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Santos vs Freseros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 78-71
16-18 18-15 20-24 24-14
Position#12
Record5-20
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Position#14
Record4-21
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game92.3
MexicoLNBP· Auditorio Miguel Barragán
Other2025-26
Meetings · Santos v Freseros
02 Oct 2026
SANT108
FRES87
01 Oct 2026
SANT96
FRES81
19 Sep 2025
SANT78
FRES71
18 Sep 2025
SANT87
FRES69
11 Oct 2024
SANT84
FRES83
10 Oct 2024
SANT71
FRES117
25 Aug 2023
SANT80
FRES74
24 Aug 2023
SANT84
FRES72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Santos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SantosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A16/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H22/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
71-94
71
94
-23
H23/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A04/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
65-96
65
96
-31
A05/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H09/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H10/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A14/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
60-90
60
90
-30
A14/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H19/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
19-24
19-24
20-20
13-27
26-17
29-21
11-28
18-21
13-24
23-21
17-28
25-23
21-19
20-22
17-23
15-29
13-16
16-26
21-25
23-19
27-27
18-25
17-16
23-20
24-27
22-14
17-22
26-19
21-19
23-11
17-25
18-20
11-19
21-30
10-21
21-10
19-22
22-19
25-18
164.3Avg total
78.3Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.688.8168.4-9.220%
Season at home (11)85.488.5173.9-3.236%
Season away (14)75.189.1164.1-14.07%
Last 10 (10)78.386.0164.3-7.730%
Last 5 (5)81.080.6161.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)76.490.9167.3-14.510%
vs Similar (8)90.088.2178.2+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)87.069.0156.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A16/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
85-101
85
101
-16
H22/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H23/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A04/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
64-104
64
104
-40
A05/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H09/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H10/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
74-105
74
105
-31
H14/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
66-92
66
92
-26
H15/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A19/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
21-26
21-19
31-26
16-20
23-28
14-28
32-25
20-20
21-33
29-19
16-15
20-22
20-22
26-27
17-20
15-29
19-20
17-35
13-20
24-27
23-19
15-20
14-24
30-18
29-25
14-27
21-14
14-24
17-24
18-27
25-30
16-30
20-19
15-23
15-20
10-21
22-19
19-22
18-25
172.0Avg total
78.6Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.292.3166.4-18.116%
Season at home (14)76.288.6164.8-12.421%
Season away (11)71.597.0168.5-25.59%
Last 10 (10)78.693.4172.0-14.810%
Last 5 (5)75.891.6167.4-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)76.393.2169.5-17.017%
vs Similar (1)83.084.0167.0-1.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Santos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
SantosFreseros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SantosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H22/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H23/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A04/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A05/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H09/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A14/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A14/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H19/09
LNBP
81.9Avg total
39.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.447.387.6-6.923%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.147.890.9-4.833%-
Last 30 away (18)38.646.985.4-8.317%-
Last 10 (10)39.842.181.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.483.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)37.347.985.1-10.610%-
vs Similar (8)48.547.696.1+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A16/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H22/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H23/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A04/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A05/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H10/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H14/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H15/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A19/09
LNBP
86.4Avg total
39.6Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.547.687.1-8.220%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.545.987.4-4.431%-
Last 30 away (14)37.149.686.8-12.57%-
Last 10 (10)39.646.886.4-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.286.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)39.447.586.9-8.121%-
vs Similar (1)41.051.092.0-10.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Santos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Santos wins
1
Freseros wins
DateGameScore
19/09/25Santos v Freseros87-69
12/10/24Santos v Freseros84-83
11/10/24Santos v Freseros71-117
26/08/23Santos v Freseros80-74
25/08/23Santos v Freseros84-72
Santoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/09/25HFreseros87-69
14/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun60-90
14/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun87-74
10/09/25HCorrecaminos86-83
09/09/25HCorrecaminos85-87
05/09/25APanteras65-96
04/09/25APanteras83-87
23/08/25HAstros71-94
22/08/25HAstros79-93
16/08/25ASoles80-87
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/09/25ASantos69-87
15/09/25HDorados66-92
14/09/25HDorados74-105
10/09/25HHalcones de Xalapa94-84
09/09/25HHalcones de Xalapa76-90
05/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun64-104
04/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun83-91
23/08/25HCorrecaminos86-87
22/08/25HCorrecaminos85-101
16/08/25APanteras89-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Santos
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW20%
HomeLLLWW36%
AwayLLLWL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %20%36%7%
Points / game79.685.475.1
Allowed / game88.888.589.1
Point differential-9.2-3.2-14.0
Avg total168.4173.9164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%27%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Freseros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL16%
HomeLLWLL21%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %16%21%9%
Points / game74.276.271.5
Allowed / game92.388.697.0
Point differential-18.1-12.4-25.5
Avg total166.4164.8168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2623388%89.978.0+11.9
2 Astros2522388%89.176.6+12.4
3 Diablos Rojos2416867%92.181.4+10.8
4 Fuerza Regia2416867%92.682.5+10.1
5 Mineros2516964%84.881.6+3.2
6 Dorados2415962%85.080.7+4.3
7 Panteras24111346%88.788.3+0.4
8 Halcones de Xalapa24111346%82.382.7-0.4
9 Correcaminos24111346%84.789.7-5.0
10 El Calor de Cancun24101442%82.183.9-1.8
11 Gambusinos2471729%83.589.5-6.0
12 Santos2552020%79.688.8-9.2
13 Abejas2652119%77.789.8-12.1
14 Freseros2542116%74.292.3-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Santos1618202478
Freseros1815241471
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