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Michigan State vs Wisconsin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-77
33-37 41-40
Position#17
Record27-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game66.9
Michigan State
USA
vs
Wisconsin 🏆
USA
Position#43
Record25-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan State v Wisconsin
15 Mar 2025
MICH74
WISC77
02 Mar 2025
MICH71
WISC62
05 Dec 2023
MICH57
WISC70
08 Feb 2022
MICH62
WISC70
25 Dec 2020
MICH76
WISC85
17 Jan 2020
MICH67
WISC55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wisconsin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#52
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H12/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A16/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H19/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A22/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H09/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-50
50-24
29-32
38-39
37-41
42-24
33-31
42-35
34-38
41-24
21-23
37-32
32-34
39-28
30-37
61-47
50-28
29-34
42-32
32-32
142.0Avg total
75.5Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.366.9145.2+11.384%
Season at home (21)79.365.5144.8+13.886%
Season away (11)76.469.6146.0+6.782%
Last 10 (10)75.566.5142.0+9.090%
Last 5 (5)74.665.4140.0+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.466.3138.7+6.186%
vs Weaker (23)79.267.9147.0+11.383%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A02/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H08/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H13/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
86-70
86
70
+16
A14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-39
37-24
36-37
58-47
47-41
48-33
38-26
28-40
43-28
45-34
34-32
28-39
33-27
41-40
40-35
35-51
37-30
33-33
48-29
38-41
150.8Avg total
79.1Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)80.670.7151.3+9.976%
Season at home (19)82.268.3150.5+13.984%
Season away (14)78.473.9152.4+4.564%
Last 10 (10)79.171.7150.8+7.470%
Last 5 (5)73.471.4144.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.978.7158.6+1.242%
vs Weaker (17)81.366.4147.6+14.9100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: +0.9+0.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: +0.9+0.9
Michigan StateWisconsin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#52
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H02/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H09/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H14/03
NCAA
69.0Avg total
34.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.431.567.9+5.057%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.230.667.8+6.663%-
Last 30 away (11)35.132.968.0+2.245%-
Last 10 (10)34.434.669.0-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.030.865.8+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.132.664.7-0.429%-
vs Weaker (23)37.731.168.9+6.665%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A02/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A06/03
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H08/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H13/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A14/03
NCAA
71.7Avg total
39.3Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.232.671.8+6.677%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.932.272.1+7.888%-
Last 30 away (14)38.433.171.5+5.264%-
Last 10 (10)39.332.471.7+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)38.430.669.0+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.032.063.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.233.573.7+6.783%-
vs Weaker (17)39.032.171.1+6.976%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Michigan State wins
5
Wisconsin wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Michigan State v Wisconsin71-62
27/01/24Wisconsin v Michigan State81-66
06/12/23Michigan State v Wisconsin57-70
11/01/23Wisconsin v Michigan State65-69
11/03/22Wisconsin v Michigan State63-69
09/02/22Michigan State v Wisconsin62-70
22/01/22Wisconsin v Michigan State74-86
25/12/20Michigan State v Wisconsin76-85
01/02/20Wisconsin v Michigan State64-63
18/01/20Michigan State v Wisconsin67-55
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HOregon74-64
09/03/25HMichigan79-62
07/03/25AIowa91-84
02/03/25HWisconsin71-62
26/02/25AMaryland58-55
22/02/25AMichigan75-62
19/02/25HPurdue75-66
16/02/25AIllinois79-65
12/02/25HIndiana67-71
08/02/25HOregon86-74
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25AUCLA86-70
13/03/25HNorthwestern70-63
08/03/25HPenn State75-86
06/03/25AMinnesota74-67
02/03/25AMichigan State62-71
26/02/25HWashington88-62
22/02/25HOregon73-77 OT
19/02/25HIllinois95-74
15/02/25APurdue94-84
08/02/25AIowa74-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322111
Win %84%86%82%
Points / game78.379.376.4
Allowed / game66.965.569.6
Point differential+11.3+13.8+6.7
Avg total145.2144.8146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%9%
Wisconsin
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW76%
HomeWLWLW84%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %76%84%64%
Points / game80.682.278.4
Allowed / game70.768.373.9
Point differential+9.9+13.9+4.5
Avg total151.3150.5152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%63%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State3227584%78.366.9+11.3
2 Maryland3225778%81.766.6+15.2
3 Wisconsin3325876%80.670.7+9.9
4 Oregon3324973%76.270.9+5.3
5 Michigan3223972%78.871.5+7.2
6 UCLA32221069%74.865.7+9.0
7 Purdue33221167%77.971.1+6.8
8 Illinois33211264%83.874.6+9.2
9 Indiana32191359%74.772.0+2.6
10 Nebraska31171455%75.472.9+2.5
11 Ohio State32171553%78.873.5+5.3
12 Penn State31161552%79.173.2+5.9
13 Northwestern33171652%72.469.2+3.3
14 Iowa33171652%82.579.7+2.8
15 USC33161748%76.975.5+1.4
16 Rutgers32151747%77.077.6-0.5
17 Minnesota32151747%68.169.7-1.7
18 Washington30121840%71.475.9-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State334174
Wisconsin374077
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