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Middle Tenn. St. vs Fisk Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 117-73
52-32 65-41
Position#39
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Middle Tenn. St. 🏆
USA
Vs
98%
■ MIDD 98%■ FISK 2%
Pythia win probability
Projected 88-62
Projected total 149.4
Fisk
USA
Position#386
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Middle Tenn. St. hosts Fisk on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the home team as the clear favourite, rating them 98% to win and 2% to lose, with a projected score of 88-62 and a total of 149.4 points; the model also predicts a 0% chance of overtime. The home side has won four of its last five games, including a 75-63 victory over Missouri State and a 73-67 win against Florida International, while Fisk has lost all five of its recent outings, most notably a 58-90 defeat to Alabama A&M Bulldogs. The projected home points of 88 versus Fisk's 62 reflect the model's confidence that Middle Tenn. St. will dominate the contest. The game ends with a concrete fact: Middle Tenn. St. has a 98% probability of winning.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
98.4%fair 1.02
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fisk winLost
1.6%fair 62.36
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A15/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-41
36-38
45-49
45-38
37-42
43-40
32-44
38-34
31-20
47-46
34-26
43-41
36-42
40-34
33-34
40-33
37-27
38-36
25-39
44-41
155.0Avg total
78.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.676.4155.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)76.072.4148.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.578.2146.7-9.730%
vs Similar (14)74.771.8146.5+2.957%
vs Weaker (5)80.075.4155.4+4.660%
FiskUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#151
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A08/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A29/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A07/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
52-79
52
79
-27
A15/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
66-96
66
96
-30
A05/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
L
69-103
69
103
-34
A14/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
50-101
50
101
-51
A04/11
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
49-96
49
96
-47
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
59-110
59
110
-51
A28/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
58-90
58
90
-32
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
40-48
26-38
29-33
27-43
34-33
21-39
31-40
31-48
35-48
31-56
38-47
16-47
34-54
25-46
24-50
39-55
20-55
24-35
34-55
150.1Avg total
59.4Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)59.490.7150.1-31.30%
Last 5 (5)57.0100.0157.0-43.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)59.490.7150.1-31.30%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Over 142
Over 142
68.1%
Under 142
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Over 147
Over 147
56.0%
Under 147
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Over 152
Over 152
43.3%
Under 152
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Middle Tenn. St. total 73Actual: Middle Tenn. St. over 73
Over 73
93.8%
Under 73
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middle Tenn. St. total 77Actual: Middle Tenn. St. over 77
Over 77
87.0%
Under 77
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middle Tenn. St. total 81Actual: Middle Tenn. St. over 81
Over 81
76.2%
Under 81
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fisk total 66Actual: Fisk over 66
Over 66
32.2%
Under 66
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fisk total 70Actual: Fisk over 70
Over 70
19.0%
Under 70
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fisk total 74Actual: Fisk under 74
Over 74
10.0%
Under 74
90.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Middle Tenn. St. -3Actual: Middle Tenn. St. -3
MIDD -3
97.6%
FISK +3
2.4%
Best 5 market prices
MIDD
No market prices yet.
FISK
No market prices yet.
Spread Middle Tenn. St. 0Actual: Middle Tenn. St. 0
MIDD 0
98.4%
FISK 0
1.6%
Best 5 market prices
MIDD
No market prices yet.
FISK
No market prices yet.
Spread Middle Tenn. St. +3Actual: Middle Tenn. St. +3
MIDD +3
99.0%
FISK -3
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
MIDD
No market prices yet.
FISK
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-21-11+0+11+211st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -16.9-16.92nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: -14.4-14.4
-21-11+0+11+211st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -16.9-16.92nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: -14.4-14.4
Middle Tenn. St.Fisk
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A19/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/03
NCAA
71.7Avg total
35.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.934.769.6+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.634.368.9+0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)35.135.170.3+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.471.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.666.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.438.272.6-3.820%-
vs Similar (14)34.633.868.4+0.836%-
vs Weaker (5)37.630.468.0+7.2100%-
FiskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#151
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A29/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A07/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A15/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A05/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A14/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
16-47
16
47
-31
A04/11
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A28/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A30/12
NCAA
71.9Avg total
27.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)27.445.673.0-18.30%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (11)27.445.673.0-18.30%-
Last 10 (10)27.544.471.9-16.90%-
Last 5 (5)27.047.874.8-20.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)27.544.471.9-16.90%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
0
Fisk wins
No previous meetings.
Middle Tenn. St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26ALouisiana Tech69-80
07/03/26AMissouri State75-63
06/03/26AFlorida International73-67
28/02/26HNew Mexico State86-85 OT
27/02/26HUTEP77-67
21/02/26HDelaware78-66
19/02/26ASam Houston St.70-78
15/02/26AWestern Kentucky80-82
12/02/26AKennesaw State90-87
07/02/26ADelaware88-89 OT
Fisklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25AAlabama A&M Bulldogs58-90
28/12/25AAustin Peay59-110
22/11/25ABelmont49-96
04/11/25ATennessee State50-101
14/11/24AAlabama A&M Bulldogs69-103
05/11/24ATennessee State66-96
15/11/23AAustin Peay52-79
07/11/23ATennessee State61-76
29/11/22AAlabama A&M Bulldogs55-71
08/11/22ATennessee State75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Fisk
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 IU Indy110100%113.076.0+37.0
2 Mercer110100%90.053.0+37.0
3 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
4 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
5 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
6 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
7 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
8 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
9 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
10 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
11 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
12 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
13 Miami (OH) - Middletown1010%76.0113.0-37.0
14 Reinhardt1010%53.090.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.5265117
Fisk324173
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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