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Penn State vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 57-58
34-34 23-24
Position#234
Record9-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#159
Record11-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Penn State v Michigan
06 Jan 2026
PENN72
MICH74
13 Mar 2024
PENN66
MICH57
07 Jan 2024
PENN79
MICH73
29 Jan 2023
PENN83
MICH61
08 Feb 2022
PENN57
MICH58
09 Jan 2021
PENN v MICH
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#104
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A11/12
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H02/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A27/01
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-42
35-38
27-26
34-32
29-34
45-36
30-35
37-39
27-19
39-30
22-27
34-34
25-30
26-38
17-46
40-28
32-34
34-32
13-18
36-33
130.6Avg total
63.5Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)65.565.8131.3-0.347%
Season at home (10)71.465.2136.6+6.270%
Season away (9)58.966.4125.3-7.622%
Last 10 (10)63.567.1130.6-3.640%
Last 5 (5)60.668.0128.6-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.270.5136.7-4.327%
vs Similar ◀ (14)67.864.9132.6+2.964%
vs Weaker (1)60.045.0105.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#97
W
87-50
87
50
+37
H19/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#127
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A31/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H19/01
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A23/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A29/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
49-20
38-30
35-31
36-54
30-39
37-36
22-26
31-42
39-19
44-45
38-30
42-32
34-31
38-39
35-39
32-44
37-44
48-35
33-39
43-43
145.9Avg total
74.1Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.168.8141.9+4.255%
Season at home (11)74.665.6140.3+9.073%
Season away (9)71.272.8144.0-1.633%
Last 10 (10)74.171.8145.9+2.350%
Last 5 (5)76.075.2151.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.574.0148.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.967.5136.4+1.450%
vs Weaker (12)74.864.7139.5+10.267%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -1.1-1.1
Penn StateMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#104
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/12
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H02/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
27-19
27
19
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
17-46
17
46
-29
A27/01
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
13-18
13
18
-5
A05/02
NCAA
56.2Avg total
25.1Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.932.362.2-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.132.164.1+0.044%-
Last 30 away (14)27.432.660.1-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)25.131.156.2-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)21.831.052.8-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.334.263.5-4.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.631.462.1-0.836%-
vs Weaker (1)29.017.046.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#97
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H19/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#127
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
22-26
22
26
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H19/01
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A23/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A05/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
35.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.866.1+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.929.765.7+6.279%-
Last 30 away (11)34.032.766.7+1.345%-
Last 10 (10)35.231.867.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.672.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.236.573.8+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.928.661.4+4.364%-
vs Weaker (12)37.331.668.9+5.875%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penn State wins
1
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
13/12/20Michigan v Penn State62-58
23/01/20Michigan v Penn State63-72
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/22AWisconsin49-51
01/02/22HIowa90-86 OT
27/01/22AIndiana57-74
22/01/22AIowa51-68
16/01/22AOhio State56-61
11/01/22HRutgers66-49
08/01/22HPurdue67-74
06/01/22ANorthwestern74-70
02/01/22HIndiana61-58
11/12/21AMichigan State64-80
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/22APurdue76-82
02/02/22HNebraska85-79
29/01/22AMichigan State67-83
26/01/22HNorthwestern72-70
23/01/22AIndiana80-62
19/01/22HMaryland83-64
15/01/22AIllinois53-68
05/01/22ARutgers67-75
31/12/21AUCF Knights71-85
19/12/21HSouthern Utah87-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%70%22%
Points / game65.571.458.9
Allowed / game65.865.266.4
Point differential-0.3+6.2-7.6
Avg total131.3136.6125.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %11%10%11%
Michigan
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%73%33%
Points / game73.174.671.2
Allowed / game68.865.672.8
Point differential+4.2+9.0-1.6
Avg total141.9140.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2320387%84.568.7+15.8
2 USC2319483%73.363.4+9.9
3 Wisconsin2319483%71.166.1+5.0
4 UCLA2016480%77.765.7+12.0
5 Illinois2217577%77.165.5+11.7
6 Michigan State2317674%73.266.5+6.7
7 Ohio State1914574%75.667.9+7.7
8 Indiana2216673%73.063.5+9.5
9 Iowa2215768%82.270.5+11.8
10 Oregon2215768%73.867.0+6.8
11 Rutgers2213959%68.364.8+3.5
12 Washington2112957%70.171.8-1.6
13 Michigan2011955%73.168.8+4.2
14 Minnesota2011955%68.568.0+0.5
15 Northwestern21111052%75.968.6+7.3
16 Maryland23111248%69.769.4+0.3
17 Penn State1991047%65.565.8-0.3
18 Nebraska2361726%72.278.7-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State342357
Michigan342458
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