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Michigan vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 73-88
36-37 37-51
Position#347
Record7-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game77.0
Michigan
USA
vs
Illinois 🏆
USA
Position#27
Record12-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Michigan v Illinois
02 Mar 2025
MICH73
ILLI93
18 Jan 2024
MICH73
ILLI88
27 Feb 2022
MICH85
ILLI93
02 Mar 2021
MICH53
ILLI76
25 Jan 2020
MICH62
ILLI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#75
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
A02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A10/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H16/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
H20/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
76-87
76
87
-11
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A12/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-38
38-35
39-37
36-41
35-33
55-47
49-32
34-34
37-38
44-43
37-40
39-47
37-33
34-40
37-27
36-52
33-21
24-43
37-28
36-37
156.6Avg total
78.2Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.777.0156.7+2.741%
Season at home (11)82.477.6160.0+4.745%
Season away (6)74.875.8150.7-1.033%
Last 10 (10)78.278.4156.6-0.230%
Last 5 (5)70.073.6143.6-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.577.7157.2+1.838%
vs Similar (12)71.066.8137.8+4.250%
vs Weaker (1)93.072.0165.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#241
W
76-58
76
58
+18
A02/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H05/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A09/12
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H17/12
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H23/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
96-66
96
66
+30
H03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A06/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-36
35-22
39-42
59-47
36-34
43-52
44-27
30-30
49-24
48-49
48-28
56-43
46-29
50-37
32-47
46-36
37-34
34-34
39-37
28-39
156.7Avg total
84.0Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.767.4149.1+14.275%
Season at home (13)82.665.5148.2+17.185%
Season away (3)77.775.7153.3+2.033%
Last 10 (10)84.072.7156.7+11.370%
Last 5 (5)83.272.8156.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)73.974.6148.5-0.641%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.161.6142.7+19.592%
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: +4.0+4.0
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: +4.0+4.0
MichiganIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#75
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H16/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H20/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H05/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A07/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A12/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H15/01
NCAA
70.3Avg total
37.6Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.432.969.3+3.570%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.434.774.2+4.772%-
Last 30 away (12)31.830.261.9+1.667%-
Last 10 (10)37.632.770.3+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)36.229.866.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.134.572.6+3.669%-
vs Similar (12)32.929.962.8+3.075%-
vs Weaker (1)46.034.080.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#241
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A02/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H05/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A09/12
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H17/12
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H23/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A06/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/01
NCAA
74.9Avg total
41.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.669.1+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.031.468.5+5.670%-
Last 30 away (10)32.438.070.4-5.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.133.874.9+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.075.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)32.936.869.8-3.941%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.829.568.2+9.392%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan wins
6
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
03/03/23Illinois v Michigan91-87 OT
27/02/22Michigan v Illinois85-93
15/01/22Illinois v Michigan68-53
03/03/21Michigan v Illinois53-76
25/01/20Michigan v Illinois62-64
12/12/19Illinois v Michigan71-62
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/24HOhio State73-65
12/01/24AMaryland57-64
07/01/24APenn State73-79
05/01/24HMinnesota71-73
30/12/23HMcNeese State76-87
20/12/23HFlorida101-106 OT
16/12/23HEastern Michigan83-66
10/12/23AIowa90-80
06/12/23HIndiana75-78
02/12/23AOregon83-86 OT
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HMaryland67-76
12/01/24HMichigan State71-68
06/01/24APurdue78-83
03/01/24HNorthwestern96-66
30/12/23HFairleigh Dickinson104-71
23/12/23HMissouri97-73
17/12/23HColgate74-57
09/12/23ATennessee79-86
05/12/23HFlorida Atlantic98-89
02/12/23ARutgers76-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW41%
HomeWLLLW45%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %41%45%33%
Points / game79.782.474.8
Allowed / game77.077.675.8
Point differential+2.7+4.7-1.0
Avg total156.7160.0150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%27%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %12%9%17%
Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL75%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16133
Win %75%85%33%
Points / game81.782.677.7
Allowed / game67.465.575.7
Point differential+14.2+17.1+2.0
Avg total149.1148.2153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%69%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1816289%85.169.3+15.8
2 Oregon1613381%78.871.5+7.2
3 Wisconsin1713476%75.666.6+9.0
4 Northwestern1713476%72.967.0+5.9
5 Illinois1612475%81.767.4+14.2
6 Nebraska1813572%78.570.1+8.4
7 Ohio State1712571%76.366.5+9.8
8 Minnesota1812667%77.268.4+8.8
9 Indiana1812667%73.973.3+0.6
10 Iowa1711665%87.177.6+9.5
11 Michigan State1811761%77.165.6+11.5
12 Maryland1811761%70.864.0+6.8
13 Washington1710759%80.575.0+5.5
14 Rutgers1710759%68.665.4+3.3
15 Penn State189950%76.974.1+2.8
16 USC1881044%76.274.8+1.4
17 UCLA1881044%64.963.9+1.0
18 Michigan1771041%79.777.0+2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan363773
Illinois375188
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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