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Minas vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 May 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 90-100
23-27 29-26 15-25 23-22
Position#3
Record32-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#6
Record30-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game79.0
BrazilNBBNBB - Quarter-finals· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Corinthians Paulista
12 May 2026
MINA81
CORI92
04 May 2026
MINA90
CORI100
18 Oct 2025
MINA83
CORI81
13 Feb 2025
MINA63
CORI72
30 Mar 2024
MINA91
CORI73
28 Mar 2023
MINA88
CORI86
23 Jan 2023
MINA90
CORI105
12 Feb 2022
MINA91
CORI88
14 Dec 2020
MINA20
CORI0
21 Dec 2019
MINA83
CORI82
25 Nov 2018
MINA72
CORI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-88
101
88
+13
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
109-88
109
88
+21
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
106-71
106
71
+35
A09/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
87-56
87
56
+31
H14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H21/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A24/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-74
101
74
+27
A26/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H29/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
31-12
25-27
23-28
26-24
31-19
29-24
23-21
23-24
16-20
26-24
28-18
28-28
32-15
23-14
23-14
13-17
22-21
19-27
23-15
25-9
24-21
24-15
14-11
23-16
33-38
24-22
19-18
21-31
29-12
18-22
13-32
25-9
27-28
29-16
20-21
24-16
19-27
27-15
33-35
178.4Avg total
95.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)88.882.0170.8+6.876%
Season at home (21)87.879.8167.6+8.086%
Season away (21)89.884.2174.0+5.667%
Last 10 (10)95.782.7178.4+13.080%
Last 5 (5)94.282.8177.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.295.2181.3-9.017%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.889.3176.2-2.550%
vs Weaker (18)92.381.1173.4+11.383%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A02/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H04/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
111-96
111
96
+15
H07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A15/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H21/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A24/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A26/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H29/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
22-18
21-16
24-22
16-20
21-22
21-17
16-10
32-19
22-18
28-26
29-33
16-22
22-14
21-26
21-22
20-28
27-18
23-16
22-24
18-14
26-23
30-24
18-18
25-17
24-17
19-19
20-25
21-17
13-25
13-20
22-17
19-19
15-19
21-20
21-15
19-19
24-15
15-15
23-22
163.2Avg total
84.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)84.579.0163.5+5.671%
Season at home (21)86.076.6162.6+9.481%
Season away (21)83.181.3164.4+1.862%
Last 10 (10)84.478.8163.2+5.680%
Last 5 (5)81.276.0157.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.391.3173.7-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.981.3164.1+1.657%
vs Weaker (13)87.875.8163.5+12.0100%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
MinasCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A09/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H21/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A24/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A26/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H29/04
NBB
90.2Avg total
49.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.644.691.2+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.641.687.2+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)47.447.294.6+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)49.440.890.2+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)50.041.491.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.748.288.8-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.849.794.5-4.817%-
vs Weaker (18)49.141.790.8+7.472%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A02/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A15/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H21/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A24/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A26/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H29/04
NBB
79.7Avg total
41.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.081.4+3.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.037.480.4+5.675%-
Last 30 away (14)41.840.782.5+1.164%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.179.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.750.794.3-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.339.181.4+3.164%-
vs Weaker (13)42.336.178.4+6.292%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.0
56.4%
52.2%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.4
35.9%
32.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.817.5
70.6%
72.8%17.5
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.0
52.8%
52.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.412.0
39.5%
32.5%36.0
🏀 Free throws16.112.4
77.0%
72.8%12.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWLWWLWWWW
Corinthians Paulista
WWLWWWLWWW
#3
League position
#6
+14.2
Net rating
+7.7
105.2
Offensive rating
99.5
91.0
Defensive rating
91.9
55.3%
Effective FG%
55.8%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
12.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.9%
3-point %
39.5%
67.1%
Assist %
75.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 99.5Defence91.0 · 91.9Shooting55.3% · 55.8%3-point %35.9% · 39.5%Ball care12.2% · 14.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Minas   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Minas wins
3
Corinthians Paulista wins
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26HCruzeiro103-93
26/04/26ACruzeiro101-74
24/04/26ACruzeiro81-97
21/04/26HCruzeiro99-94
14/04/26HCearense87-56
12/04/26HUnifacisa77-80
09/04/26ABotafogo106-71
06/04/26AFlamengo93-86
04/04/26AVasco109-88
01/04/26HCruzeiro101-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26HUnifacisa81-71
26/04/26AUnifacisa76-73
24/04/26AUnifacisa69-79
21/04/26HUnifacisa88-78
17/04/26ACaxias do Sul92-79
15/04/26AUniao Corinthians92-86
09/04/26HPaulistano80-84
07/04/26HOsasco111-96
04/04/26HPinheiros74-69
02/04/26ARio Claro81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW76%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %76%86%67%
Points / game88.887.889.8
Allowed / game82.079.884.2
Point differential+6.8+8.0+5.6
Avg total170.8167.6174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)67% (9)80% (5)
Overtime %7%10%5%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWLWW81%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %71%81%62%
Points / game84.586.083.1
Allowed / game79.076.681.3
Point differential+5.6+9.4+1.8
Avg total163.5162.6164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)33% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca4135685%90.676.8+13.9
2 Pinheiros4133880%85.874.7+11.1
3 Minas42321076%88.882.0+6.8
4 Flamengo42311174%88.278.9+9.3
5 Brasilia42311174%80.671.5+9.1
6 Corinthians Paulista42301271%84.579.0+5.6
7 Paulistano42271564%83.078.0+5.0
8 Mogi41241759%76.671.3+5.3
9 Sao Jose41221954%81.380.4+0.9
10 Bauru42222052%80.679.9+0.7
11 Unifacisa42212150%81.080.3+0.8
12 Uniao Corinthians42202248%79.983.1-3.2
13 Caxias do Sul42182443%73.476.2-2.9
14 Cruzeiro42142833%81.186.4-5.3
15 Rio Claro41122929%78.985.8-7.0
16 Botafogo41103124%73.684.1-10.5
17 Pato3873118%71.980.8-8.9
18 Osasco3873118%76.187.8-11.8
19 Cearense3873118%76.288.9-12.7
20 Vasco3863216%71.581.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2329152390
Corinthians Paulista27262522100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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