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Minas vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 67-68
23-20 13-26 17-10 14-12
Position#3
Record10-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#17
Record3-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game72.6
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minas v Cerrado
06 Dec 2023
MINA67
CERR68
15 Feb 2023
MINA99
CERR70
09 Mar 2022
MINA74
CERR66
06 Dec 2020
MINA97
CERR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cerrado winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
W
96-76
96
76
+20
101avg 81
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
72-60
72
60
+12
64avg 81
A23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 81
A08/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
79-70
79
70
+9
75avg 81
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
99-80
99
80
+19
103avg 81
H16/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
67avg 81
H18/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 81
A23/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
86-71
86
71
+15
80avg 81
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
84avg 81
H29/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
H01/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-25
21-12
21-10
21-29
16-18
18-17
26-14
12-11
19-14
18-28
25-9
15-16
21-10
21-22
14-15
23-23
26-16
25-25
26-20
22-19
21-13
13-23
19-23
18-22
30-24
21-16
15-14
17-21
24-9
19-21
17-21
26-20
23-15
20-22
12-20
30-25
25-9
19-17
17-26
21-30
159.1Avg total
84.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.474.5158.9+9.891%
Season at home (4)87.082.8169.8+4.275%
Season away (7)82.969.9152.7+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.175.0159.1+9.190%
Last 5 (5)83.679.4163.0+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.993.3183.1-3.429%
vs Similar (8)80.075.1155.1+4.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.377.9164.2+8.387%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 63
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 63
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
94-67
94
67
+27
90avg 63
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
no box
H09/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
62avg 63
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
54avg 63
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 63
A18/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
84-53
84
53
+31
88avg 63
H24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
70-62
70
62
+8
64avg 63
H28/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 63
H02/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
14-20
17-16
12-17
16-24
15-18
22-16
12-25
27-14
29-17
13-21
25-15
19-19
17-10
14-15
15-21
16-21
13-16
23-20
19-32
18-22
16-17
14-15
23-20
17-14
28-24
12-16
16-20
21-13
20-15
24-16
19-9
21-15
17-20
13-13
19-14
14-12
14-19
28-21
18-26
146.7Avg total
73.7Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.672.6145.3+0.027%
Season at home (7)74.168.4142.6+5.743%
Season away (4)70.080.0150.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)73.773.0146.7+0.730%
Last 5 (5)74.468.2142.6+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.192.4168.5-16.46%
vs Similar (8)77.977.9155.8+0.038%
vs Weaker (4)82.069.2151.2+12.850%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +8.5+8.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +8.5+8.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
MinasCerrado
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H16/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H18/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A23/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/12
NBB
78.9Avg total
43.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.583.3+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.938.282.1+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)43.840.684.3+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.335.678.9+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.033.876.8+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)47.647.495.0+0.129%-
vs Similar (8)39.835.675.4+4.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.237.882.0+6.467%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A18/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H28/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H02/12
NBB
71.1Avg total
36.7Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.980.5-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.739.980.6+0.853%-
Last 30 away (13)35.844.580.4-8.723%-
Last 10 (10)36.734.471.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.271.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.245.183.3-6.833%-
vs Similar (8)36.540.176.6-3.625%-
vs Weaker (4)44.531.576.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.6
52.9%
51.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.8
38.0%
33.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.314.7
76.2%
72.6%14.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.1
47.2%
51.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.1
28.4%
33.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.811.9
60.1%
72.6%11.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWLWWWWW
Cerrado
LWWLLLLWLL
#3
League position
#17
+13.4
Net rating
+0.8
113.9
Offensive rating
97.9
100.4
Defensive rating
97.1
54.8%
Effective FG%
45.4%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.2%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.0%
3-point %
28.4%
73.9%
Assist %
62.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 97.9Defence100.4 · 97.1Shooting54.8% · 45.4%3-point %38.0% · 28.4%Ball care17.8% · 17.2%Off. rebounds32.1% · 33.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Minas   ■ Cerrado
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Minas wins
0
Cerrado wins
DateGameScore
15/02/23Minas v Cerrado99-70
17/11/22Cerrado v Minas102-112 OT
09/03/22Minas v Cerrado74-66
07/12/21Cerrado v Minas74-90
26/01/21Cerrado v Minas80-93
06/12/20Minas v Cerrado97-77
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23HCearense93-88 OT
29/11/23HUnifacisa85-82
25/11/23APaulistano86-71
23/11/23ASao Paulo83-75
18/11/23HFranca71-81
16/11/23HBauru99-80
10/11/23AMogi79-70
08/11/23ASao Jose77-67
23/10/23AVasco72-60
21/10/23ABotafogo96-76
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HSao Jose74-78
28/11/23HMogi70-62
24/11/23HBrasilia84-53
18/11/23ABotafogo73-74
15/11/23AVasco71-74
13/11/23AFlamengo71-89
09/11/23HCaxias do Sul77-83 OT
07/11/23HUniao Corinthians94-67
31/10/23APato65-83
23/10/23HCorinthians Paulista58-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW91%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %91%75%100%
Points / game84.487.082.9
Allowed / game74.582.869.9
Point differential+9.8+4.2+13.0
Avg total158.9169.8152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%25%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %9%25%0%
Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL27%
HomeWLWWL43%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %27%43%0%
Points / game72.674.170.0
Allowed / game72.668.480.0
Point differential+0.0+5.7-10.0
Avg total145.3142.6150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %9%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1110191%84.474.5+9.8
2 Flamengo119282%83.072.5+10.5
3 Cearense108280%79.275.0+4.2
4 Franca118373%86.575.3+11.2
5 Sao Jose118373%82.472.6+9.7
6 Vasco128467%72.267.8+4.4
7 Paulistano128467%71.369.2+2.2
8 Unifacisa106460%75.672.8+2.8
9 Sao Paulo126650%78.380.5-2.2
10 Bauru136746%77.075.9+1.1
11 Corinthians Paulista104640%77.278.3-1.1
12 Pato135838%74.177.4-3.3
13 Caxias do Sul114736%71.779.8-8.1
14 Uniao Corinthians114736%71.379.8-8.5
15 Cerrado113827%72.672.6+0.0
16 Brasilia113827%71.383.9-12.6
17 Botafogo1331023%75.283.0-7.8
18 Pinheiros92722%77.881.6-3.8
19 Mogi1221017%73.780.2-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2313171467
Cerrado2026101268
← all games of the day
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