PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Illinois vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 56-55
34-20 22-35
Position#66
Record13-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game66.9
vs
Position#104
Record15-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Illinois v Michigan State
15 Feb 2025
ILLI65
MICH79
11 Jan 2024
ILLI71
MICH68
13 Jan 2023
ILLI75
MICH66
25 Jan 2022
ILLI56
MICH55
11 Feb 2020
ILLI69
MICH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#48
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A07/12
NCAA
Arizona
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H11/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
W
106-48
106
48
+58
H18/12
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
88-63
88
63
+25
A23/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
76-53
76
53
+23
A05/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H07/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A12/01
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H15/01
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
H17/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
48-47
42-38
37-45
47-23
59-25
40-26
48-37
41-30
35-23
30-34
46-30
31-34
50-37
26-22
42-31
26-37
43-32
35-37
30-44
150.9Avg total
81.4Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.366.9146.3+12.472%
Season at home (10)84.265.2149.4+19.080%
Season away (8)73.269.1142.4+4.162%
Last 10 (10)81.469.5150.9+11.970%
Last 5 (5)75.673.0148.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.083.0166.0+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.169.6141.7+2.657%
vs Weaker (21)81.165.2146.3+16.086%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#21
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A09/12
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H11/12
NCAA
Oakland
#113
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A22/12
NCAA
High Point
#243
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A02/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H06/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H15/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-23
38-45
37-24
38-43
42-29
38-35
44-35
46-43
34-35
47-33
26-33
47-34
38-34
41-33
34-31
37-38
33-38
29-26
42-26
44-48
146.4Avg total
77.8Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.366.1141.4+9.283%
Season at home (13)73.865.5139.3+8.277%
Season away (5)79.467.6147.0+11.8100%
Last 10 (10)77.868.6146.4+9.290%
Last 5 (5)74.268.2142.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.272.4138.6-6.143%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.966.9141.8+8.089%
vs Weaker (7)77.760.6138.3+17.1100%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +8.7+8.72nd half: +2.7+2.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +8.7+8.72nd half: +2.7+2.7
IllinoisMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#48
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Arizona
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H11/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H18/12
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A23/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A05/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H07/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H15/01
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H17/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A22/01
NCAA
67.4Avg total
35.7Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.830.367.1+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.729.467.1+8.482%-
Last 30 away (13)35.631.567.2+4.162%-
Last 10 (10)35.731.767.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)29.632.862.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.537.077.5+3.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.331.363.6+1.057%-
vs Weaker (21)38.029.367.3+8.676%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#21
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H04/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A09/12
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H11/12
NCAA
Oakland
#113
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A22/12
NCAA
High Point
#243
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A02/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H13/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H15/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A22/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
37.3Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.131.065.1+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.331.166.4+4.260%-
Last 30 away (10)31.630.962.5+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.330.868.1+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.467.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.932.864.6-0.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.930.764.6+3.244%-
vs Weaker (7)38.728.066.7+10.7100%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois wins
3
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
24/02/21Michigan State v Illinois81-72
12/02/20Illinois v Michigan State69-70
03/01/20Michigan State v Illinois76-56
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22AMaryland65-81
17/01/22HPurdue88-96 OT
15/01/22HMichigan68-53
12/01/22ANebraska81-71
07/01/22HMaryland76-64
05/01/22AMinnesota76-53
23/12/21AMissouri88-63
18/12/21HSt. Francis (PA)106-48
11/12/21HArizona79-83
07/12/21AIowa87-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22AWisconsin86-74
15/01/22HNorthwestern62-64
13/01/22HMinnesota71-69
06/01/22HNebraska79-67
02/01/22ANorthwestern73-67
29/12/21HHigh Point81-68
22/12/21AOakland90-78
11/12/21HPenn State80-64
09/12/21AMinnesota75-67
04/12/21HToledo81-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL72%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %72%80%62%
Points / game79.384.273.2
Allowed / game66.965.269.1
Point differential+12.4+19.0+4.1
Avg total146.3149.4142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%70%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%10%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %83%77%100%
Points / game75.373.879.4
Allowed / game66.165.567.6
Point differential+9.2+8.2+11.8
Avg total141.4139.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%46%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USC1917289%75.063.0+12.0
2 UCLA1513287%78.866.1+12.7
3 Purdue1916384%84.767.4+17.4
4 Michigan State1815383%75.366.1+9.2
5 Wisconsin1815383%72.766.9+5.8
6 Ohio State1612475%75.167.4+7.7
7 Iowa1914574%83.169.4+13.7
8 Indiana1914574%74.063.7+10.3
9 Illinois1813572%79.366.9+12.4
10 Minnesota1611569%69.666.2+3.3
11 Oregon1812667%73.467.1+6.3
12 Rutgers1811761%67.664.2+3.4
13 Michigan169756%72.666.4+6.2
14 Northwestern179853%76.568.7+7.8
15 Washington179853%69.672.2-2.6
16 Maryland1910953%71.169.5+1.5
17 Penn State168850%65.564.9+0.6
18 Nebraska1961332%73.379.1-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois342256
Michigan State203555
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.