washington179853%71.464.3+7.1
13 Michigan179853%76.870.6+6.2
14 Purdue179853%66.160.5+5.6
15 Wisconsin179853%64.961.7+3.2
16 UCLA1661038%68.570.4-1.9
17 Nebraska1961332%71.275.3-4.2
18 Northwestern1651131%66.967.7-0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State334679
Northwestern222850
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.