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Corinthians Paulista vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 May 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 91-97
19-28 23-14 22-32 27-23
Position#6
Record31-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#3
Record32-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game82.4
BrazilNBBNBB - Quarter-finals· Ginasio Wlamir Marques
Other2025-26
Meetings · Corinthians Paulista v Minas
23 Dec 2026
CORI v MINA
upcoming
09 May 2026
CORI103
MINA97
07 May 2026
CORI91
MINA97
08 Jan 2026
CORI74
MINA92
31 Oct 2024
CORI60
MINA86
14 Dec 2023
CORI105
MINA96
19 Dec 2022
CORI65
MINA94
11 Nov 2021
CORI65
MINA82
16 Mar 2021
CORI78
MINA65
14 Mar 2020
CORI70
MINA77
08 Jan 2019
CORI97
MINA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Corinthians Paulista winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H04/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
111-96
111
96
+15
H07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A15/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H21/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A24/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A26/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H29/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
100-90
100
90
+10
A04/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
21-22
21-17
16-10
32-19
22-18
28-26
29-33
16-22
22-14
21-26
21-22
20-28
27-18
23-16
22-24
18-14
26-23
30-24
18-18
25-17
24-17
19-19
20-25
21-17
13-25
13-20
22-17
19-19
15-19
21-20
21-15
19-19
24-15
15-15
23-22
27-23
26-29
25-15
22-23
166.8Avg total
86.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)84.979.2164.1+5.772%
Season at home (21)86.076.6162.6+9.481%
Season away (22)83.981.7165.6+2.164%
Last 10 (10)86.380.5166.8+5.880%
Last 5 (5)82.878.2161.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.391.3173.7-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.483.0167.4+1.457%
vs Weaker (13)87.875.8163.5+12.0100%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
109-88
109
88
+21
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
106-71
106
71
+35
A09/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
87-56
87
56
+31
H14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H21/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A24/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-74
101
74
+27
A26/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
90-100
90
100
-10
H04/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
31-19
29-24
23-21
23-24
16-20
26-24
28-18
28-28
32-15
23-14
23-14
13-17
22-21
19-27
23-15
25-9
24-21
24-15
14-11
23-16
33-38
24-22
19-18
21-31
29-12
18-22
13-32
25-9
27-28
29-16
20-21
24-16
19-27
27-15
33-35
23-27
29-26
15-25
23-22
178.5Avg total
94.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)88.882.4171.2+6.474%
Season at home (22)87.980.7168.6+7.182%
Season away (21)89.884.2174.0+5.667%
Last 10 (10)94.683.9178.5+10.770%
Last 5 (5)94.891.6186.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.295.2181.3-9.017%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.593.7180.2-7.233%
vs Weaker (18)92.381.1173.4+11.383%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Corinthians PaulistaMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A15/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H21/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A24/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A26/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H29/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A04/05
NBB
83.1Avg total
43.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.782.5+3.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.137.980.9+5.273%-
Last 30 away (15)42.541.584.0+1.167%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.883.1+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.082.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.750.794.3-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.140.683.7+2.464%-
vs Weaker (13)42.336.178.4+6.292%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A09/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H21/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A24/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A26/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H04/05
NBB
92.1Avg total
49.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.944.891.8+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.142.388.4+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)47.847.395.1+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)49.342.892.1+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)50.646.096.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.748.288.8-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)46.750.897.5-4.217%-
vs Weaker (18)49.141.790.8+7.472%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.6
53.1%
52.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.712.0
39.1%
32.5%36.0
🏀 Free throws16.913.1
77.5%
72.8%13.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.5
56.8%
52.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.1
33.7%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws26.218.3
69.8%
72.8%18.3
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Corinthians Paulista
WWWLWWWLWW
Minas
LWWLWWLWWW
#6
League position
#3
+7.4
Net rating
+11.6
99.7
Offensive rating
103.4
92.3
Defensive rating
91.8
55.7%
Effective FG%
54.1%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.38
39.1%
3-point %
33.7%
74.2%
Assist %
66.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 103.4Defence92.3 · 91.8Shooting55.7% · 54.1%3-point %39.1% · 33.7%Ball care13.7% · 12.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Corinthians Paulista   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Corinthians Paulista wins
6
Minas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/26AMinas100-90
29/04/26HUnifacisa81-71
26/04/26AUnifacisa76-73
24/04/26AUnifacisa69-79
21/04/26HUnifacisa88-78
17/04/26ACaxias do Sul92-79
15/04/26AUniao Corinthians92-86
09/04/26HPaulistano80-84
07/04/26HOsasco111-96
04/04/26HPinheiros74-69
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/26HCorinthians Paulista90-100
29/04/26HCruzeiro103-93
26/04/26ACruzeiro101-74
24/04/26ACruzeiro81-97
21/04/26HCruzeiro99-94
14/04/26HCearense87-56
12/04/26HUnifacisa77-80
09/04/26ABotafogo106-71
06/04/26AFlamengo93-86
04/04/26AVasco109-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW72%
HomeWWLWW81%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %72%81%64%
Points / game84.986.083.9
Allowed / game79.276.681.7
Point differential+5.7+9.4+2.1
Avg total164.1162.6165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)33% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL74%
HomeLWWWL82%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %74%82%67%
Points / game88.887.989.8
Allowed / game82.480.784.2
Point differential+6.4+7.1+5.6
Avg total171.2168.6174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%32%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)67% (9)80% (5)
Overtime %7%9%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca4235783%90.777.2+13.5
2 Pinheiros4335881%85.974.9+11.0
3 Brasilia43321174%80.771.7+9.0
4 Minas43321174%88.882.4+6.4
5 Flamengo43311272%88.079.0+9.0
6 Corinthians Paulista43311272%84.979.2+5.7
7 Paulistano44271761%82.878.5+4.4
8 Mogi42251760%77.171.8+5.3
9 Sao Jose41221954%81.380.4+0.9
10 Bauru42222052%80.679.9+0.7
11 Unifacisa42212150%81.080.3+0.8
12 Uniao Corinthians42202248%79.983.1-3.2
13 Caxias do Sul42182443%73.476.2-2.9
14 Cruzeiro42142833%81.186.4-5.3
15 Rio Claro41122929%78.985.8-7.0
16 Botafogo41103124%73.684.1-10.5
17 Pato3873118%71.980.8-8.9
18 Osasco3873118%76.187.8-11.8
19 Cearense3873118%76.288.9-12.7
20 Vasco3863216%71.581.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Corinthians Paulista1923222791
Minas2814322397
← all games of the day
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