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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Brooklyn Nets Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 24 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Projected 120-107
Projected total 226.9
Scheduled
Position#7
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game106.8
Vs
84%
16%
■ MIN 84%■ BKN 16%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#26
Record3-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game116.4
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Brooklyn Nets
23 Nov 2026
MIN v BKN
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
MIN107
BKN123
11 Apr 2025
MIN117
BKN91
24 Feb 2024
MIN101
BKN86
10 Mar 2023
MIN123
BKN124
23 Jan 2022
MIN136
BKN125
13 Apr 2021
MIN97
BKN127
30 Dec 2019
MIN122
BKN115
12 Nov 2018
MIN120
BKN113
27 Jan 2018
MIN111
BKN97
28 Jan 2017
MIN129
BKN109
05 Mar 2016
MIN132
BKN118
16 Mar 2015
MIN106
BKN122
22 Nov 2013
MIN111
BKN81
23 Jan 2013
MIN83
BKN91
01 Jan 2011
MIN103
BKN88
28 Oct 2009
MIN95
BKN93
29 Mar 2009
MIN108
BKN99
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves host Brooklyn Nets in the NBA. Pythia makes Minnesota Timberwolves the favourite at 84% and projects 120-107, about 227 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Minnesota Timberwolves are 9-4 this season (118.3 scored, 106.8 allowed a game), form WWWWL; Brooklyn Nets are 3-9 this season (110.2 scored, 116.4 allowed a game), form WLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
83.8%fair 1.19
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets win
16.2%fair 6.16
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:41 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 108
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 108
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 108
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 108
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 108
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
133-94
133
94
+39
136avg 108
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
106-117
106
117
-11
93avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
34-26
33-26
36-17
30-25
17-29
28-29
35-30
26-29
227.0Avg total
117.5Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.3106.8225.1+11.569%
Season at home (7)117.7103.6221.3+14.171%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)117.5109.5227.0+8.060%
Last 5 (5)117.2105.4222.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar (11)114.9114.5229.4+0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)120.5106.9227.4+13.577%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
109-136
109
136
-27
96avg 97
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
124-125 OT
124
125
-1
114avg 97
A27/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
94-110
94
110
-16
90avg 97
H30/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
98-90
98
90
+8
93avg 97
A01/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
90-103
90
103
-13
78avg 97
A03/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
114-104
114
104
+10
108avg 97
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
121-124
121
124
-3
120avg 97
A08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
93-130
93
130
-37
77avg 97
A09/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
145-111
145
111
+34
147avg 97
A12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
110-129
110
129
-19
99avg 97
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
30-41
24-37
29-34
31-26
30-30
21-30
35-31
28-21
21-35
17-36
28-18
20-19
23-21
28-22
27-28
21-27
23-24
35-24
11-28
21-24
29-33
30-23
34-24
37-27
33-39
25-22
26-36
26-33
20-33
25-34
22-30
39-25
44-41
24-15
38-30
23-38
31-33
30-32
26-26
226.0Avg total
109.8Scored
116.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)110.2116.4226.6-6.225%
Season at home (4)105.0115.0220.0-10.025%
Season away (8)112.8117.1229.9-4.425%
Last 10 (10)109.8116.2226.0-6.430%
Last 5 (5)116.6119.6236.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)101.5119.2220.7-17.75%
vs Similar (7)114.6112.7227.3+1.957%
vs Weaker (2)108.5107.0215.5+1.550%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%5%8%11%0%1801%1852%1903%1954%2006%2058%2109%21511%22011%22510%2309%2358%2406%2454%2503%2552%2601%2651%2700%2750%280
1%1853%1956%2059%21511%2259%2356%2453%2551%2650%275
Pythia expects about 227 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 225-229 (11%).
Over/Under 221
Over 221
62.3%
Under 221
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 226
Over 226
51.3%
Under 226
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 231
Over 231
40.2%
Under 231
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Minnesota Timberwolves total 110
Over 110
81.9%
Under 110
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minnesota Timberwolves total 114
Over 114
71.0%
Under 114
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minnesota Timberwolves total 118
Over 118
57.6%
Under 118
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brooklyn Nets total 108
Over 108
44.9%
Under 108
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brooklyn Nets total 112
Over 112
31.7%
Under 112
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brooklyn Nets total 116
Over 116
20.8%
Under 116
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%4%6%9%0%-241%-211%-181%-152%-123%-94%-65%-34%+07%+38%+68%+98%+129%+158%+187%+216%+245%+274%+303%+332%+361%+391%+420%+450%+48
1%-211%-153%-95%-37%+38%+99%+157%+215%+273%+331%+390%+45
Margin from Minnesota Timberwolves's side (positive = Minnesota Timberwolves win). Pythia's expected margin is +13.2; Minnesota Timberwolves win by 1+ in 78% of simulations.
Spread Minnesota Timberwolves -3
MIN -3
80.2%
BKN +3
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
MIN
No market prices yet.
BKN
No market prices yet.
Spread Minnesota Timberwolves 0
MIN 0
83.8%
BKN 0
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
MIN
No market prices yet.
BKN
No market prices yet.
Spread Minnesota Timberwolves +3
MIN +3
87.5%
BKN -3
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
MIN
No market prices yet.
BKN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Minnesota TimberwolvesBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H15/11
NBA
111.5Avg total
56.9Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.8112.8+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.554.2111.7+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)56.757.3114.0-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)56.954.6111.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.8110.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (11)58.657.9116.5+0.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)59.153.2112.3+5.885%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A27/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H30/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A01/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A03/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A09/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A15/11
NBA
115.0Avg total
55.6Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.759.2110.9-7.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.957.7105.6-9.829%-
Last 30 away (16)55.160.4115.5-5.438%-
Last 10 (10)55.659.4115.0-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)60.665.2125.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)49.660.5110.1-10.924%-
vs Similar (7)58.956.3115.1+2.671%-
vs Weaker (2)49.055.5104.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.828.8
52.6%
54.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.2
36.0%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.018.9
70.0%
77.3%18.9
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 107.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.1
51.3%
54.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.614.3
34.4%
35.1%42.9
🏀 Free throws27.220.3
74.6%
77.3%20.3
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWWLWLL
Brooklyn Nets
LWLLWLWLLL
#7
League position
#26
+4.6
Net rating
-9.7
110.9
Offensive rating
104.7
106.3
Defensive rating
114.4
53.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
14.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.0%
3-point %
34.4%
57.6%
Assist %
65.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 104.7Defence106.3 · 114.4Shooting53.1% · 51.4%3-point %36.0% · 34.4%Ball care14.3% · 16.1%Off. rebounds34.8% · 27.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HChicago Bulls106-117
13/11/26HDallas Mavericks133-94
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies110-129
12/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans145-111
09/11/26ADallas Mavericks93-130
08/11/26AAtlanta Hawks121-124
05/11/26HCharlotte Hornets114-104
03/11/26ANew York Knicks90-103
01/11/26AIndiana Pacers98-90
30/10/26HDetroit Pistons94-110
27/10/26ABoston Celtics124-125 OT
25/10/26HIndiana Pacers109-136

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game118.3117.7119.0
Allowed / game106.8103.6110.5
Point differential+11.5+14.1+8.5
Avg total225.1221.3229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game110.2105.0112.8
Allowed / game116.4115.0117.1
Point differential-6.2-10.0-4.4
Avg total226.6220.0229.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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