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Michigan State vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-62
50-28 29-34
Position#17
Record25-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game67.2
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Michigan
USA
Position#44
Record22-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan State v Michigan
30 Jan 2026
MICH71
MICH83
09 Mar 2025
MICH79
MICH62
30 Jan 2024
MICH81
MICH62
07 Jan 2023
MICH59
MICH53
29 Jan 2022
MICH83
MICH67
07 Mar 2021
MICH70
MICH64
05 Jan 2020
MICH87
MICH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#215
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H12/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A16/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H19/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A22/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-35
32-35
28-35
33-28
36-50
50-24
29-32
38-39
37-41
42-24
33-31
42-35
34-38
41-24
21-23
37-32
32-34
39-28
30-37
61-47
139.9Avg total
72.7Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.467.2145.6+11.283%
Season at home (19)79.665.8145.4+13.884%
Season away (11)76.469.6146.0+6.782%
Last 10 (10)72.767.2139.9+5.570%
Last 5 (5)74.065.8139.8+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)72.466.3138.7+6.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)80.267.5147.7+12.783%
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#224
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A01/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H22/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
73-93
73
93
-20
H02/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-25
34-38
41-36
39-40
43-27
27-40
35-37
40-36
44-39
42-44
38-34
24-41
25-21
24-25
49-57
35-25
30-31
43-62
22-33
43-38
143.9Avg total
71.0Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.171.4150.5+7.773%
Season at home (19)82.471.6154.0+10.874%
Season away (11)73.471.1144.5+2.373%
Last 10 (10)71.072.9143.9-1.970%
Last 5 (5)66.673.4140.0-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)63.573.0136.5-9.50%
vs Similar (18)79.772.6152.2+7.178%
vs Weaker (10)81.269.0150.2+12.280%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: -3.8-3.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: -3.8-3.8
Michigan StateMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#215
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H02/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A07/03
NCAA
66.8Avg total
31.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.767.8+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.830.967.7+5.863%-
Last 30 away (11)35.132.968.0+2.245%-
Last 10 (10)31.235.666.8-4.410%-
Last 5 (5)30.032.662.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)32.132.664.7-0.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.431.468.8+6.065%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#224
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A01/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H02/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H05/03
NCAA
69.9Avg total
35.9Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.434.674.0+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.435.276.6+6.268%-
Last 30 away (11)36.133.569.5+2.682%-
Last 10 (10)35.934.069.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)32.835.268.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.033.563.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (18)39.334.673.8+4.767%-
vs Weaker (10)41.634.876.4+6.890%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Michigan State wins
4
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Michigan v Michigan State62-75
18/02/24Michigan v Michigan State63-73
31/01/24Michigan State v Michigan81-62
19/02/23Michigan v Michigan State84-72
07/01/23Michigan State v Michigan59-53
02/03/22Michigan v Michigan State87-70
29/01/22Michigan State v Michigan83-67
07/03/21Michigan State v Michigan70-64
05/03/21Michigan v Michigan State69-50
08/02/20Michigan v Michigan State77-68
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25AIowa91-84
02/03/25HWisconsin71-62
26/02/25AMaryland58-55
22/02/25AMichigan75-62
19/02/25HPurdue75-66
16/02/25AIllinois79-65
12/02/25HIndiana67-71
08/02/25HOregon86-74
05/02/25AUCLA61-63
01/02/25AUSC64-70
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HMaryland65-71
02/03/25HIllinois73-93
28/02/25HRutgers84-82
25/02/25ANebraska49-46
22/02/25HMichigan State62-75
16/02/25AOhio State86-83
12/02/25HPurdue75-73
08/02/25AIndiana70-67
05/02/25HOregon80-76
01/02/25ARutgers66-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWLWW84%
AwayLWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %83%84%82%
Points / game78.479.676.4
Allowed / game67.265.869.6
Point differential+11.2+13.8+6.7
Avg total145.6145.4146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%58%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%9%
Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL73%
HomeWLWLL74%
AwayLWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %73%74%73%
Points / game79.182.473.4
Allowed / game71.471.671.1
Point differential+7.7+10.8+2.3
Avg total150.5154.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%42%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (15)75% (8)71% (7)
Overtime %7%5%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State3025583%78.467.2+11.2
2 Maryland3124777%81.566.6+14.9
3 Wisconsin3123874%80.870.9+9.8
4 Michigan3022873%79.171.4+7.7
5 Oregon3022873%76.671.2+5.5
6 UCLA3122971%74.965.1+9.8
7 Purdue31211068%78.370.6+7.6
8 Illinois31201165%83.773.5+10.2
9 Indiana31191261%75.272.0+3.1
10 Nebraska30171357%75.672.5+3.1
11 Ohio State31171455%79.173.4+5.7
12 Penn State31161552%79.173.2+5.9
13 Northwestern31161552%72.769.3+3.5
14 Iowa30151550%82.379.5+2.7
15 Minnesota30151550%68.269.5-1.2
16 USC31151648%76.475.0+1.4
17 Rutgers30141647%76.777.3-0.6
18 Washington29121741%71.375.8-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State502979
Michigan283462
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