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Michigan State vs San Jose State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 79-60
46-23 33-37
Position#29
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#349
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game84.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Jose State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H09/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H14/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H15/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H22/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H24/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H28/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A30/03
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-37
61-47
50-28
29-34
42-32
32-32
33-37
41-40
33-28
54-34
29-31
42-32
31-33
42-37
24-33
40-37
37-34
43-35
36-39
33-27
144.9Avg total
76.2Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.567.5142.0+7.0100%
Season at home (2)74.567.5142.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.268.7144.9+7.580%
Last 5 (5)71.467.6139.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)71.766.1137.8+5.673%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.966.4145.3+12.689%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
L
57-105
57
105
-48
A20/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A05/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H08/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H12/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A13/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H20/03
NIT
Utah Utes
#333
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A04/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A08/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
24-47
0-0
33-58
0-0
37-39
0-0
45-34
0-0
31-35
0-0
40-42
0-0
23-35
0-0
33-48
0-0
42-32
0-0
50-36
0-0
38-22
0-0
28-39
0-0
23-32
0-0
29-31
0-0
35-42
0-0
35-31
0-0
38-44
0-0
37-40
0-0
28-45
0-0
46-40
146.7Avg total
69.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.584.5159.0-10.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)74.584.5159.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)69.577.2146.7-7.730%
Last 5 (5)67.473.2140.6-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.875.9141.7-10.219%
vs Similar (7)77.376.0153.3+1.357%
vs Weaker (6)88.271.8160.0+16.3100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: -2.3-2.3
Michigan StateSan Jose State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H09/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H14/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H22/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H24/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A30/03
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H09/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
34.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.231.867.1+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.631.267.8+5.460%-
Last 30 away (10)32.533.165.6-0.630%-
Last 10 (10)34.533.267.7+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)31.434.065.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)31.133.564.5-2.418%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.630.968.5+6.768%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A20/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H26/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A05/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H12/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A13/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/03
NIT
Utah Utes
#333
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A04/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A08/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
31.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.334.367.6-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.331.666.9+3.769%-
Last 30 away (14)30.937.468.3-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)31.937.369.2-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)32.437.069.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.733.864.4-3.138%-
vs Similar (7)34.034.768.7-0.743%-
vs Weaker (6)39.034.073.0+5.083%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
San Jose State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HArkansas69-66
04/11/25HColgate80-69
30/03/25AAuburn64-70
28/03/25HOle Miss73-70
24/03/25HNew Mexico71-63
22/03/25HBryant University87-62
15/03/25HWisconsin74-77
14/03/25HOregon74-64
09/03/25HMichigan79-62
07/03/25AIowa91-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25AUC Santa Barbara74-85
04/11/25AUtah Utes75-84
20/03/25HLoyola Chicago70-73
13/03/25ANew Mexico52-63
12/03/25HWyoming66-61
08/03/25HFresno State92-68
05/03/25AColorado State56-83
26/02/25HUNLV71-77
22/02/25AWyoming82-73
20/02/25AUtah State57-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game74.574.5-
Allowed / game67.567.5-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total142.0142.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
San Jose State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game74.5-74.5
Allowed / game84.5-84.5
Point differential-10.0--10.0
Avg total159.0-159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois330100%102.367.3+35.0
2 Indiana330100%99.766.0+33.7
3 Northwestern330100%85.354.0+31.3
4 USC220100%104.073.5+30.5
5 Wisconsin330100%93.063.7+29.3
6 Nebraska330100%83.756.3+27.3
7 Iowa220100%89.063.5+25.5
8 Michigan220100%103.081.0+22.0
9 Ohio State330100%95.774.3+21.3
10 Purdue220100%84.564.0+20.5
11 Penn State330100%81.060.7+20.3
12 Rutgers220100%76.556.5+20.0
13 UCLA330100%79.066.3+12.7
14 Michigan State220100%74.567.5+7.0
15 Oregon330100%70.063.7+6.3
16 Minnesota32167%80.764.3+16.3
17 Washington32167%82.366.0+16.3
18 Maryland32167%75.765.0+10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State220100%75.051.0+24.0
2 Colorado State330100%96.072.3+23.7
3 Utah State330100%91.068.0+23.0
4 New Mexico330100%77.359.3+18.0
5 Wyoming330100%90.074.0+16.0
6 Nevada330100%80.369.3+11.0
7 Boise State32167%88.073.7+14.3
8 Grand Canyon32167%86.373.3+13.0
9 Fresno State42250%77.264.5+12.8
10 UNLV31233%91.785.7+6.0
11 San Jose State2020%74.584.5-10.0
12 Air Force3030%63.076.3-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State463379
San Jose State233760
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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