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Michigan State vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 62-64
33-38 29-26
Position#104
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#208
Record8-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Michigan State v Northwestern
08 Jan 2026
MICH76
NORT66
06 Mar 2024
MICH53
NORT49
04 Dec 2022
MICH63
NORT70
15 Jan 2022
MICH62
NORT64
29 Jan 2020
MICH79
NORT50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#16
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H26/11
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Toledo
#21
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A09/12
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H11/12
NCAA
Oakland
#113
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A22/12
NCAA
High Point
#243
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A02/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H06/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-38
22-37
36-28
37-36
43-23
38-45
37-24
38-43
42-29
38-35
44-35
46-43
34-35
47-33
26-33
47-34
38-34
41-33
34-31
37-38
144.8Avg total
76.1Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.565.8141.2+9.888%
Season at home (12)74.865.7140.4+9.183%
Season away (4)77.866.0143.8+11.8100%
Last 10 (10)76.168.7144.8+7.490%
Last 5 (5)78.869.8148.6+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.073.1140.1-6.140%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.065.0139.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (7)77.760.6138.3+17.1100%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#13
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H23/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
A01/12
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A05/12
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H12/12
NCAA
Ill.-Springfield
#536
W
90-50
90
50
+40
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H02/01
NCAA
Penn State
#234
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H06/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A09/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
L
87-94 OT
87
94
-7
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-36
45-41
43-23
35-39
32-37
32-27
30-27
37-34
35-23
35-29
47-29
43-21
33-26
34-47
34-29
36-45
39-51
48-44
30-30
42-42
147.6Avg total
76.1Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.667.4146.1+11.257%
Season at home (11)79.564.6144.1+14.864%
Season away (3)75.777.7153.3-2.033%
Last 10 (10)76.171.5147.6+4.640%
Last 5 (5)80.277.2157.4+3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.278.2142.4-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.770.3141.0+0.533%
vs Weaker (5)77.858.8136.6+19.0100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
Michigan StateNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#16
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Toledo
#21
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H04/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A09/12
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H11/12
NCAA
Oakland
#113
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A22/12
NCAA
High Point
#243
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A02/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H13/01
NCAA
68.0Avg total
37.0Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.131.265.4+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.430.365.7+5.165%-
Last 30 away (10)31.733.164.8-1.430%-
Last 10 (10)37.031.068.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.668.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.633.866.4-1.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.029.262.2+3.850%-
vs Weaker (7)38.728.066.7+10.7100%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#13
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H23/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A01/12
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A05/12
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H12/12
NCAA
Ill.-Springfield
#536
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H02/01
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H06/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H13/01
NCAA
66.1Avg total
35.0Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.732.865.5-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.729.663.4+4.163%-
Last 30 away (11)30.938.269.1-7.39%-
Last 10 (10)35.031.166.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.069.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.238.670.8-6.311%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)29.832.161.9-2.340%-
vs Weaker (5)39.425.064.4+14.4100%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Michigan State wins
1
Northwestern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/22HMinnesota71-69
06/01/22HNebraska79-67
02/01/22ANorthwestern73-67
29/12/21HHigh Point81-68
22/12/21AOakland90-78
11/12/21HPenn State80-64
09/12/21AMinnesota75-67
04/12/21HToledo81-68
02/12/21HLouisville73-64
26/11/21HBaylor58-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/22HMaryland87-94 OT
09/01/22AOhio State87-95
06/01/22HPenn State70-74
02/01/22HMichigan State67-73
21/12/21HIll.-Springfield90-50
12/12/21HNJIT70-52
05/12/21AMaryland67-61
01/12/21AWake Forest73-77 OT
23/11/21HGeorgia78-62
23/11/21HProvidence72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %88%83%100%
Points / game75.574.877.8
Allowed / game65.865.766.0
Point differential+9.8+9.1+11.8
Avg total141.2140.4143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL57%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14113
Win %57%64%33%
Points / game78.679.575.7
Allowed / game67.464.677.7
Point differential+11.2+14.8-2.0
Avg total146.1144.1153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%9%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USC1514193%75.962.5+13.4
2 Purdue1614288%85.666.5+19.1
3 Michigan State1614288%75.565.8+9.8
4 Wisconsin1614288%72.165.1+6.9
5 UCLA1210283%80.667.0+13.6
6 Illinois1613381%79.764.2+15.4
7 Iowa1612475%86.571.8+14.8
8 Indiana1612475%74.962.2+12.7
9 Ohio State1410471%75.670.4+5.1
10 Minnesota1410471%69.665.3+4.3
11 Oregon1610662%72.467.7+4.8
12 Rutgers159660%68.965.5+3.5
13 Northwestern148657%78.667.4+11.2
14 Penn State148657%67.265.0+2.2
15 Maryland169756%71.668.9+2.7
16 Michigan147750%71.466.9+4.4
17 Washington147750%69.972.0-2.1
18 Nebraska1861233%73.479.2-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State332962
Northwestern382664
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