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Minas vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 86-65
24-14 24-18 23-16 15-17
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game68.5
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#16
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game84.0
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2026-27
Meetings · Minas v Pato
27 Oct 2026
MINA86
PATO65
21 Jan 2026
MINA75
PATO67
05 Dec 2024
MINA97
PATO70
22 Dec 2023
MINA84
PATO75
31 Mar 2023
MINA82
PATO90
05 Nov 2021
MINA79
PATO67
12 Nov 2020
MINA76
PATO54
15 Jan 2020
MINA86
PATO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
99-94
99
94
+5
88avg 84
H21/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
81-97
81
97
-16
73avg 84
A24/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-74
101
74
+27
97avg 84
A26/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
103-93
103
93
+10
102avg 84
H29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
90-100
90
100
-10
81avg 84
H04/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
97-91
97
91
+6
100avg 84
A07/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
95avg 84
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
76avg 84
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
69avg 84
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#10
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 84
A22/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
33-38
24-22
19-18
21-31
29-12
18-22
13-32
25-9
27-28
29-16
20-21
24-16
19-27
27-15
33-35
23-27
29-26
15-25
23-22
28-19
14-23
32-22
23-27
31-31
20-21
27-27
19-24
22-20
22-25
12-24
25-23
25-20
18-13
18-10
17-23
15-15
20-21
36-13
17-22
179.6Avg total
91.5Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.068.5151.5+14.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)83.068.5151.5+14.5100%
Last 10 (10)91.588.1179.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)88.284.6172.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.095.8183.8-7.820%
vs Similar (8)89.894.8184.5-5.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.980.2172.1+11.882%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 61
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-94
70
94
-24
57avg 61
A24/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
52avg 61
H02/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 61
H06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
58avg 61
A09/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
68-77
68
77
-9
69avg 61
A11/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
55-88
55
88
-33
50avg 61
A16/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
71-92
71
92
-21
58avg 61
A18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#9
L
74-80
74
80
-6
58avg 61
H21/10
NBB
Botafogo
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
36avg 61
H24/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
19-17
24-28
14-23
16-20
18-21
21-29
15-24
13-16
13-14
20-20
12-17
17-13
21-16
20-20
12-29
16-30
12-23
11-23
25-24
19-14
20-21
14-23
15-19
12-25
16-19
16-27
11-17
15-24
18-27
18-28
20-13
10-13
18-20
13-30
33-17
22-26
16-22
27-13
24-27
153.6Avg total
69.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.584.0165.5-2.550%
Season at home (2)81.584.0165.5-2.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.184.5153.6-15.410%
Last 5 (5)71.485.0156.4-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.682.4153.0-11.814%
vs Similar (8)79.678.4158.0+1.238%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
MinasPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H21/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A24/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A26/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H04/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A07/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/10
NBB
90.6Avg total
46.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.544.591.0+2.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.942.888.7+3.150%-
Last 30 away (16)47.045.992.9+1.138%-
Last 10 (10)46.843.890.6+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.684.6+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.648.690.2-7.00%-
vs Similar (8)46.849.596.2-2.812%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.840.988.7+6.971%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A24/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H02/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#9
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H21/10
NBB
Botafogo
#13
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/10
NBB
72.0Avg total
32.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.939.775.6-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.637.373.9-0.641%-
Last 30 away (13)34.942.977.8-8.031%-
Last 10 (10)32.639.472.0-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)33.242.275.4-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)33.941.074.8-7.118%-
vs Similar (8)41.536.477.9+5.188%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.922.6
59.6%
49.8%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.1
31.6%
31.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.417.4
74.4%
71.3%17.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 63.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.0
49.1%
49.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.77.7
25.1%
31.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws13.08.6
66.2%
71.3%8.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWLLWLWWLW
Pato
WLLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#16
+3.9
Net rating
-23.3
99.7
Offensive rating
72.7
95.8
Defensive rating
96.0
54.3%
Effective FG%
43.5%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
20.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.6%
3-point %
25.1%
66.2%
Assist %
72.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 72.7Defence95.8 · 96.0Shooting54.3% · 43.5%3-point %31.6% · 25.1%Ball care14.7% · 20.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Minas   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Pato wins
DateGameScore
21/01/26Minas v Pato75-67
27/10/25Pato v Minas75-76
03/04/25Pato v Minas72-75
05/12/24Minas v Pato97-70
05/04/24Pato v Minas69-77
22/12/23Minas v Pato84-75
31/03/23Minas v Pato82-90
21/12/22Pato v Minas74-88
06/02/22Pato v Minas70-101
05/11/21Minas v Pato79-67
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26AUniao Corinthians88-71
20/10/26ACaxias do Sul78-66
12/05/26HCorinthians Paulista81-92
09/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-103
07/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-91
04/05/26HCorinthians Paulista90-100
29/04/26HCruzeiro103-93
26/04/26ACruzeiro101-74
24/04/26ACruzeiro81-97
21/04/26HCruzeiro99-94
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HBotafogo89-88
21/10/26HPaulistano74-80
18/04/26APaulistano71-92
16/04/26APinheiros55-88
11/04/26AOsasco68-77
09/04/26AFranca64-100
06/04/26HRio Claro70-78
02/04/26HBrasilia58-67
24/03/26ABauru70-94
18/03/26HSao Jose72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game68.5-68.5
Point differential+14.5-+14.5
Avg total151.5-151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Pato
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game81.581.5-
Allowed / game84.084.0-
Point differential-2.5-2.5-
Avg total165.5165.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brasilia220100%97.582.5+15.0
2 Minas220100%83.068.5+14.5
3 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
4 Unifacisa32167%82.371.0+11.3
5 Franca32167%76.070.3+5.7
6 Bauru32167%75.376.0-0.7
7 Pinheiros21150%81.572.0+9.5
8 Flamengo21150%81.076.5+4.5
9 Cruzeiro21150%73.072.0+1.0
10 Osasco21150%81.582.5-1.0
11 Pato21150%81.584.0-2.5
12 Uniao Corinthians21150%77.081.0-4.0
13 Paulistano21150%76.582.5-6.0
14 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
15 Botafogo2020%79.585.0-5.5
16 Caxias do Sul2020%63.575.0-11.5
17 Sao Jose2020%63.586.5-23.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2424231586
Pato1418161765
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